Chicago Storm Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 LOT still going with the NAM for FROPA timing. If the timing they mention works out, 100+ should be easy. //DISCUSSION...UPDATED 06Z... AT 05Z COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM FAR NORTHERN GEORGIAN BAY AND THE NORTH CHANNEL OF LAKE HURON WEST ACROSS THE EASTERN U.P. OF MI ...WEST-SOUTHWEST ACROSS NORTHWEST WI AND THEN SOUTHWEST ACROSS SOUTHERN MN...FAR NORTHWEST IA AND NORTHEAST NE. SURFACE WINDS WOULD SUGGEST A FURTHER SOUTHWARD PLACEMENT OF THE BOUNDARY ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES AND THE UPPER MIDWEST BUT THE LEADING WIND SHIFT TO NORTHERLY WINDS IS DUE TO THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOWS RATHER THAN THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. WHILE MODEL GRAPHICAL AND NUMERICAL OUTPUT SHOW SURFACE WIND VEERING TO OUT OF THE NORTHWEST LATER THIS MORNING THE TRUE COLD FRONT LOOKS TO BE DELINEATED BY THE FURTHER VEERING TO NORTH AND NORTHEAST PROGGED TO OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN IL DURING THE AFTERNOON. WHILE OUTFLOWS OFTEN ENCOURAGE COLD FRONTAL MOVEMENT DURING THIS TIME OF YEAR PREFER THE SLOWER MOVEMENT AND LATER TIME OF PASSAGE AS DEPICTED BY THE LATEST RUN OF THE NAM CONSIDERING THE BACKING AND INCREASING LOW LEVEL WINDS BEING DETECTED BY 88D AND TERMINAL DOPPLERS AT QUAD CITIES AND DSM AREA. USING THE NAM FOR TIMING THE FRONT PASSES BOTH ORD AND MDW AT 20-21Z AS THE FRONT MOVES QUICKER SOUTHWARD OVER LAKE MI DUE TO LESS SURFACE FRICTION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Still 80 here after hitting 78 about a half hour ago, with the sun due to come up very soon here I think we won't drop but another degree or so before skyrocketing upward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 taking under 100 for chicago. Gatorade and beer to soon be buried in ice for the softball tourney by day and then heavy partying at summerfest by night. Can't wait to get out back in to normal weather and civilization..feels like I've been in prison for 3 yrs not just holed up for 3 days. Have a great weekend all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 snowlord, the last 80 degree low in Indianapolis occurred on August 23, 1936. To expand on this a little, Indianapolis reeled off five consecutive 80º+ minimum temperatures (it was close to six with a 79º on 7/9) in July 1936. The official site was downtown in 1936. 7/10/1936: 82º 7/11/1936: 80º 7/12/1936: 81º 7/13/1936: 81º 7/14/1936: 81º Then had a four out of five streak in August 1936. 8/19/1936: 82º 8/20/1936: 74º 8/21/1936: 80º 8/22/1936: 81º 8/23/1936: 80º With hourly temps of 81º at 6:00AM and 82º at 7:00AM...barring a two degree intrahour bump down, and something happening this evening/tonight, looks like today will be the first 80º minimum temperature at the airport (as Hoosier mentioned). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 84/73 at 8AM ugly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Well IND is +4 on the temp side this morning over yesterday.. Going to be another toasty day.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 no 100 today for chicago.. euro ftw..nam ftl. 70 out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Minimum temps for this morning. IND: 81º (daily record: 84º in 1874) ORD: 81º (daily record: 78º in 1876) MDW: 81º Of course, ORD may not hold onto this record depending on what happens later today (hourly weather graph from LOT has 75º at 10PM for ORD). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Chicago should have no problem making it to 100, its already 84 at 7AM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 no 100 today for chicago.. euro ftw..nam ftl. 70 out I've noticed that BowMe has some prejudicial tendencies regarding the great state of Illanoy. I'm going with 100° at ORD FTW because of this: "WHILE MODEL GRAPHICAL AND NUMERICAL OUTPUT SHOW SURFACE WIND VEERING TO OUT OF THE NORTHWEST LATER THIS MORNING THE TRUE COLD FRONT LOOKS TO BE DELINEATED BY THE FURTHER VEERING TO NORTH AND NORTHEAST PROGGED TO OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN IL DURING THE AFTERNOON. WHILE OUTFLOWS OFTEN ENCOURAGE COLD FRONTAL MOVEMENT DURING THIS TIME OF YEAR PREFER THE SLOWER MOVEMENT AND LATER TIME OF PASSAGE AS DEPICTED BY THE LATEST RUN OF THE NAM CONSIDERING THE BACKING AND INCREASING LOW LEVEL WINDS" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 My friend just texted me asking if it's going to hit 107º here today...because that's what he said TWC is forecasting. Sigh. I told him (and several times in the past) to stop paying attention to TWC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 My friend just texted me