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July 2012 General Discussion


Tropical

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OFB pushed back through and it's back up to 97 again. :lol:

It's been a non-stop roller coaster ride here since 2pm. lol

Winds are flipping back and forth between offshore and onshore. Right now it looks like another cell about to pass overhead, 92°.

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DTW has gotten way more rain in the past 72 hours (2.17") than it did for all of June (1.31")

In fact, according to WU, today (1.76") broke the daily record from 1875 of 1.09".

Very glad to see it here. :pepsi:

The funny part is the heaviest rain has still been northeast of the Airport (along/northeast of I-96).

4+ inches has fallen here on the northeast side of Detroit since Tuesday (we've more or less have been in the rainfall bullseye) .

So now I dare say "What drought concerns?"

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The funny part is the heaviest rain has still been northeast of the Airport (along/northeast of I-96).

4+ inches has fallen here on the northeast side of Detroit since Tuesday (we've more or less have been in the rainfall bullseye) .

So now I dare say "What drought concerns?"

Life on the edge of a ridge can be profitable. The totals taper off very quickly to the south and west of here, but Jackson and a few other places actually did okay today. About 1.5"-2" this month so far here near ARB. We've been on the furthest southwest recurring outflow so that's helped quite a bit.

DTW also got a record rainfall and record high on 7/16/88: 102 degrees and 0.93". I'd wager the setups were very similar. ETA: Yep, the ridge was just centered a little further east and south but otherwise really similar setup.

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I made a prayer today that the polar vortex would sit over Michigan for weeks in January... Widespread record lows...100's of feet of L effect...palm crushing snow in P Washington... La Crosse will see an all time low of -50F....

\back to reality... Looks like the front could come through dry here... NW winds the past few hours and the heat hasn't dropped and the humidity has risen...ugh.

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Can't wait for the cool off this weekend. 89°/72° currently. Some pic's I took today of the thunderstorms over eastern Lake County.

Thunderhead over Gurnee.

417505_4300692162440_267855042_n.jpg

Rain shaft just south of Gurnee Mills (Giant mall for those who haven't heard of it).

480413_4300692522449_519400590_n.jpg

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The funny part is the heaviest rain has still been northeast of the Airport (along/northeast of I-96).

4+ inches has fallen here on the northeast side of Detroit since Tuesday (we've more or less have been in the rainfall bullseye) .

So now I dare say "What drought concerns?"

Convective summer storms are why I wish more people had more rain gages. Who knows who the jackpot has been the last several days...but Im sure, as you said, some have been over 4".

Look how close I am to DTW, and look at the differences between MBY, DTW, and DET.

.................DTW......DET.......MBY

July 3........0.41"......1.48"......0.26"

July 4........0............0.68"......0.35"

July 5........1.76"......0.34"......0.65"

3-day ttl.....2.17"......2.50"......1.26"

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Roads buckling all over the place here...They had a main road shut down today because of it and i noticed I90 tonite had a lot of spots buckling. The road is already garbage...

Dew point has crept up to 79F here...

Gurnee...haven't been there since i was in high school. I've been to Great America about 8 times when I was younger. We use to do the "twicket" if they still have that... Also went to Cedar Pt one time...that was pretty cool.

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Two more days of hell and then normal to "reasonably" above for the bulk of next week. :)

Looking at the Euro, looks like another blast of intense heat returns sometime around day 10 and beyond. Not unexpected, but ugh.

As for rainfall in this area, eh, little to no chance it looks like. Pretty much have given up.

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This little tid bit below came from the updated afternoon IND AFD. What would this mean for our areas?

INTERESTING TO NOTE THAT THE ENSEMBLES SUGGEST A STRENGTHENING OF

THE SUB TROPICAL RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC BY LATE NEXT

WEEK...SOMETHING THAT HAS BEEN MOSTLY ABSENT OVER THE PAST FEW

MONTHS.

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This little tid bit below came from the updated afternoon IND AFD. What would this mean for our areas?

