BowMeHunter Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 great, so you're saying, lord willing, the last 30-40 yrs of my life will be fighting off drought love this hobby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 great, so you're saying, lord willing, the last 30-40 yrs of my life will be fighting off drought love this hobby You got this going for you...this being for the state of Wisconsin. Note the trend. But again, we've been in a -PDO regime for the past 10 or so years...overall. There will always be some +PDO years in the midst of a -PDO regime as well, and vice versa. But I believe again, there is more correlation to the Plains/middle of the country. PDO index data: http://jisao.washing.../pdo/PDO.latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 So un-cancel looking out the nursing home windows to drought in 40 yrs.. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 21, 2012 Author Share Posted December 21, 2012 Take a good look at this map, because on the next update it's not going to look so bad anymore! The new outlook supports improvement in our subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 I agree, there is gonig to be a whole lot of white and yellow compared to this version. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Yeah, we've been one of the "lucky" areas this year. We are running a 2 year surplus of a "nominal" 32 inches. Top ten wettest years in Cleveland: 1. 65.32 2011 2. 53.83 1990 3. 53.51 1878 4. 50.38 1950 5. 48.53 1992 6. 48.34 1972 7. 47.82 1890 8. 46.44 1996 9. 44.59 2008 10. 44.22 1951 x. 43.51 2012 (so far through Dec 21) So, if that storm hits us next Wednesday we'll easily slip into 9th place. Crazy considering almost the entire eastern 2/3rds of the country was in a dry pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Well, the heavy rain/snow last week didn't do much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I think someone forgot to input new data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Here was the rationale for not making significant changes Midwest: A second week of widespread precipitation over much of the area was welcomed. Amounts were generally half an inch with locally an inch or more. But with longer-term deficits of several inches, little change was made. Only D0 was trimmed a bit in southwest Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 27, 2012 Author Share Posted December 27, 2012 I've had 2" of rain last weekend, which wasn't localized either! Surprised the D2 hasn't been trimmed back from the lake. Surface waters look to be at normal level or a bit above normal now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 The last storm (over 2" precip total) was enough to finally knock our severe back to a moderate. Substantially better than the extreme a few months back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 2, 2013 Author Share Posted January 2, 2013 Not a news story directly in our subforum, but relevant with our drought conditions. It is stated that in order to break the drought in Nebraska, 150" of snow would be needed in time in order to have optimal spring planting conditions. http://news.yahoo.com/extraordinary-snowfall-needed-relieve-drought-190639682.html'>http://news.yahoo.com/extraordinary-snowfall-needed-relieve-drought-190639682.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 Looks like they pulled the severe drought from Geos' area on today's update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 3, 2013 Author Share Posted January 3, 2013 Looks like they pulled the severe drought from Geos' area on today's update. Wow, been under the D2 status since early July I believe! OV made a big comeback since late summer! Brewers right on the edge now of D0/D1 borderline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 January 3, 2012 vs January 1, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 disaster in the making Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 disaster in the making Yup. This upcoming Summer is gonna bake like no other. A real Saukville special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 Wow, been under the D2 status since early July I believe! OV made a big comeback since late summer! Brewers right on the edge now of D0/D1 borderline. fwiw SE MI has 0.4-0.8" liquid equivalent in the current snowpack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 January 3, 2012 vs January 1, 2013 It's harder to break a drought in a spot that doesn't get much precip to begin with.... In a good year it seems bone dry. Jon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 December Palmer maps have come out. Obviously no two droughts are exactly the same but here are years with the most similarities to the current one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 Here is an updated list of peak deficits across the LOT CWA...Peak deficit per site:DPA: 20.21" (-15.84") Dec 14thHere: 22.14" (-13.93") Dec 7th RFD: 21.59" (-13.69") Dec 14thARR: 22.83" (-13.19") Dec 14thMDW: 25.37" (-12.82") Dec 19thPWK: 20.41" (-12.05") Dec 14thVPZ: 25.28" (-11.45") Dec 14thORD: 25.20" (-10.63") Dec 14th UGN: 24.26" (-10.42") Dec 14thLOT: 28.81" (-10.06") Dec 14th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sidewinder Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 All the snow really helped us out even if officially we were out of the drought, it sure doesn't hurt to have some extra precip. Some wells in our area were going dry this past summer. The coming warmup snow melt, and rain next week will keep us out for another month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 10, 2013 Author Share Posted January 10, 2013 I heard tonight on the local news that the Chicago locks may be opened if Lake Michigan drops below the level of the river. Right now LM is only a couple inches higher then the river - it usually is about 4 feet higher! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 17, 2013 Author Share Posted January 17, 2013 Not sure how true this will end up becoming - improvement selected for the entire subforum in drought still... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Looks like they made some improvements in the western OV on the latest drought monitor. Those areas had several inches of precip in the past week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 exciting week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 10, 2013 Author Share Posted February 10, 2013 Haven't checked the drought monitor in a few weeks. Just realized the D2 areas and D1 area was trimmed back to the west of here now. The snow/rain system this week will likely help the situation further across Southern MI and back towards Cyclone's neck of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 18, 2013 Share Posted February 18, 2013 Early thoughts on 2013 http://www.indystar.com/article/20130217/NEWS/302170029/Forecasters-worry-about-another-drought-2013?nclick_check=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 The final drought monitor of meteorological winter is in. Here are some comparisons between now vs. the end of meteorological fall 2012 and now vs. 1 year ago, first regionally and then nationally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 28, 2013 Author Share Posted February 28, 2013 I have to add it up, but I've had about 3.5" of moisture this month! Probably on the next update the D1 area will be trimmed back towards the Rock River. Would think lower MI is out of the D0 now too. Update: Had 4.05" of moisture for February. Way wetter than normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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