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Post Tropical Cyclone Debby


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Some pretty extreme statements coming from Wakulla County

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL

900 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

FLC037-077-129-260315-

/O.CON.KTAE.FF.W.0016.000000T0000Z-120626T0315Z/

/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

LIBERTY FL-WAKULLA FL-FRANKLIN FL-

900 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM EDT FOR

NORTHEASTERN FRANKLIN...WAKULLA AND SOUTHEASTERN LIBERTY COUNTIES...

...A FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY CONTINUES FOR WAKULLA COUNTY...

AT 853 PM EDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED VERY SERIOUS AND

EXTREME FLASH FLOODING ACROSS WAKULLA COUNTY. COUNTY OFFICIALS ARE

HAVING A HARD TIME ASSESSING THE EXTENT OF THE DAMAGE DUE TO THE

INABILITY TO TRAVEL.

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Some pretty extreme statements coming from Wakulla County

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL

900 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

FLC037-077-129-260315-

/O.CON.KTAE.FF.W.0016.000000T0000Z-120626T0315Z/

/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

LIBERTY FL-WAKULLA FL-FRANKLIN FL-

900 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM EDT FOR

NORTHEASTERN FRANKLIN...WAKULLA AND SOUTHEASTERN LIBERTY COUNTIES...

...A FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY CONTINUES FOR WAKULLA COUNTY...

AT 853 PM EDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED VERY SERIOUS AND

EXTREME FLASH FLOODING ACROSS WAKULLA COUNTY. COUNTY OFFICIALS ARE

HAVING A HARD TIME ASSESSING THE EXTENT OF THE DAMAGE DUE TO THE

INABILITY TO TRAVEL.

Man, this is bringing back some very unpleaseant local memories of Fay.

https://www.facebook.com/media/set/?set=a.101894349822412.4166.100000055419653&type=3

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"The highest recorded discharge from any inland Florida spring is 1,910 ft3/s (1,234 Mgal/d), measured at Wakulla Springs." That was recorded in 1974. Average is 391 ft3/sec.

http://fl.water.usgs.gov/PDF_files/fs15 ... echler.pdf

We're currently approaching 1,700 ft3/s there:

http://www.nwfwmd.state.fl.us/hydrology ... 652-1d.htm

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Getting flooding of major roadways in the Lake City area

0900 PM FLOOD 3 N LAKE CITY 30.24N 82.64W

06/25/2012 COLUMBIA FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

INTERSTATE 10 EASTBOUND AT MILE MARKER 301 CLOSED DUE TO

STANDING WATER.

0915 PM FLOOD 5 NNW LAKE CITY 30.25N 82.68W

06/25/2012 COLUMBIA FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

U.S. HIGHWAY 41 SOUTHBOUND CLOSED NEAR I-10 DUE TO

FLOODING.

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Euro is much worse, 943mb well east of the Carolinas @192. It has become the new CMC with tropical cyclones.I suppose anythings possible 8 days out, though I'd take dissapated over Cat3.

Obviously ridiculous, but I've always believed ECMWF was better at sniffing out TC size rather than strength. Generally, the lower the pressure depicted on the ECMWF, but larger the cyclone -- but not necessarily the stronger.

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So... Debby has made me make an entirely new absurd color table for rainfall.... So here's my 40" color table..

2.5 Days.. 31" of detected rain...

Don't take the totals verbatim, radar estimation is very imprecise.

That being said we are seeing crazy amounts, 18.5" since midnight in Sanborn which is the highest I can find, so probably 2 feet of rain storm total with Debby in the worst hit spots around that area (I recall ~6" in that part of the panhandle yesterday).

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You willing to share that color table?

Yeah sure, lemme add some tag lines and I'll PM you in a few minutes

Don't take the totals verbatim, radar estimation is very imprecise.

Understood,TLH isn't DP either which would probably help in this situation with ZDR.