INTERESTING TO NOTE THAT THE ENSEMBLES SUGGEST A STRENGTHENING OF

THE SUB TROPICAL RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC BY LATE NEXT

WEEK...SOMETHING THAT HAS BEEN MOSTLY ABSENT OVER THE PAST FEW

MONTHS.

Get used to the heat.

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This little tid bit below came from the updated afternoon IND AFD. What would this mean for our areas?

INTERESTING TO NOTE THAT THE ENSEMBLES SUGGEST A STRENGTHENING OF

THE SUB TROPICAL RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC BY LATE NEXT

WEEK...SOMETHING THAT HAS BEEN MOSTLY ABSENT OVER THE PAST FEW

MONTHS.

I wonder if that could open up the Gulf and we could get some rain in this region!

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Decided to play some full court pick up ball this late afternoon/evening at a park here.

Played shirts and skins and even though I was luckily on skins it was still like playing in a sauna..

Played before many times in heat but man oh man today was just something else..

Worst decision ever... :axe::axe:

Can't wait for even the mediocre cool down next week.

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When it gets back into the 50Fs at nite, its going to feel like winter... Those areas with very dry soil (Madison/Saukville) should be able to plummet once we get some cooler air, clear skies and low dew points in place...

LOT talking about low 50 or upper 40 dewpoints coming up! I would say some 50° lows around here someplace.

~Along Milwaukee Ave. in Chicago - power has been lost! (Heat related)

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S. Lake Michigan buoy hit 80 today...

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL

1003 PM CDT FRI JUL 6 2012 /1103 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2012/

...OPEN WATER TEMPERATURES OF SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN REACH 80

DEGREES...

THE WATER TEMPERATURE AT THE SOUTH BUOY ON LAKE MICHIGAN REACHED

80 DEGREES ON FRIDAY JULY 6TH...WHICH IS REMARKABLE WARMTH FOR THE

LAKE TO BEGIN WITH...BUT UNPRECEDENTED FOR THIS EARLY IN THE SUMMER

SEASON. MONTHLY AIR TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN ABOVE NORMAL FOR NINE

CONSECUTIVE MONTHS IN CHICAGO...AND THAT WARMTH HAS TRANSLATED

INTO WARM WATER TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE LAKE. THE PROLONGED HEAT

WAVE OF EARLY JULY OVER THE REGION FURTHER ESCALATED THE WARMING OF

THE LAKE AS WATER TEMPERATURES ROSE 10 DEGREES BETWEEN JULY 1ST AND

6TH!

THERE HAVE ONLY BEEN SIX PRIOR EPISODES SINCE 1981 WHERE THE

SOUTH BUOY WATER TEMPERATURE HAS REACHED 80 DEGREES. THESE WERE:

PERIOD NUMBER OF HOURS AT OR ABOVE 80 MAX WATER TEMPERATURE

-----------------------------------------------------------------

AUG 88 11 80

AUG 95 5 81

SEP 96 1 80

AUG 01 3 80

LATE JUL-AUG 10 13 80

JUL 11 1 80

ON FRIDAY...THE BUOY RECORDED TWO HOURLY READINGS OF 80 DEGREES.

THESE WERE THE EARLIEST 80 DEGREE WATER TEMPERATURES ON RECORD AT

THIS SITE. THIS SURPASSES THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF JULY 21ST SET BOTH

IN THE PAST TWO YEARS OF 2010 AND 2011.

WHAT IS EQUALLY AS REMARKABLE IS HOW FAR ABOVE AVERAGE THE WATER

TEMPERATURE IS. LOOKING BACK AT THE AVERAGE JULY 6TH WATER

TEMPERATURE AT THAT BUOY SINCE 1981...THAT AVERAGE IS 63 DEGREES.

THE AVERAGE ON JULY 6TH 2012 WAS 78 DEGREES...15 DEGREES ABOVE

NORMAL!

FOR POINT OF REFERENCE...THE SOUTH BUOY IS LOCATED 43 NAUTICAL

MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF MILWAUKEE. THE WATER DEPTH IS 528 FEET.

THE WATER TEMPERATURE IS RECORDED ABOUT 2 FT BELOW THE WATER

SURFACE.

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