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July 2012 General Discussion


Tropical

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A trailing line of little elevated cells heading this way. Hoping to pick up a quarter inch or so in the next hour. Lots of lightning with the ones to the north.

Outflow blew through here when I was out shooting the time lapse. Felt absolutely fantastic after standing there sweating in the calm air for a half hour. Temp has been knocked back into the upper 70s after topping out at 102 earlier.

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More elevated storms firing in southwestern Wisconsin now. May give some of you southern Wisconsin guys some more rain later.

Yes! I see some more heading this way. Have picked up about 1.35" of rain since 8pm. Lightning is not as ridiculous as it was. lol

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Pretty gusty here from the storms to the north. Alas, the rain will miss to the north. Lake and Porter Counties, although still dry, have been getting quite lucky the past few weeks. They seem to be able to eek out storms while a majority of the LOT CWA stays high and dry.

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1.40" of rain for the 18th. Still raining out there. Hoping the wetter ground will hold back on the extreme heat in the coming week. Water is definitely soaking into the ground well - sump pump is going off every 15 minutes compared to twice a week before tonight!

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1.40" of rain for the 18th. Still raining out there. Hoping the wetter ground will hold back on the extreme heat in the coming week. Water is definitely soaking into the ground well - sump pump is going off every 15 minutes compared to twice a week before tonight!

Southern Wisconsin and far northern Illinois have been roasting of late with the very dry ground up there. Tonight's rain may keep things from getting too out of hand temp wise early next week. Rockford has been the perennial hot spot of late in northern Illinois. That may be over now.

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Southern Wisconsin and far northern Illinois have been roasting of late with the very dry ground up there. Tonight's rain may keep things from getting too out of hand temp wise early next week. Rockford has been the perennial hot spot of late in northern Illinois. That may be over now.

No kidding! Would be nice to keep it under 95°! ;)

The trade off will probably be higher dewpoints.

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This next vort that will be dropping in from the Northwest could give this area a pretty good shot at some severe weather. SPC certainly agrees as they have a day 7 and day 8 risk areas for the Great Lakes region.

day48prob.gif

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER RIDGE WILL HOLD OVER THE CNTRL U.S. FOR THE D4-D5

PERIOD...WITH MODEST NW FLOW ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE NE.

FORCING FOR STORMS...ANYWHERE FROM THE NRN PLAINS INTO THE GREAT

LAKES...WILL BE WARM ADVECTION...WITH A FEW SMALL CLUSTERS OF STORMS

WITH MARGINAL WIND AND HAIL THREATS EACH DAY.

AS AN UPPER LOW MOVES INTO THE NRN ROCKIES ON D6...A MORE

SUBSTANTIAL SEVERE THREAT MAY MATERIALIZE OVER ND AND NRN MN TUE

NIGHT...WITH THE THREAT PERSISTING ACROSS MN/WI/MI ON WED/D7 AND

INTO THE LOWER LAKES REGION BY THU/D8. THIS TROUGH WILL BRING

FORCING WITH A COLD FRONT...AS WELL AS STRONG FLOW AND SHEAR FOR

SEVERE INTO AN AREA THAT WILL BE UNSTABLE. THIS GENERAL SOLUTION IS

SUPPORTED BY BOTH THE ECMWF AND GFS MODELS...WITH RELATIVELY LITTLE

ENSEMBLE SPREAD. WHILE POSITION ERROR MAY BE ON THE ORDER OF 200

MILES WITH THE EVENTUAL COLD FRONT...THIS IS NOT UNCOMMON FOR AN

OUTLOOK THIS FAR OUT. ADJUSTMENTS WILL BE MADE IN SUBSEQUENT

OUTLOOKS AS THE EVENT NEARS.

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another inch plus rain...second in about a week. Still raining.

I said it the other day and I'll say it again. Chi-town has been the sweet spot lately. You've had your share of severe, periodic rains, along with some good heat. Couldn't ask for much more out of summer.

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I said it the other day and I'll say it again. Chi-town has been the sweet spot lately. You've had your share of severe, periodic rains, along with some good heat. Couldn't ask for much more out of summer.

I'm not a huge heat fan but it hasn't been the worst summer of all time...chasing records has been entertaining and we've had just enough convection to keep it from being a total disaster...with the last two providing good soaking rains. Real loud thunder with this little line.

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That was a well need soaking, airport picked up 1.57"

LOCATION PRECIPITATION TOTALS (INCHES)

DODGEVILLE RAWS 2.20

KENOSHA ASOS 1.85

RACINE ASOS 1.84

WISC-TV MADISON 1.58 (2-DAY TOTAL)

MADISON ASOS 1.43

NWS SULLIVAN 3 SE 1.29

LONE ROCK ASOS 1.09

MILWAUKEE ASOS 0.82

PARDEEVILLE RAWS 0.58

HORICON RAWS 0.30

WAUKESHA AWOS 0.17

FOND DU LAC ASOS 0.14

SHEBOYGAN ASOS 0.05

Also nice to see things start to get a little more active next week

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1014 PM HEAVY SNOW 3 SW MIDWAY AIRPORT 41.75N 87.79W

07/18/2012 M1.3 INCH COOK IL CO-OP OBSERVER

IN 20 MINUTES.

3" per hour rates! :snowing:

:lmao:

Last night got rock n' rolling again around 3:30am. Poured, with large amounts of lightning again! Ended up with 2.42" of rain between both days. Solid overcast still. Really nice to wake up to a wet morning for a change!

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