beavis1729 Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Very impressive to say the least. Wednesday may end up being much hotter than many of the area offices have forecast if that verifies. While waiting on our chance at getting in on some of the heat it's been pretty fun watching things to the west. Hit 111 in Hill City KS yesterday. Much of eastern Colorado was over 105. Even Denver breached the century mark. Already this morning it's 96 in Goodland KS, and also Lamar CO. In fact the temp jumped from 83 to 96 in one hour at Lamar. Wouldn't be surprised to see some 112-115 degree readings in northwest KS later today. Denver hit 104 yesterday. This ties the June monthly record and sets a new record for highest temp so early in the season (earliest 104+ had been 104 on 6/26/1994). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Hate to keep bringing up areas west of our forums, but this is astonishing to me. 107 at 11am local time at Lamar CO, 104 Goodland KS. This is one hell of a heat dome. Recent obs at Lamar are interesting...looks like mixing just kicked in. 8 AM MDT: 83/43, VRB wind 3 mph 9 AM MDT: 96/37, W wind 7 mph 10 AM MDT: 102/36, VRB wind 5 mph 11 AM MDT: 107/13, S wind 24 mph (gusting to 32 mph) Also, Goodland's all-time high is 111 on 7/25/1940...they may come close today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 24, 2012 Author Share Posted June 24, 2012 I think Thursday and/or Friday (probably Thursday) will be the warmest day at LAF since 1988. 101 is the number to beat and I think we will. Recent runs of the GFS/ECMWF are quite different in terms of mixing depth but even taking a compromise would probably be enough to get the job done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 24, 2012 Author Share Posted June 24, 2012 The 12z Euro actually looks a little warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 24, 2012 Author Share Posted June 24, 2012 First call for LAF, no doubt subject to revision given out period and potential rarity of event Wed: 90 Thu: 103 Fri: 100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Hoosier- You think those extreme temps make it this far northwest? NWS here says 95F, which would be similar to the last heatwave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 First guess for MLI is 93 Wed, 98 Thu. For ORD I'd go 92 Wed, 101 Thu. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 24, 2012 Author Share Posted June 24, 2012 Hoosier- You think those extreme temps make it this far northwest? NWS here says 95F, which would be similar to the last heatwave. I think the worst will be to your south but not by much. 95-100 looks about right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 The 12z Euro actually looks a little warmer. Indeed it is... 30C at 850mb makes it into S. WI and N/C. IL on Thurs. 105F+ temps are a bit more widespread. Sounding has ORD at 40.2C at 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 DTX remains quite conservative, suggesting around 90/lower 90s on Thurs, while GRR discussing temps approaching 100. Euro shows upper 90s across lower MI on Thurs with T850s approaching 26-28C Thurs evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 DTX remains quite conservative, suggesting around 90/lower 90s on Thurs, while GRR discussing temps approaching 100. Euro shows upper 90s across lower MI on Thurs with T850s approaching 26-28C Thurs evening. THey always are conservative. Last heatwave was example. It is July and it can get really hot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 24, 2012 Author Share Posted June 24, 2012 Very impressive to say the least. Wednesday may end up being much hotter than many of the area offices have forecast if that verifies. While waiting on our chance at getting in on some of the heat it's been pretty fun watching things to the west. Hit 111 in Hill City KS yesterday. Much of eastern Colorado was over 105. Even Denver breached the century mark. Already this morning it's 96 in Goodland KS, and also Lamar CO. In fact the temp jumped from 83 to 96 in one hour at Lamar. Wouldn't be surprised to see some 112-115 degree readings in northwest KS later today. Hill City is at 113. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 LOT bumped up temps again across the CWA. Spread is now 97-100, with 100 for the ORD point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 what a disaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Hill City is at 113. Insane. Some of those areas have peaked around 5pm local time, so they could conceivably go up another degree or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 No change from DVN. Still mid 90s Thu. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 That heat dome will expand to the northeast, even if Debby takes the GFS'ish track and crosses FL out into the Atlantic rather than moves westward to LA per Euro, which would increase subsidence north of it as Hoosier indicated. Dryness will contribute to exacerbating the high temps. Those Kansas high temp readings are amazing...and this is June! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 24, 2012 Author Share Posted June 24, 2012 No change from DVN. Still mid 90s Thu. I guess they are feeling burned from last time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Hill City is at 113. These temps are definitely overperforming...which could have implications for later this week in the Midwest. Both Hill City and Goodland may break their June monthly records. Goodland has already tied theirs. All-time records are *probably* safe. Hill City Current temp: 113 June record: 114 (1933) All-time record: 117 Goodland Current temp: 109 June record: 109 (6/18/1936) All-time record: 111 (7/25/1940) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 I guess they are feeling burned from last time? I'm sure that has a little to do with it lol. If the Euro keeps coming in the way it has been I'm sure they'll at least bump it into the upper 90s in the next day or two. The MLI site itself has seemed to underperform compared to surrounding sites all season for whatever reason. Maybe that has a little to do with it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 12z EURO at least looks to cool things off by the weekend here...looks like a quick shot of heat, at least for me... although it will still be warm...just not 100f. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Indeed it is... 30C at 850mb makes it into S. WI and N/C. IL on Thurs. 105F+ temps are a bit more widespread. Sounding has ORD at 40.2C at 0z. 850mb visual... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 18z NAM gets eastern IA up to 110+ on Weds and 850's of nearing 32 into northern IL by 6z Thurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 First call for LAF, no doubt subject to revision given out period and potential rarity of event Wed: 90 Thu: 103 Fri: 100 Wed: 92 Thu: 102 Fri: 98 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Wed: 92 Thu: 102 Fri: 98 If you can't beat'em, join 'em, eh Tim? I'm not looking for triple digits this far east, but betting on seeing 97-98 Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 If you can't beat'em, join 'em, eh Tim? I'm not looking for triple digits this far east, but betting on seeing 97-98 Thursday. I don't like it, matter of fact I hate it...but I can't dismiss it. The historical part will keep tuned in I guess. Regardless, this summer is gonna suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 24, 2012 Author Share Posted June 24, 2012 Wed: 92 Thu: 102 Fri: 98 Triple digit Tim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Triple digit Tim. Good luck on the consecutive 100º days. I haven't looked, nor do I want to...but I assume good old Chad is going something like 95, 108, 106. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 24, 2012 Author Share Posted June 24, 2012 Good luck on the consecutive 100º days. I haven't looked, nor do I want to...but I assume good old Chad is going something like 95, 108, 106. Gets trickier out around Friday depending on how fast the ridge breaks down. Models are often a bit too quick so we'll see. Haven't been to Chad's blog in a while, but you're probably right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 For a historical perspective, here's the number of June days with 100º+ max temps in Indiana (longterm stations). Evansville (1897-present): 24 Fort Wayne (1897- present): 5 Indianapolis: (1871-present): 8 South Bend (1893-present): 10 And the last occurrence in June at each site, all of them on the same date... Evansville: June 25, 1988 (101º) Fort Wayne: June 25, 1988 (106º) Indianapolis: June 25, 1988 (102º) South Bend: June 25, 1988 (104º) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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