Ajdos Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 Ouch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 26, 2012 Author Share Posted June 26, 2012 Thinking we could see mid 100's here in LAF on Thursday. 00z NAM would support this with mixing to about 875 mb where temps are around 28C, which would translate to 104 or 105 at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 0z ECMWF was a bit faster with the front and has the thermal ridge/axis farther south for Thurs...still 100+ though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 26, 2012 Author Share Posted June 26, 2012 Progged 850 mb temps with this airmass are higher than 6/25/1988, but the PIA and ILX RAOBs from that day had mixing above 800 mb. All in all I'd say we are looking at something similar to that day...perhaps even a little warmer in some spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 DTX downed temps several degrees... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 Going by the NAM, overnight lows will struggle to reach 80 Thurs night in the heat island area of Detroit after reaching 101 on Thurs. DTX GOING WITH EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 I think what could be worse is that even after Thursday, temps are still forecasted to be in the mid 90s. ugh! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 I think what could be worse is that even after Thursday, temps are still forecasted to be in the mid 90s. ugh! I have day after day of 90 plus overnight lows never below 70. There still is a lot of summer ahead too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 The 00z NAM had us at 106/70 at 21z Thursday lol. That would be insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 Point now only 98 for Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 Looks like I sit this one out with mid 90fs... Enjoy the triple digits.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 The 12z NAM has 100+ on Thurs and Fri for Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 The 12z NAM has 100+ on Thurs and Fri for Chicago. Nam seems to be the warmer and more consistent model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 The 12z NAM has 100+ on Thurs and Fri for Chicago. wild and it's a tough call...since dews are going to be overdone...we'll probably drop off more thurs night but then again it's getting us back to 100 despite overnight convection accross the front. I'll make an early IMBY call of 99/94 for thurs/fri...with friday dependant on little to no overnight convection Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 The 12z NAM has 100+ on Thurs and Fri for Chicago. Nevermind...I was still looking at Thur. 104 for ORD off of BUFKIT on Thur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 yeesh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 Nevermind...I was still looking at Thur. 104 for ORD off of BUFKIT on Thur. yeah that sounded weird Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 12z MET max temperatures for Thursday for Indiana locales... Evansville: 110º Huntingburg: 107º Bloomington: 106º Lafayette: 103º Shelbyville: 101º Terre Haute: 100º Indianapolis: 100º Muncie: 99º Kokomo: 99º Fort Wayne: 98º Grissom: 97º Gary: 97º Goshen: 96º South Bend: 95º Valparaiso: 94º Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 So are we going to see a 110+ reading in our subforum? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 12z MET max temperatures, a sampling across Illinois... Springfield: 107º Taylorville: 107º Fairfield: 107º Rantoul: 106º Lawrenceville: 106º Pontiac: 104º Quincy: 102º Peoria: 101º Moline: 100º Kankakee: 99º Rockford: 98º MDW: 96º ORD: 94º Waukegan: 91º Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
louwxman Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 WOW! 587 THICKNESS AND A 38C T1 THATS AS HOT AS I CAN REMEMBER FOR SDF. OUR ALL TIME RECORD IS 107 OUTPUT FROM NAM 12Z JUN 26 12 TTPTTR1R2R3 VVVLI PSDDFF HHT1T3T5 SDF//521723 -1816 160613 70161414 06000422516 -0909 160711 71221314 12000422121 -1508 140611 73241615 18000452417 -1909 151115 74211616 24000503114 -0111 181409 73191616 30000354223 -1406 171605 76261917 36000323313 -0402 141907 80292420 42000373712 02803 142116 82272521 48000503909 02500 152420 81242420 54000323911 00296 122618 85352621 60000222913 -2997 092419 87383023 BNA//551320 -0311 130614 74181716 KSDF NAM MOS GUIDANCE 6/26/2012 1200 UTC DT /JUNE 26/JUNE 27 /JUNE 28 /JUNE 29 HR 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 06 12 N/X 60 94 67 103 77 TMP 81 83 80 72 66 63 63 77 88 94 90 80 73 70 70 87 97103100 85 80 DPT 44 44 44 48 51 51 52 49 48 48 50 54 56 57 59 63 62 60 60 62 64 CLD CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL WDR 06 04 04 06 08 06 07 13 17 20 20 19 19 20 21 25 26 26 26 26 23 WSP 09 09 10 05 02 02 02 05 06 07 07 05 05 06 08 14 18 17 15 07 05 P06 2 3 3 5 3 0 1 0 1 5 4 P12 5 6 1 4 5 Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Q12 0 0 0 0 0 T06 0/ 0 1/ 0 0/ 0 0/ 0 5/ 4 3/ 3 1/ 0 8/ 2 24/13 12/ 3 T12 1/ 0 0/ 0 5/ 4 8/ 3 31/13 CIG 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 VIS 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 Will be very interesting to see what Thursday brings. MET (93F) and MAV (87F) for DTW are certainly nothing impressive considering all this 100 talk, but as we all know those are often inaccurate during periods of extremes. The record for Thursday at DTW is 104F (1934). What would be crazy is to see if in just 2 days, some locales in SE MI go from the 40s to the 100s. I would say the easiest candidate is YPI, as they are always the hottest, and they did indeed drop to 49F this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 Looks like there will be a pool of the ever elusive 40C surface temps. In the future folks will care less about those 37.8C degree days that we benchmark right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 I already threw it out there, but to repeat, Evansville's all time hottest temperature is 111º on July 28, 1930. To see 110º for them on a piece of guidance, two days out, is a little...well, crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 I already threw it out there, but to repeat, Evansville's all time hottest temperature is 111º on July 28, 1930. To see 110º for them on a piece of guidance, two days out, is a little...well, crazy. thanks for repeating it because i missed it...looks like that will be the mark to shoot for EDIT: 12z GFS continues to be on the less hot side of guidance up this way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 thanks for repeating it because i missed it...looks like that will be the mark to shoot for Yeah, EVV will be the one to watch I guess. Further more, here's their 10 hottest days on record (since 1897)... 111º on July 28, 1930 108º on July 13, 1936 108º on July 26, 1930 107º on July 12, 1936 107º on July 22, 1901 107º on July 27, 1930 106º on July 7, 1936 106º on July 12, 1930 106º on July 14, 1936 106º on Juky 15, 1936 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 Yeah, EVV will be the one to watch I guess. Further more, here's their 10 hottest days on record (since 1897)... 111º on July 28, 1930 108º on July 13, 1936 108º on July 26, 1930 107º on July 12, 1936 107º on July 22, 1901 107º on July 27, 1930 106º on July 7, 1936 106º on July 12, 1930 106º on July 14, 1936 106º on Juky 15, 1936 1930 and 1936 must have been the worst Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 1930 and 1936 must have been the worst 1934 was no picnic either. I guess it's time to relive those summers... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 a little OT but just how reliable are temp readings from the '30s...are we talking about some inflated Cromartie style stuff here or are they more or less as good as what we get now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 So are we going to see a 110+ reading in our subforum? Yes, my guess would be Central IL or back into Eastern MO. Someone is cracking 110. Friday could be Paducah area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.