Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,606
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    ArlyDude
    Newest Member
    ArlyDude
    Joined

Drought in Lower Lakes/Ohio Valley


Geos

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 721
  • Created
  • Last Reply

LAF was running a yearly precip deficit of -8.76" as of last Tuesday morning. Assuming no rain falls tomorrow, LAF would end Monday with a -8.75" yearly deficit...so essentially we have made up no ground but at least didn't fall farther behind in the past week.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Cedar Rapids' rainfall deficit is up to -8.42" for the year, with pretty much all of that since May. My gauge has collected 0.39" in July, pretty much on the same pace as June. Iowa City has only received a trace of rain in July.

It's nice to see that areas to the east, which had been even drier than Iowa, got at least some decent rain recently, but now much of Iowa is getting worse pretty quickly.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2012 on pace to shatter the driest June-July on record for Indianapolis (1871 to present). Driest such periods below.

0.77" in 2012 (through July 23)

2.45" in 1930

2.78" in 1940

3.08" in 1991

3.41" in 1967

3.55" in 1954

3.58" in 1936

3.66" in 1922

3.67" in 1908

3.85" in 1893

3.86" in 1887

Link to comment
Share on other sites

CNBC had a segment about the midwestern drought. Word on the "street" corn futures will continue to rise to a stunning $10 or higher. Also it really appears the damage is done. This is borderline disturbing given the strain this could put on the global food supply. Lots of worry being priced in.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Updated through 11:00am.

0.74" of rainfall this morning through 11:00am at SBN, which brings their July total to 5.25".

0.85" at FWA this morning through 11:00am, bringing their July total to 3.82".

Further south in the Indiana, since May 1...IND has only had 3.47" of rainfall, BMG 3.65", and HUF 2.40".

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Low carb, venison and fish ftw. Not good is the poor livestock suffering in the heat. fattening America could use a

corn products cut back for a yr or three.

That's a pretty stupid statement, especially in a topic about drought. We aren't talking about people losing weight here we are talking about peoples livelihoods being threatened. The stakes are much bigger then some health nut douchebag smiling at people paying higher prices at the super market.

If we don't get this rain Thursday we might as well call the soybean crop toast too. It's really held up pretty well but the last three or four days it's showing it's stress. I walked a field yesterday and there aren't any pods to be found any where.

As for corn, we'll probably start harvesting in two weeks. Which is probably three weeks sooner then normal and would be two weeks sooner then last year which was the earliest we had ever harvested before.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Not good

"Forty-five percent of the corn in the 18 states that planted the most corn acreage last year is in very poor to poor condition as the drought continues across most of the Midwest"

I made mention of this last week. Here are the graphs to back it up.

My sister is an agronomist for a crop company in Michigan and said the areas that didn't see any rain have about 2 weeks before the corn crop will be entirely wiped out. Or basically if it doesn't rain before it tassels (2 weeks away). She said it's already a given that the yields are going to be drastically impeded with corn that has survived thus far. But that many farmers have already lost their corn in SE Michigan.

Colleagues in Indiana told her that most of the state's corn has already tasseled and they have unofficially lost most of their corn crop.

Soy beans aren't great, they have aborted flowering for now which dictates the amount of beans each plant will produce but say they have a chance to bounce back to 100% if the region gets decent rain by early/mid August.

Things are not looking good for the top 3 producing states of corn and soybeans. If they don't get a decent soaking of rains in the next two weeks (since the crops across the midwest are almost all at the same development stage for the most part) the U.S. could lose most of it's corn and soybean crop. That means huge price hikes at the grocery store and probably the pump...ethanol.

At that point if the drought gets worse it's impact will be on paper with the indices and not much else. The damage and monetary toll will have been done. About the only thing that will still matter to most people is if their lawn is brown or not.

post-3697-0-54154500-1343159742_thumb.jppost-3697-0-56722400-1343159766_thumb.jp

Link to comment
Share on other sites

CNBC had a segment about the midwestern drought. Word on the "street" corn futures will continue to rise to a stunning $10 or higher. Also it really appears the damage is done. This is borderline disturbing given the strain this could put on the global food supply. Lots of worry being priced in.

Indiana has confirmed their corn is wiped out and Michigan's is tittering on the edge. Some farmers are tilling their corn under in an effort to get wheat planted in time since wheat prices are skyrocketing right now along with corn and soybeans (it's almost doubled in price...even though the July wheat harvest wasn't too bad). Rumor has it that we will be hit harder at the pump (ethanol related) more so than in the grocery store although pain will be felt at both.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Going to be interesting to see the new drought monitor map (should be released within the next couple hours). Since the last one I think we picked up about an inch of rain in my local area (Northern Jasper County). Further north and east saw quite a bit more rain than that. Wondering as to how that will change the boundaries of the different drought severities.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'm surprised at this new update/map this morning. Thought for sure that the D3 conditions would retreat further north in WI. Have had 3.6" of rain in the last week here! ~ Hasn't gotten any worse here so that's good.

Edit: Of course some of the rain fell after the data cut off point. Next update should show some improvement over NE Iowa and parts of southern WI - probably central MI too.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...