weatherwiz Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Dews continue to linger in mid-upper 60's ..So good so far. I think it's a regionwide threat for storms today..hopefully everyone can get in on some action Let's see what happens when the sun angle gets higher and temps soar and mixing deepens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Dews continue to linger in mid-upper 60's ..So good so far. I think it's a regionwide threat for storms today..hopefully everyone can get in on some action We are setting up camp, what a great view. Have a good day bro, hopefully the fireworks are on the 4 th not tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Dews continue to linger in mid-upper 60's ..So good so far. I think it's a regionwide threat for storms today..hopefully everyone can get in on some action 72/59 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 We are setting up camp, what a great view. Have a good day bro, hopefully the fireworks are on the 4 th not tonight. Where did you go for vaca? Enjoy and hopefully a nice mix of summer heat/storms and sun to enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Looking upstream even though better lapse rates will advect in here... most of us get killed by dews that will mix out and just general BL dryness. The ALB/BUF/PIT soundings are very dry in the BL with little MLCAPE (even with several hundred or even a thousand joules of sbCAPE). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Not even any mention of us in the new day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Let the mix out continue... BDL down to a dew of 63. Someone FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Just not seeing this lowering of dewpoints and mixing out that some are discussing. We'll see I guess. Everyone enjoy. All home stations where folks live stil 65-69 dews Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Looking upstream even though better lapse rates will advect in here... most of us get killed by dews that will mix out and just general BL dryness. The ALB/BUF/PIT soundings are very dry in the BL with little MLCAPE (even with several hundred or even a thousand joules of sbCAPE). Isn't the cold front or boundary east of these locations though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Let the mix out continue... BDL down to a dew of 63. Someone FTL. Never good when you're already mixing out dews and it's barely 9 AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Just not seeing this lowering of dewpoints and mixing out that some are discussing. We'll see I guess. Everyone enjoy. All home stations where folks live stil 65-69 dews KBDL 011251Z 00000KT 10SM SCT100 27/17 A2982 RMK AO2 SLP095 T02720172 KBDL 011151Z 00000KT 10SM SCT110 26/18 A2981 RMK AO2 SLP092 T02560178 10256 20194 51013 KBDL 011051Z 15004KT 10SM FEW100 22/18 A2980 RMK AO2 SLP089 T02220183 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 BAF dew down to 57F with west wind. BDL is calm and HFD has a dew of 66F with south wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Just not seeing this lowering of dewpoints and mixing out that some are discussing. We'll see I guess. Everyone enjoy. All home stations where folks live stil 65-69 dews People should dry off the censors Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 BAF dew down to 57F with west wind. BDL is calm and HFD has a dew of 66F with south wind Yeah for southern areas it's going to be a bit easier to keep moisture in the boundary layer. We'll probably see quite a gradient of MLCAPE today from 0 near BDL to 1000+ j/kg HVN-GON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Yeah for southern areas it's going to be a bit easier to keep moisture in the boundary layer. We'll probably see quite a gradient of MLCAPE today from 0 near BDL to 1000+ j/kg HVN-GON. Could get some decent storms to fire right along that boundary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Could get some decent storms to fire right along that boundary Yeah that's what I'm thinking. Not expecting much up here but I do think we'll see some storms in S CT/Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Yeah that's what I'm thinking. Not expecting much up here but I do think we'll see some storms in S CT/Long Island. What are you thinking for timing? About to leave for CT now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Impressive surface based CAPE but look at the boundary layer fail. Not surprisingly mixed layer CAPE meager. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Mets are Mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Mets are Mean. Facts and science are tough for some to grasp I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 WSI's 4km WRF lights up CT/NYC this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Some mets have trouble thinking that weenies are knowledgable. So instead of trying to offer positive thoughts they attack and try to prove weenies are wrong and dumb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 The best shot at any storms looks to be in SE MA areas. Slightly highers DPs along with the incoming UL trough and some low level convergence may just be enough. Here is last nights NAM that shows this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 WSI's 4km WRF lights up CT/NYC this afternoon So does the HRRR albeit further SW. Not feeling it up this way. Maybe SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Some mets have trouble thinking that weenies are knowledgable. So instead of trying to offer positive thoughts they attack and try to prove weenies are wrong and dumb lol come on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 So does the HRRR albeit further SW. Not feeling it up this way. Maybe SE MA. Yeah Pike/84 area out of the game. If I had to pick an area it's Long Island, coastal CT, S RI, and SE Mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Some mets have trouble thinking that weenies are knowledgable. So instead of trying to offer positive thoughts they attack and try to prove weenies are wrong and dumb The fact is nobody is saying weenies are dumb. But some weenies tend to exaggerate and not interpret models properly due to their over excitement of the weather pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 The fact is nobody is saying weenies are dumb. But some weenies tend to exaggerate and not interpret models properly due to their over excitement of the weather pattern. Even spending time discussing the benefit of using home wx stations over ASOS stations for dew points is a great reason why it's better not to engage when weenies are gonna ween. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 11z HRRR goes to town Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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