asking if it's going to hit 107º here today...because that's what he said TWC is forecasting. Sigh. I told him (and several times in the past) to stop paying attention to TWC. Reminds of the 18-24" call for Detroit the morning of GDB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 91º/73º at IND at 9:00AM. It was 90º/68º yesterday at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Detroit only got down to 80*F last night, unless it fell lower during an intra-hour observation. edit: Apparently there was an intra-hour 78*F at Metro Airport, but City Airport only got down to 81*F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 ORD already 89 at 8am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Detroit only got down to 80*F last night, unless it fell lower during an intra-hour observation. DETROIT CITY SUNNY 85 73 67 W7 29.89S HX 91 6HR MIN TEMP: 81; 6HR MAX TEMP: 85 DETROIT MOSUNNY 84 73 69 SW6 29.91R HX 90 6HR MIN TEMP: 78; 6HR MAX TEMP: 84; Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 ORD up to 89 as of 8AM. Lake enhanced front is already pushing into NE. Cook Co. Looks like it will just make it to 90 before it hits, with no chance of 95+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 91º/73º at IND at 9:00AM. It was 90º/68º yesterday at the same time. Just going to be plain hideous today! 91/73/100 seriously? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 94 at IND Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 ORD up to 89 as of 8AM. Lake enhanced front is already pushing into NE. Cook Co. Looks like it will just make it to 90 before it hits, with no chance of 95+. Gotta give props to Skilling. Still going with 103 for MLI, and 104 for here and Sterling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 89F at DET and 88F at DTW. I don't think I've ever seen temperatures as high as these this early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 94 at IND This makes me want to work overtime today so I don't have to leave the building. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Have a good feeling IND is breaking the all time record today, or at minimum tying it. To repeat, 106 is the number. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 88 at Detroit at 9am, 100 should be a slam dunk at this rate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Have a good feeling IND is breaking the all time record today, or at minimum tying it. To repeat, 106 is the number. Well I'm all in for breaking it and not seeing this temp ever again in my lifetime hopefully.. I think the only issue could be is some clouds.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 North winds since 3AM....dew point down to 64F... actually feels cool outside with the wind. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 92 at Metro and 91 at City Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 ORD up to 94...4F ahead of yesterday. The pace would easily allow for 100 before noon...but the lake enhanced front is set to push through shortly. This is also the 24th 90+ day of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Front apparently came through CR a few hours ago, but it is now dead calm outside and our temp/dew are 2/3 degrees ahead of yesterday. Each day of this heat wave CR has been a degree or two ahead of the previous day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 IND FB post: We have increased the forecast high temp for Indy today to 107. This would break our all-time high temp. OK FOLKS...HERE IT IS. ALL TIME RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE FOR INDIANAPOLIS IS NOW FORECASTED FOR THIS AFTERNOON. 107. HERE IS WHY. THE MORNING LOW...81 DEGREES IN INDIANAPOLIS...WAS THE WARMEST START TO A DAY SINCE AUGUST 1936. 500MB HEIGHTS CONTINUE TO SHOW HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHING ACROSS IA...NORTHERN IL AND INDIANA AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS STRONG SUBSIDENCE CONTINUING ACROSS THIS AREA. 12Z 850 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS AN AREA OF 24C+ AIR OVER NORTHERN INDIANA AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS POISED TO PUSH SOUTH INTO CENTRAL INDIANA THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW CU...LIKE YESTERDAY SHOULD BE EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT STILL THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF SUN. FURTHERMORE THE HEAT CONTINUES TO BUILD ACROSS THE AREA...AS WE CONTINUE TO BE 2-3 DEGREES AHEAD OF YESTERDAY/S PACE. THUS WE SHOULD BE ABLE TO EXCEED YESTERDAYS HIGHS BY 1-2 DEGREES WITH FULL SUN...WARM AIR ADVECTION AND BUILDING HEAT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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