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one EF-2 confirmed in Tampa area

.REFERENCE TORNADO...VENUS TORNADO

RATING: EF-2

ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 115-120 MPH

PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 3.6 MILES

PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 150 YARDS

FATALITIES: 1

INJURIES: 1

START DATE: JUN 24 2012

START TIME: 1223 PM EDT

START LOCATION: 2 SSW VENUS / HIGHLANDS / FL

START LAT/LON: 27.0400 / -81.3600

END DATE: JUN 24 2012

END TIME: 1229 PM EDT

END LOCATION: 2 NNW VENUS / HIGHLANDS / FL

END_LAT/LON: 27.0900 / -82.3600

SURVEY SUMMARY: THE 32-YEAR-OLD VENUS MOTHER WHO DIED FROM

INJURIES AFTER A TORNADO FLUNG HER 200 FEET AWAY FROM HER

HOME WAS FOUND CRADLING HER 3-YEAR-OLD DAUGHTER IN HER ARMS.

SEE COMPLETE HERNANDO TODAY ARTICLE AT HTTP://BIT.LY/KXFQQV

https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=201206260200-KTBW-NOUS42-PNSTBW

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one EF-2 confirmed in Tampa area

.REFERENCE TORNADO...VENUS TORNADO

RATING: EF-2

ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 115-120 MPH

PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 3.6 MILES

PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 150 YARDS

FATALITIES: 1

INJURIES: 1

START DATE: JUN 24 2012

START TIME: 1223 PM EDT

START LOCATION: 2 SSW VENUS / HIGHLANDS / FL

START LAT/LON: 27.0400 / -81.3600

END DATE: JUN 24 2012

END TIME: 1229 PM EDT

END LOCATION: 2 NNW VENUS / HIGHLANDS / FL

END_LAT/LON: 27.0900 / -82.3600

SURVEY SUMMARY: THE 32-YEAR-OLD VENUS MOTHER WHO DIED FROM

INJURIES AFTER A TORNADO FLUNG HER 200 FEET AWAY FROM HER

HOME WAS FOUND CRADLING HER 3-YEAR-OLD DAUGHTER IN HER ARMS.

SEE COMPLETE HERNANDO TODAY ARTICLE AT HTTP://BIT.LY/KXFQQV

https://nwschat.weat...W-NOUS42-PNSTBW

That's awful :unsure:

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...A FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY CONTINUES FOR WAKULLA COUNTY...

AT 1007 PM EDT...EXTREME FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES ACROSS WAKULLA COUNTY...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE SOPCHOPPY RIVER INCLUDING THE TOWN OF SOPCHOPPY. WATER HAS ALREADY ENTERED HOMES IN SOPCHOPPY AND THE SOPCHOPPY RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CREST FAR ABOVE ITS PREVIOUS RECORD CREST.

THIS IS A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION AND MANY AREAS THAT HAVE NOT FLOODED IN RECENT MEMORY WILL FLOOD TONIGHT.

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Looks to me as if heavy rain fall in the Florida panhandle is spreading west some and the fetch from the gulf is starting to increase again. Really a unique rain fall producing storm some could end up with 30+ by the time this ends.

Scary part is, there's already some areas close to, or over 30 inches, storm total. I don't even want to think what some of these totals could be. It could be as bad, or worse then Allison.

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Scary part is, there's already some areas close to, or over 30 inches, storm total. I don't even want to think what some of these totals could be. It could make Allison look like child's play.

Yes this is a very VERY dangerous situation it is bad enough it is not moving much. Now we wait and see how far west theses heavy rain fall bands spread and then how long Debby stays in the gulf. If it decides to stay here a few more days it would get much worse before any better down there.

As someone mentioned before Debby could be retired for rain fall frankly I agree however I do not think it will be completely due to what is going on on now. What she does down the road could help aid the chance of Debby being retired. For instance if it sits over the gulf another day or 2 then goes into the Atlantic and becomes a hurricane effecting the east coast or OBX the chance of the NHC retiring it would be much greater.

I really think Debby has a good chance of becoming a hurricane once she gets into the Atlantic due to lower shear and warm water temps Question is does it go up the coast, effect only obx, go out to sea or get stuck and do car wheels which is less likely but still a possibility. Interesting week that is for sure.

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Listening to Wakulla County Emergency services, the problem now isn't so much the rain as the swamps are doing their job of retaining and slowly releasing but trees are coming down everywhere because the ground is soup and any little wind gust is knocking them down on powerlines and threatening dwellings.

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