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July 2012 General Discussion


Tropical

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This next vort that will be dropping in from the Northwest could give this area a pretty good shot at some severe weather. SPC certainly agrees as they have a day 7 and day 8 risk areas for the Great Lakes region.

day48prob.gif

Schweetness, don't see the D8 busted out too often. (actually... This year I feel like we have)

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12z GFS looks decently active into next week...blows up a monster nocturnal MCS Monday night.

To be fair, the GFS has been doing that all summer. We'll see, though: there is a chance that next week could be active, especially across Wisconsin and lower Michigan.

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Interesting paragraph from LOT

TONIGHT...THINGS REMAIN INTERESTING TONIGHT AS THE UPPER TROUGH PUSHES TO THE EAST WITH A CLOSED H85 CIRCULATION FOLLOWING SUIT. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WRAPS AROUND THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE SYSTEM WITH A SURGE OF MUCH COOLER AIR SPREADING SOUTHWARD. IT IS POSSIBLE SOME SHRA/TSRA ACTIVITY COULD LINGER EAST THIS EVENING AS THE SYSTEM SLOWLY DEPARTS. OTHERWISE... H85 TEMPS LOOK TO COOL TO AS LOW AS 12C LATE THIS EVENING. WITH THE VERY WARM LAKE WATER RUNNING 24-26C THIS YIELDS A LAKE TO H85 DELTA T OF 12-14C. WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOWING GOOD MOISTURE IN THE FIRST 4000-6000 FT ALONG WITH AN INVERSION THAT MAY BE AS HIGH AS 5000-6000 FT ABOVE A FAIRLY ISOTHERMAL LAYER...LAKE EFFECT CLOUD COVER LOOKS LIKE A GOOD BET FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. EVALUATED THE POTENTIAL FOR SHOWER ACTIVITY AS WELL BUT INVERSION HEIGHTS...ASSUMING THEY REACH THE ABOVE LEVELS...ARE A BIT ON THE LOW SIDE. WILL LEAVE POPS OUT FOR NOW BUT THIS WILL BE SOMETHING TO MONITOR.
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12z GFS looks decently active into next week...blows up a monster nocturnal MCS Monday night.

was looking at this as well. The juice will be there and better mid-level flow arrives by Monday (atleast on the GFS) sitting on the north side of the mid-level ridge, then the bigger system from the nrn plains comes in later in the week.

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Perfect day today :thumbsup: :thumbsup:

Mercury slipping below 67 °F as we pass 5 pm, gonna need a jacket for reading down by the lake this evening! Certainly some of the coldest summertime weather I've experienced.

Coldest temps in the state around Lake Winnebago, 64 °F in Appleton.

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Same here, looks like a few decent bands between Racine and Milwaukee

A world of difference compared to Monday and Tuesday!

69°, light rain and light fog here.

Nice to have the clouds today and not the scorching and drying out-the-ground sun.

2.83" for the month, which is above normal for this point and time in the month.

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A world of difference compared to Monday and Tuesday!

69°, light rain and light fog here.

Nice to have the clouds today and not the scorching and drying out-the-ground sun.

2.83" for the month, which is above normal for this point and time in the month.

Sure is, its been awhile since we have had a mostly cloudy day

Sitting at 68 right now, about a tenth of an inch has fallen with these showers

KRAC has picked up 2.05" since last night

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Had a very intense storm pop up at work this evening on the NE side of Indianapolis. Lots of power outages, trees down and fires from the lightning. Best storm I've seen in probably over a year. Only around .5-.8 inches of rain though which fell in 15 minutes :axe: Some extreme CG strikes. We had quite a bit of ponding but that went away very quickly and after awhile you couldnt tell it rained.

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I want to be here...

==================================================

ICAO : KVOK

Station Name : Volk/Camp Dougla

Country : US: Wisconsin

Location : 43-55N 090-16W

Elevation : 910ft

Time : 7/20/2012 12:59:00 AM

Temperature : 48.2°F

Dew Point : 48.2°F

RH : 100%

Wind : Calm

Visibility : 2600ft

Pressure : 1020.0 mb

Sky Condition : Clear below 12000ft

Weather : Fog

Remarks :

Heat Index : N/A

Wind Chill : N/A

==================================================

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