MN Transplant Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 Friday's record high would be extremely difficult to beat/tie at BWI- that's the all-time June record of 105, set in 1934. Saturday's is more attainable, with a record high of "only" 100. 101/100 at DCA for Fri/Sat. Dulles 95/98 DCA all-time June record is 102 (tied last year) and IAD's is 100. Other than the 105 on 6/29/34 at BWI, no June temp has gone above 101. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 I mean, this has to be completely overdone, right? or could we be dealing with close to reality thanks to a source region in the very hot/dry rockies? There were all-time June records being matched out there the other day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 Backing off. Now it looks like only lower 100s on the Euro for Fri/Sat. The trend is our friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 The trend is our friend Indeed. The problem is that the cool model (GFS) is still 94, 98, 97 this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 Euro (top) good. GFS bad. (even better for the Euro as you go east into IA and MN) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 it's hard to go with 100+ from this range.. especially if it's record territory. but the heat out west is pretty insane. i guess it's possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 it's hard to go with 100+ from this range.. especially if it's record territory. but the heat out west is pretty insane. i guess it's possible. Somebody should rename the thread title - it has expanded past that days 12z EURO lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 109 in Arkansas.. 102 in Tuscaloosa. Denver longest streak 100+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 Somebody should rename the thread title - it has expanded past that days 12z EURO lol. ok done... heatmageddon might be better tho? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 ok done... heatmageddon might be better tho? And thus continues the trend of naming extreme weather Snoverkill was the last straw for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 LWX dropped my forecasted high on Friday by a degree. Again, 100+ or bust. I don't want to see 95 or 96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 ok done... heatmageddon might be better tho? I'd go with heatmageddon. #wereallgoingtodie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 00z Euro has 5 consecutive 97+, including a 104+ on Friday. NAM is 102ish on Friday at 84hrs (18z). GFS wants to send storms through on Friday, but takes us to 97/100/99 Sat-Mon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 LWX dropped my forecasted high on Friday by a degree. Again, 100+ or bust. I don't want to see 95 or 96. ^This FaithInTheHeat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 Hays, KS coming in with a forecasted high of 112 today. That's what I'm talking about!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 Still not as warm as last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeatMiser Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 Love the thread title. I still chuckle at the winter heat thread that stated "Fire shall rain down upon thee" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 lol at Mark and Berk arguing over 850 temps and Debby on twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 lol at Mark and Berk arguing over 850 temps and Debby on twitter He thinks Debby is going to control the strength of the ridge and will be the ultimate deciding factor on how hot we get... he's wrong. The upstream ridge and subsequent pattern is affecting and steering Debby, not the other way around. Debby is far too weak (EDIT: and is too far away) to have a substantial latent heat+ridge building effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 He thinks Debby is going to control the strength of the ridge and will be the ultimate deciding factor on how hot we get... he's wrong. The upstream ridge and subsequent pattern is affecting and steering Debby, not the other way around. Debby is far too weak (EDIT: and is too far away) to have a substantial latent heat+ridge building effect. Couldn't it help create a weakness on the EC? Could see that at least stunting the longevity if not intensity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 Couldn't it help create a weakness on the EC? Could see that at least stunting the longevity if not intensity. Here's my problem with that possibility (map for Thursday evening): Comparing the 00z runs, the Euro has a similar ridge anomaly placement in the Mid-Atlantic, and Debby is basically out of the picture for the U.S. The ridge is already built up over the central US as it starts to translate eastward. The main difference between the models is handling the central Canadian trough, which will dictate the downstream amplification and northward progression of the ridge. By Thursday evening, the ridge is already coming into place in the Mid-Atlantic. Debby's way too small to produce any noticable effects in the Mid-Atlantic. If the two solutions had a similar handling of the central US stuff as it translated eastward and Debby was the only variable, if anything the 00z GFS should be warmer than the 00z Euro because it keeps Debby offshore but more under the ridge, and the latent heat (limited as it is) from Debby would cause the ridge to actually build further over the region. If Debby was much closer and could interact with the trough over the Northeast, I would agree that Debby might have a cooling impact, but that's just not the case. If the heat doesn't pan out, it won't be because of Debby but rather the upstream developments of the US ridge and central Canadian trough (and associated precipitation). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongRanger Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 this is the season Fahrenheit destroys Celsius: 100 is studly, 38 wimpy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 I'm not worried about the upcoming heat at all. I made sure I was fully prepared this time. New AC installed at home: New AC intalled in my car: New above ground pool: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 The Euro backed off a bit, with the 104 contour now Richmond and south. 850s are between 23-25 during the day, with the 28+ contour down from TN to SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 The Euro backed off a bit, with the 104 contour now Richmond and south. 850s are between 23-25 during the day, with the 28+ contour down from TN to SC. although last week was hot, the humidity wasn't as bad as usual if this is a repeat then it won't be as bad as it can get Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 yes, I believe it was $100. Your are correct. At least we shouldn't see DP's break 70. That would be just AWFUL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 although last week was hot, the humidity wasn't as bad as usual if this is a repeat then it won't be as bad as it can get Very true. This is nothing like latter July 2011. Euro wants to get us in this repeating pattern where the obscene heat builds in the middle of the country, and then breaks over us. Could make for very high temps for those periods, but would be drier and more periodic than the dome of death that sat on us last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 The Euro backed off a bit, with the 104 contour now Richmond and south. 850s are between 23-25 during the day, with the 28+ contour down from TN to SC. told you. by this time tomorrow the Euro will be -2C for Fri/Sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 Today's beautiful near-Autumn weather is making the late week heat that much worse. I really wish we could fast forward to September. I can't stand the heat. It makes my drawers stick in my booty crack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 friday from hpc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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