cyclone77 Posted July 22, 2012 Share Posted July 22, 2012 Made it to 92 after spending 85% of the day under thick clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 22, 2012 Share Posted July 22, 2012 I'm starting to feel next weeks chances of a of a good rain week slipping away like Adam Scott's British Open I like where we're sitting, even though it seems dry air and/or overall lack of instability tends to limit our convection, especially in recent months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 22, 2012 Share Posted July 22, 2012 decent llj over N ILL late tonight into tomorrow morning, I think we see enough junk to keep temps under a 100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 A muggy night tonight 81°/65° currently. LOT upped precip chances to 50% tonight and has heavy rain forecast tomorrow night. 96° predicted for here tomorrow, which will likely be too high imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 so far very little convection upstream...if nothing goes with the llj...tomorrow may end up starting rather clear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 So far, the re-calibration of Detroit Willow Run has done nothing to address the 3*F+ temperature difference. 86*F vs. 83*F at Metro Airport. Obviously it's too early to tell, but maybe nothing is wrong with its observations and the site's just naturally torchy for geographical reasons. YIP reached 97...problems remain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoar_Frost Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 so far very little convection upstream...if nothing goes with the llj...tomorrow may end up starting rather clear. If skies can remain fairly cloud-free tomorrow, I would not surprised if many places had their highest temperatures of the year (to date). Mid to upper 100's would not be inconceivable over parts of northern Illinois (and eastern Iowa), especially those areas a bit farther west that had very little to no rainfall last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 If skies can remain fairly cloud-free tomorrow, I would not surprised if many places had their highest temperatures of the year (to date). Mid to upper 100's would not be inconceivable over parts of northern Illinois (and eastern Iowa), especially those areas a bit farther west that had very little to no rainfall last week. 00z NAM keeping with the warmer scenario, but it will be hard to know until tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoar_Frost Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 00z NAM keeping with the warmer scenario, but it will be hard to know until tomorrow. True. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 I can't even remember the last time Milwaukee has had a convectively active week in spring or summer. I'm praying this is the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Temps have actually warmed up here the last few hrs. Up to 83 after being near 80 earlier in the evening. Very warm mid-level temps continuing to move in. Just shows how hot it could be during the day if clouds could hold off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 I can't even remember the last time Milwaukee has had a convectively active week in spring or summer. I'm praying this is the week. probably will be waiting another yr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 S. WI is the jackpot zone, it's going to happen^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Yeah I am not seeing S. WI missing out on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 S. WI is the jackpot zone, it's going to happen^ if we don't score tonight and tomorrow it could be a very disappointing week. I'm not sold we're in a good spot later in the week and im afraid we'll be stuck with most of the precip missing n/s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 There are never any guarantees but this is easily the best shot at heavy rainfall for southern wisconsin since 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 At 82° IMBY at quarter to 8. 81° at the sensor 1/2 mile away in Zion. Clear skies so far. BowMe - I'll keep my fingers crossed that all of southern WI gets a good soaking tonight! ... hopefully northern IL too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Full sun this morning. Already at 82, lets make the triple digit run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 At 82° IMBY at quarter to 8. 81° at the sensor 1/2 mile away in Zion. Clear skies so far. BowMe - I'll keep my fingers crossed that all of southern WI gets a good soaking tonight! ... hopefully northern IL too! lol, thanks! I would just love one good round of rain this week and the earlier the better so i can tell this negative gut rot feeling to piss off. The rains then can miss me all it wants as long as the rich don't get richer to the north and it unloads from the heavens on those who really need it for wells and such. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 There are never any guarantees but this is easily the best shot at heavy rainfall for southern wisconsin since 2011. I would say I feel pretty confident about later this week, especially Wednesday night, but it looks like tonight, if anything develops, it will be just south of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 12z NAM focusing its evening/overnight storm ideas on northern IL, east central IL, and central IN. 12z HIRES NAM seems to concur. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 To my friends across the border into Wisconsin. I hope the 23/06z GFS is correct with the precip you certainly need it. Looks to me however that most areas of WI that are the driest will see about 1/2" to a 1" as depicted by the 23/0z run of the Euro,GEM and UKMET as well as the 23/06 and 12z runs of the Nam. Lets wait and see what happens once the all of 12z suites are in, but right now it looks to me as if the heaviest rains of 2"+ will fall somewhere north of MPX to DLH over to MQT and maybe as far south as GRB, Hope I'm wrong and that the HPC is correct. Good Luck All....you need it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Rain chances are starting to look not as good for Southern Wisconsin. Models are showing the heaviest precip north/south of the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Rain chances are starting to look not as good for Southern Wisconsin. Models are showing the heaviest precip north/south of the area. High resolution models would be the best now at pin pointing tonight's convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 High resolution models would be the best now at pin pointing tonight's convection. Latest HRRR looks pretty decent for this area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Latest HRRR looks pretty decent for this area The HRRR is hit and miss but has done OK when the forcing is obvious enough which I think might be the case today. It will be interesting to watch where the next few runs trend. DBQ to ORD looks good right now but I wouldn't be shocked to see things end up 50+ miles north or south of there. Training signals look pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Latest HRRR looks pretty decent for Chicago Fixed your post. It looks like any rain would be confined from Racine and Madison southward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Fixed your post. It looks like any rain would be confined from Racine and Madison southward. Ya I wouldn't be suprised if that's the case. Where ever the high clouds are right now will probably be the same areas that see storms later. It's going to be a close call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Clouds have invaded now. 91 @1pm. Down from 93 at 12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Looks like we could have some light precip by 5 pm, that'll be welcome since the heat is getting bad again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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