N. OF PIKE Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 nice line in M.A Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 BDL 76 at 1230am. 76/51 why are they not cooling more. 20C 850 right next to them on SPC meso scale map. could they roast to 100 tommorrow. perhaps This is complicated, but usually, dry air arrival comes along with the type of CAA where the advection is both temperature AND dp - it is important to realize there can be a disconnect between the two. This airmass is kinetically active, meaning, the actual temperature advection is not substantial. If there was a mechanism present that would WB the temperatures, the cool back would be more pronounced, as the dry air came in. Sometimes warm nights don't have attending higher DPs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 The fooking IAD sounding last night was epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Not only do they get one derecho..They get another one today in the same areas. We can't even grab a thunderstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Looks like severe is possible on Sunday here in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Looks like severe is possible on Sunday here in SNE. NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Looks like severe is possible on Sunday here in SNE. What? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 What? If we destabilize enough it's a possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 If we destabilize enough it's a possibility. Well tomorrow looks sunny for most of the day so that shouldn't be a problem to destabilize Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 cap? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Well tomorrow looks sunny for most of the day so that shouldn't be a problem to destabilize Well the issue is getting high dews in here... and also trying to get a decent looking mid level lapse rate in here. Depends on what kind of convection we see today to our west. SREFs were bullish with the instability for tomorrow. Decent shear and a decent shortwave. Higher dews/stronger shortwave should help erode the cap. NAM/GFS don't show a whole lot of CIN tomorrow down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Looks like severe is possible on Sunday here in SNE. SPC doesnt even have SNE in general thunder storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Looks like the best time of getting screwed over and having nothing take place in otherwise tantalizing signals will be ~ 13z to 06z Monday morning nope - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 One thing I am noticing from the 50,000 foot view for the Thursday - next Tuesday or so time frame is the general appeal of having west and event west-northwest screaming 500mb velocities blowing over top a SW lower tropospheric flow. That's not very intrinsically stable if you get my drift. That's sort of geostrophic turn with altitude is a member of the MCS checklist I believe, and having 101 in Indiana while it is 75 N of Lake Superior seems like a nice recipe for derechio genesis as just about any time ...nocturnally favored. ZOMB! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 ZOMB! Now all you need to do is learn to spell derecho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 I'll be coming home from VT tomorrow. Hopefully we get good stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 SPC doesnt even have SNE in general thunder storms. New swody2 AIT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 New swody2 AIT Main threats? Can you throw up some BDL soundings...I'm in VT living it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 I mean bufkit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 New swody2 AIT I agree...could see some storms pop up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 I agree...could see some storms pop up. Will likely be a nowcast deal to be honest. No sure if winds remained back enough to bring in high dews. Plus I'm not sure how lapse rates modify upstream with today's convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Will likely be a nowcast deal to be honest. No sure if winds remained back enough to bring in high dews. Plus I'm not sure how lapse rates modify upstream with today's convection. Euro looked like more CT/RI and ern MA. At least there is s/w coming through to help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Euro looked like more CT/RI and ern MA. At least there is s/w coming through to help. Good shear so even with decent instability we could have some fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 I think the models may be overdoing dews for tomorrow. NAM gets SE CT/S RI near 70 tomorrow afternoon while MET MOS keeps dews around 60ish. Maybe the op runs and SREF members are picking up something that MOS can't. Getting dews up will be the key tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 I think the models may be overdoing dews for tomorrow. NAM gets SE CT/S RI near 70 tomorrow afternoon while MET MOS keeps dews around 60ish. Maybe the op runs and SREF members are picking up something that MOS can't. Getting dews up will be the key tomorrow. If we get dews near 70 what happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 I think the models may be overdoing dews for tomorrow. NAM gets SE CT/S RI near 70 tomorrow afternoon while MET MOS keeps dews around 60ish. Maybe the op runs and SREF members are picking up something that MOS can't. Getting dews up will be the key tomorrow. Well 70F dews should be no problem in Tolland since that is more representative of the conditions than the ASOS readings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 If we get dews near 70 what happens Nothing - this is New England... in fact, the tornado last year is an illusion. Never actually happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Now all you need to do is learn to spell derecho. Just for that, I shall always spell it derechio - for now on, always Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Well 70F dews should be no problem in Tolland since that is more representative of the conditions than the ASOS readings. omg - ha haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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