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Late June/Early July Extreme Heat Episode


Hoosier

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From my northern Illinois perspective, the most surprising aspect of today's conditions, at least for me, was the higher-than-expected dewpoints. I had expected that dewpoints may reach as high as the low 70's, and mainly in the immediate vicinity of the cold front, but observations this afternoon, even from the ASOS stations, suggested that dewpoints in the mid to upper 70's were prevalent. Dewpoints were not quite at GFS-progged levels, but the NAM generally under-forecasted the dewpoints, I would say. I cannot help but wonder whether that factor alone may have shaved a three or four degrees off temperatures in this area. Of course, the dewpoints were relatively high because of the proximity of the cold front, along which moisture pools anyway, due to that low in Canada deamplifying the ridge.

Also kind of makes you wonder if dew readings would have been even higher (low 80s) if it weren't as dry as it is area wide. Around here the prominent fields of hybrid corn are already over head high, so evapotranspiration is probably nearing peak from the corn crop.

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Round up of the max temps in Indiana today, from highest to lowest. Congrats I guess goes to Huntingburg.

Huntingburg: 108º

Evansville: 107º

Fort Wayne: 106º

Muncie: 106º

Terre Haute: 106º

Shelbyville: 104º

Zionsville: 104º

Bloomington: 103º

Indianapolis: 103º

Goshen: 103º

Peru/Grissom: 103º

Kokomo: 102º

Lafayette: 101º

South Bend: 100º

Valparaiso: 100º

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DTX area highs...99 at DTW and 98 at DET

000
ASUS63 KDTX 290016
RTPDTX
EVENING TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
816 PM EDT THU JUN 28 2012

VALUES REPRESENT 18 HOUR HIGH....LOW OVER THE LAST 18 HOURS
AND PRECIPITATION OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS SINCE 8 PM EST.


.BR DTX  0628  ES DH19/TAIRZS/TAIRZI/TA/PPDRZZ/SFDRZZ/SDIRZZ




:SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN -- TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION STATIONS
:       STATION              MAX  / MIN  / 8 PM / 24-HR
:        NAME                TEMP / TEMP / TEMP / PRECIP
:........................................................
WHKM4  : NWS WHITE LAKE    :   96 /  63  /  89  / 0.00
ADG  : ADRIAN AIRPORT      :  103 /  67  /  94  / 0.00
BAX  :*BAD AXE AIRPORT     :   94 /  65  /  89  /
CFS  :*CARO AIRPORT-TUSCOLA:   96 /  61  /  90  /
DET  : DETROIT CITY AIRPORT:   98 /  72  /  97  / 0.00
DTW  : DETROIT METRO ARPT  :   99 /  67  /  96  /    T
FNT  : FLINT BISHOP AIRPORT:  100 /  69  /  94  / 0.00
ONZ  :*GROSSE ILE AIRPORT  :   90 /  73  /  82  /
OZW  :*HOWELL AIRPORT      :   99 /  69  /  92  /
DUH  :*LAMBERTVILLE AIRPORT:  101 /  69  /  96  /
D95  :*LAPEER DUPONT AIRPRT:   98 /  60  /  92  /
IKW  :*MIDLAND AIRPORT     :   96 /  60  /  91  /
TTF  :*MONROE AIRPORT      :  100 /  66  /  97  /
MTC  :*MT CLEMENS SELFRIDGE:   97 /  64  /  95  /
RNP  :*OWOSSO AIRPORT      :   96 /  69  /  91  /
PTK  : PONTIAC AIRPORT     :   99 /  68  /  93  / 0.00
P58  : PORT HOPE           :   83 /  69  /  78  / 0.00
PHN  :*PORT HURON AIRPORT  :   91 /  61  /  86  /
MBS  : SAGINAW - TRI-CITIES:   97 /  68  /  91  / 0.00
HYX  :*SAGINAW-HARRY BROWNE:   97 /  68  /  91  /
VLL  :*OAKLAND/TROY AIRPORT:   99 /  70  /  96  /
YIP  : YPSILANTI WILLOW RUN:    M /  68  /  98  / 0.00
.END

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From my northern Illinois perspective, the most surprising aspect of today's conditions, at least for me, was the higher-than-expected dewpoints. I had expected that dewpoints may reach as high as the low 70's, and mainly in the immediate vicinity of the cold front, but observations this afternoon, even from the ASOS stations, suggested that dewpoints in the mid to upper 70's were prevalent. Dewpoints were not quite at GFS-progged levels, but the NAM generally under-forecasted the dewpoints, I would say. I cannot help but wonder whether that factor alone may have shaved a three or four degrees off temperatures in this area. Of course, the dewpoints were relatively high because of the proximity of the cold front, along which moisture pools anyway, due to that low in Canada deamplifying the ridge.

