Riptide Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 I get indigestion looking at exposed swirls with convection hundreds of miles to the E. It's just never attractive. There are some steamy Fujiwhara effects going on right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nikolai Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Looks like New Orleans better watch out for this one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 12z ECMWF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Looks like New Orleans better watch out for this one... Just saw a note flow by on FB that water agencies are already beginning to close flood gates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Euro Takes it due west, it deepens to about 988mb but remains weak until Monday. GFS takes it due east and keeps it weak. CMC takes it due north. Epic agreement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 96L up to 40 knot winds with 1001mb pressure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 96L up to 40 knot winds with 1001mb pressure. AL, 96, 2012062318, , BEST, 0, 260N, 876W, 40, 1001, LO, 34, NEQ, 120, 120, 0, 0, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 The Euro scenario is vaguely Claudette 2003ish-- with a W-moving, early-season cyclone hitting the TX coast. But Claudette was a bit stronger than what's being modeled here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 18Z Observations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Euro Verbatim = 988mb Port Oconor, TX 00z GMT Thursday. Alsolooking at Wunderground maps, the 200mb winds over the storm shift to southeast at around 48hrs. After that intesification can be expected if there isn't too much dry air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zestylabs Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Floodgate Closures: Due to rising tides and the uncertainty of the path of the system developing in the Gulf of Mexico, the Terrebonne Levee & Conservation District (TLCD) has closed the Humble Canal Barge, Little Caillou Floodgate, Bayou Terrebonne Floodgate, Upper Little Caillou Auxiliary Structure, and the Placid Canal Floodgate. All other sluice gates are closed as well. The Lower Bayou Dularge gate and Bush Canal Barge gate remain open at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Just had a flurry of reports fly by on social media feeds that we do now have TS Debby, but I'm unable to find anything to confirm that at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fpassa71 Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 It will be a serios situacion ..... fabio from Milan - Italy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Did Bastardi just say that 96L could reach C2 or C3 by landfall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zestylabs Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Did Bastardi just say that 96L could reach C2 or C3 by landfall? link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zestylabs Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Just had a flurry of reports fly by on social media feeds that we do now have TS Debby, but I'm unable to find anything to confirm that at this point. The highest wind report I've seen is 31 knots at the surface on the recon... there was a bouy report of TS strength winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thegreatdr Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 If only someone had anticipated that. =) The Euro scenario is vaguely Claudette 2003ish-- with a W-moving, early-season cyclone hitting the TX coast. But Claudette was a bit stronger than what's being modeled here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zestylabs Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Scratch that... 41 knots on the surface on recon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Very odd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 If only someone had anticipated that. =) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 If only someone had anticipated that. =) Are you referring to the forecast? I know there was some controversy around it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thegreatdr Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 That, and discussions from anonymous national centers over the past 2-3 days. hehehehe Are you referring to the forecast? I know there was some controversy around it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 That, and discussions from anonymous national centers over the past 2-3 days. hehehehe Oh, was Claudette mentioned as an analogue? Sorry if I'm repeating what others have already been saying. (And I thought I was bringing a fresh perspective! ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewxmann Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Did Bastardi just say that 96L could reach C2 or C3 by landfall? Haha, at least he wasn't saying Cat 4 or 5. I could see this doing a Claudette-like thing WRT intensity if this decides to go towards TX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Oh, was Claudette mentioned as an analogue? Sorry if I'm repeating what others have already been saying. (And I thought I was bringing a fresh perspective! ) Claudette/2003...1938...1913... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thegreatdr Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Page 4, 1/3 of the way down. It was a discussion reposting. Oh, was Claudette mentioned as an analogue? Sorry if I'm repeating what others have already been saying. (And I thought I was bringing a fresh perspective! ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 BEGIN NHC_ATCF invest_al042012.invest FSTDA R U 040 010 0000 201206231904 NONE NOTIFY=ATRP END AL, 04, 2012062318, , BEST, 0, 260N, 876W, 40, 1001, TS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Very odd. lol if Debby gets to cat 2, I will eat a bag of nails. I would be surprised if this mess gets to hurricane status let alone anything else. I still think the Euro is off its rocker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Very odd. Ugh, typical mindless yapping from him. Also, if he was up on current tropical-cyclone research, he would know that no one with any credibility thinks Audrey was a Cat 4. It's like he gets his information from 30-year-old textbooks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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