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Late June/Early July Extreme Heat Episode


Hoosier

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DTX raises highs in the 96-99 range for thurs, mentioning a few spots may hit 100. Lower 90s Fri, around 90 sat, upper 80s sun, with GRR mentioning increasing temps early next week as ridge rebuilds. Also, DTX mentioned drought conditions will worsen, with little convection expected during frontal passage due to limited GOM moisture.

FWIW, Euro showing upper 90s on sat for SE MI and points south.

YIP will get to 105 :P

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The 18z NAM is further north with the frontal boundary on Thursday bringing 100's up to I-88 in northwest IL, but bringing a lake breeze inland across northeast IL.

Max temp of 109 near SPI.

Slightly hotter further east as well...DTW/DET reach 103/102 per NAM raw BUFKIT

Record high of 104 for DTW should be safe.

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DVN still refusing to bite. Still mid 90s on Thu while LOT and ILX have their whole CWAs at or above 100. DMX looks like they're staying conservative as well. They forecast temps staying below 100 despite some of the models showing temps near 110 there on Wednesday lol.

EDIT: Must not be much coordination between some of the offices. We've had LOT talk about possible 105+ temps a few different times, while DVN barely even discusses much.

Ho hum.

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...SURGE OF HOT WEATHER PUSHES INTO

THE CWA WITH 850 MB TEMPS +28 TO 30C. SOUTHWEST WINDS AND PLENTY OF

SUNSHINE WILL EASILY PUSH SURFACE TEMPS WELL INTO THE 90S. MOISTURE

WILL ALSO BE INCREASING AND BY THURSDAY DEWPOINTS WILL BE AROUND 70.

HEAT INDEX VALUES SHOULD BE IN THE 100 TO 105 RANGE ON THURSDAY AND

HEAT HEADLINES MAY BE NEEDED.

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NWS Goodland KS:

RECORD TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS THIS STRONG RIDGE

COMBINES WITH A DEEPENING LEE TROUGH OVER EASTERN COLORADO TO KEEP

HOT AIRMASS IN PLACE. H85 TEMPS ON TUESDAY ARE PROGGED TO BE AS MUCH

AS 3C WARMER THAN TODAY...UNDER A VERY SIMILAR SET UP AS THIS PAST

SUNDAY WHEN SEVERAL LOCATIONS TIED ALL TIME RECORDS FOR JUNE.

CONSIDERING THE FACT THAT THE SURFACE WARM FRONT WILL BE WELL

NORTH OF THE AREA...WHICH WASNT THE CASE ON SUNDAY...TEMPERATURES

MAY BE EVEN HOTTER. ALL TIME RECORD HIGHS FOR ANY MONTH COULD BE

SET WITH MANY LOCATIONS AROUND 110...POSSIBLY 115.

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Tim already mentioned IN...but just for fun, here are some all-time highs by state. I don't believe any of these will be threatened later this week. Conceivably, KY and OH could come within a few degrees if everything comes together perfectly.

IL: 117 - East St. Louis - 7/14/1954

IN: 116 - Collegeville - 7/16/1936

IA: 118 - Keokuk - 7/20/1934

KS: 121 - Alton - 7/24/1936

KY: 114 - Greensburg - 7/28/1930

OH: 113 - Gallipolis - 7/21/1934

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Well, it's a dry heat out there I guess. :arrowhead:

Goodland KS obs...

4pm MDT

Temperature: 107º

Dewpoint: 14º

Heat Index: 98º

6pm MDT

Temperature: 102º

Dewpoint: 22º

Heat Index: 96º

I'm from the Midwest. I'm used to the heat index being higher than the actual temp. Could you imagine the looks you'd get when someone around here complains about it being 107° and you reply that it only feels like 98°?

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Models are still insisting on convection Thursday night.

That will impact temps on Friday for sure, especially if it's a MCS/MCV.

What's really interesting about the NAM is that it has BKN-OVC skies much of the time, although 91*F and 102*F are the highs Wednesday/Thursday.

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