Agree, GFS appeared to have better handle on the DPs than NAM across MI and NAM was better on temps. A hybrid of the two and you would have been set!!

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Evansville and Indianapolis with their highest June temperature ever recorded, Fort Wayne ties its record (and all time record too)...South Bend, meh.

Evansville

107º on June 28, 2012

104º on June 26, 1954

103º on June 29, 1952

103º on June 29, 1936

102º on June 27, 1978

102º on June 28, 1936

Fort Wayne

106º on June 28, 2012

106º on June 25, 1988

102º on June 21, 1988

102º on June 28, 1934

101º on June 1, 1934

100º on June 20, 1953

Indianapolis

104º on June 28, 2012

102º on June 25, 1988

102º on June 26, 1954

101º on June 28, 1934

100º four times

South Bend

106º on June 1, 1934

104º on June 25, 1988

103º on June 28, 1934

102º on June 27, 1933

102º on June 29, 1934

101º on June 3, 1934

101º on June 21, 1988

100º three times including today

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DTX area highs...99 at DTW and 98 at DET

000
ASUS63 KDTX 290016
RTPDTX
EVENING TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
816 PM EDT THU JUN 28 2012

VALUES REPRESENT 18 HOUR HIGH....LOW OVER THE LAST 18 HOURS
AND PRECIPITATION OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS SINCE 8 PM EST.


.BR DTX  0628  ES DH19/TAIRZS/TAIRZI/TA/PPDRZZ/SFDRZZ/SDIRZZ




:SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN -- TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION STATIONS
:	   STATION			  MAX  / MIN  / 8 PM / 24-HR
:		NAME				TEMP / TEMP / TEMP / PRECIP
:........................................................
WHKM4  : NWS WHITE LAKE	:   96 /  63  /  89  / 0.00
ADG  : ADRIAN AIRPORT	  :  103 /  67  /  94  / 0.00
BAX  :*BAD AXE AIRPORT	 :   94 /  65  /  89  /
CFS  :*CARO AIRPORT-TUSCOLA:   96 /  61  /  90  /
DET  : DETROIT CITY AIRPORT:   98 /  72  /  97  / 0.00
DTW  : DETROIT METRO ARPT  :   99 /  67  /  96  /	T
FNT  : FLINT BISHOP AIRPORT:  100 /  69  /  94  / 0.00
ONZ  :*GROSSE ILE AIRPORT  :   90 /  73  /  82  /
OZW  :*HOWELL AIRPORT	  :   99 /  69  /  92  /
DUH  :*LAMBERTVILLE AIRPORT:  101 /  69  /  96  /
D95  :*LAPEER DUPONT AIRPRT:   98 /  60  /  92  /
IKW  :*MIDLAND AIRPORT	 :   96 /  60  /  91  /
TTF  :*MONROE AIRPORT	  :  100 /  66  /  97  /
MTC  :*MT CLEMENS SELFRIDGE:   97 /  64  /  95  /
RNP  :*OWOSSO AIRPORT	  :   96 /  69  /  91  /
PTK  : PONTIAC AIRPORT	 :   99 /  68  /  93  / 0.00
P58  : PORT HOPE		   :   83 /  69  /  78  / 0.00
PHN  :*PORT HURON AIRPORT  :   91 /  61  /  86  /
MBS  : SAGINAW - TRI-CITIES:   97 /  68  /  91  / 0.00
HYX  :*SAGINAW-HARRY BROWNE:   97 /  68  /  91  /
VLL  :*OAKLAND/TROY AIRPORT:   99 /  70  /  96  /
YIP  : YPSILANTI WILLOW RUN:	M /  68  /  98  / 0.00
.END

Are they not gonna count YIP's 105?

But I called it so far in advanced. :(:P

YIP will get to 105 :P

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I will go 99F tomorrow at DTW. Take the ridiculously low max 2m temp from the GFS (84), the probably-too-high 2m temp max from the NAM (106), difference is 22F, divide by 3, and give 2/3 lean towards the NAM. I will say 104F for YIP and 98 for PTK as well.

Detroits all time high is 105F set July 24, 1934, and they have hit 104F five times. Record high tomorrow is 104F set in 1934, so we very well may not even set/tie a record even though it will likely be our hottest day in 24 years.

Looks like my joking formula of taking the difference of 2/3 NAM to GFS was spot on, DTWs high was 99F.

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All time hottest temperatures in recorded history for Evansville, Fort Wayne, and Indianapolis.

Evansville

111º on 7/28/1930

108º on 7/13/1936, 7/26/1930

107º on 6/28/2012, 7/12/1936, 7/22/1901, 7/27/1930

Fort Wayne

106º on 6/28/2012, 6/25/1988, 7/14/1936, 7/22/1934

104º on 7/8/1934, 7/13/1936, 7/21/1934, 7/24/1934

Indianapolis

106º on 7/14/1936, 7/21/1934, 7/22/1901

105º on 7/10/1936, 7/24/1934, 7/25/1934

104º on 6/28/2012, 7/8/1936, 7/11/1936, 7/14/1954

103º on 7/4/1911, 7/9/1936, 7/12/1936, 7/13/1936, 7/15/1936, 7/15/1988, 7/20/1934, 7/22/1934, 7/30/1904, 8/5/1918

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All time hottest temperatures in recorded history for Evansville, Fort Wayne, and Indianapolis.

Evansville

111º on 7/28/1930

108º on 7/13/1936, 7/26/1930

107º on 6/28/2012, 7/12/1936, 7/22/1901, 7/27/1930

Fort Wayne

106º on 6/28/2012, 6/25/1988, 7/14/1936, 7/22/1934

104º on 7/8/1934, 7/13/1936, 7/21/1934, 7/24/1934

Indianapolis

106º on 7/14/1936, 7/21/1934, 7/22/1901

105º on 7/10/1936, 7/24/1934, 7/25/1934

104º on 7/8/1936, 7/11/1936, 7/14/1954

103º on 6/28/2012, 7/4/1911, 7/9/1936, 7/12/1936, 7/13/1936, 7/15/1936, 7/15/1988, 7/20/1934, 7/22/1934, 7/30/1904, 8/5/1918

Definitely an historic heat-wave shaping up. Basically, the only time that it has been hotter at these sites was during the 1930's and 1988, with only a couple of exceptions.

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All time hottest temperatures in recorded history for Evansville, Fort Wayne, and Indianapolis.

Evansville

111º on 7/28/1930

108º on 7/13/1936, 7/26/1930

107º on 6/28/2012, 7/12/1936, 7/22/1901, 7/27/1930

Fort Wayne

106º on 6/28/2012, 6/25/1988, 7/14/1936, 7/22/1934

104º on 7/8/1934, 7/13/1936, 7/21/1934, 7/24/1934

Indianapolis

106º on 7/14/1936, 7/21/1934, 7/22/1901

105º on 7/10/1936, 7/24/1934, 7/25/1934

104º on 7/8/1936, 7/11/1936, 7/14/1954

103º on 6/28/2012, 7/4/1911, 7/9/1936, 7/12/1936, 7/13/1936, 7/15/1936, 7/15/1988, 7/20/1934, 7/22/1934, 7/30/1904, 8/5/1918

Well at least we got the hottest day out of the way first..

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Well at least the forecast is for nothing over 104.. Yes, upper 90s - low 100s are not much of a difference..

My poor AC is struggling to cool off the house, sitting at 79 currently..

You too? Had the landlord come out here to look at it today. "Well I bought the right size for the house, not bigger." Doh.

It really didn't feel too bad out there today, compared to some tropical Ozark summers. Those are downright repressing. The back yard was fairly comfortable... took the Kestrel out, 10-15mph breezes, and 90-100 in the shade. It didn't feel as gross as I expected.

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ORD has hit 100 as of 3:19PM.

First official 100+ temp for Chicago since 7/24/05 (102).

This was also the first June 100+ day since 6/25/88 (103).

As of 4PM the heat index at ORD is 110F.

This is highest and first 110+ HI since 7/30/99 (114).

Max HI of 111 at ORD today.

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Hoosier and I had talked about what might have held back temps at LAF today, one being that we're not in center of the "deep drought" areas and closer to the "less droughty" areas and the low level flow being from the WSW. For instance, to our west and southwest, locales picked up 4.00"+ in Warren and Fountain counties a little less than two week ago. Not to forget the 1.00"+ totals that hit the southside of Lafayette last week Thursday. So it got me thinking about overlaying today's max temps at the major/legit stations on top of the last 30 day precipitation totals and % of normals maps. Not that it's a full proof explanation, but here's the maps (precip maps courtesy of the Indiana State Climatologist website)...

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