biodhokie Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 is impressive on the outages tho to be expected putting a heavy wind burst through population. a lot of these problems are that our infrastructure sucks. Totally agreed I can only imagine what would happen if this particular storm went through were I'm currently at. Power lines above ground everywhere here, lines that weave through trees, bad wiring planning (for example: one step-down transformer gives power to my apartment complex/subdivision which has around 60-70 tenants/homes). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 3766 7756 LARGE TREES DOWN WITH PEOPLE TRAPPED IN HOMES IN BROAD MEADOWS SUBDIVISION. (AKQ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 CHICKAHOMINY HAVEN JAMES CITY VA 3737 7689 STRUCTURE COLLAPSE WITH WOMAN TRAPPED INSIDE. (AKQ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 Is exit 173 the west point one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 Is exit 173 the west point one? No, West Point is on the east side of town. 173 is Rockville, just west of Short Pump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 No, West Point is on the east side of town. 173 is Rockville, just west of Short Pump. Ok thank you. Couldn't remember Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 Shelf cloud as it approached off 64 west of 288. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 richmond diamond field Well at least as of 5 yrs ago or so they needed to do some repairs to the Diamond, now they may have a reason to do so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 this looks like a hurricane ----from the diamond baseball field Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 26, 2012 Author Share Posted June 26, 2012 GFS continues to look interesting Friday with plenty of CAPE and a solid jet.. and really for a few days beyond. The Euro gives us almost no precip through the run. I guess I'll go with the GFS being on a hot streak for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 26, 2012 Author Share Posted June 26, 2012 imagery: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 GFS continues to look interesting Friday with plenty of CAPE and a solid jet.. and really for a few days beyond. The Euro gives us almost no precip through the run. I guess I'll go with the GFS being on a hot streak for now. That does look pretty juicy. CAPE certainly believable with that heat. Soupy airmass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 26, 2012 Author Share Posted June 26, 2012 i was tempted to extrapolate the nam but i see it doesn't even have debby by the end of the week so it might be wrong. or right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 GFS continues to look interesting Friday with plenty of CAPE and a solid jet.. and really for a few days beyond. The Euro gives us almost no precip through the run. I guess I'll go with the GFS being on a hot streak for now. This morning's NAM has something. Takes us to 100 by early afternoon, then sends a complex through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 26, 2012 Author Share Posted June 26, 2012 This morning's NAM has something. Takes us to 100 by early afternoon, then sends a complex through. doesnt look too exciting at the surface but 500mb is decent. probably going to take till 24 hours out to know where it tracks if it happens. AKQ posted this on yesterday to FB: Monday’s severe storms were some of the worst to hit VA in many years in terms of magnitude (60-80 mph wind) and overall path from Louisa to Richmond and Hampton Roads. The Tornado Watch was issued just before 1pm Monday afternoon. The firs...t report of severe weather across central VA came in around 230 pm. Here are some numbers regarding what the NWS office provided: 12 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings (avg lead time of 28 minutes) 16 Marine Warnings (avg lead time of 41 minutes) 31 Severe Weather Statements updating warnings 60 Local Storm Reports of damage, hail and wind reports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted June 26, 2012 Share Posted June 26, 2012 I think NWS stated that Bladensburg had isolated 100mph gusts but the damage to the top floors of those brick apartment building looks like what I have seen from F-2. They were 3rd floor units and the end units are mostly gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 26, 2012 Author Share Posted June 26, 2012 EF-0 confirmed in Goochland http://www.nbc12.com/story/18885686/nws-confirms-tonado-hit-goochland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 27, 2012 Author Share Posted June 27, 2012 SREF has been suggestive of a complex either skirting us (DC) mainly through PA into northern MD or of something dropping into at least the northern half of the entire area from the northwest late Friday. 15z is particularly intriguing.. new one still running. Could be a waste of a few days since these types of events are often very tricky to nail down where they target till they get going. If 0z models keep at it or the Euro actually shows any precip through day 10 might become interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 I think we'll get a thunderstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 27, 2012 Author Share Posted June 27, 2012 DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0227 AM CDT WED JUN 27 2012 VALID 291200Z - 301200Z ...OH VALLEY/CNTRL APPALACHIAN MTNS/MID-ATLANTIC... A WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN IS FORECAST ON FRIDAY FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST ESEWD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE NERN STATES. AT THE SFC...A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD BE IN PLACE FROM NEAR CHICAGO EWD TO THE MID-ATLANTIC WITH DEWPOINTS SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY FROM THE MID 60S TO AROUND 70 F. THE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD ALLOW FOR MODERATE TO STRONG DESTABILIZATION ACROSS A BROAD CORRIDOR BUT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE CONFINED TO THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ALONG THE BOUNDARY AT 00Z/SAT IN THE OH VALLEY SHOW MLCAPE VALUES ABOVE 3000 J/KG WITH 40 TO 50 KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR SUGGESTING SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...THE MAGNITUDE OF THE SEVERE THREAT REMAINS UNCERTAIN DUE TO WARM AIR ALOFT AND A LACK OF LARGE-SCALE ASCENT. ANY STORM THAT CAN DEVELOP IN SPITE OF THESE LIMITING FACTORS COULD HAVE AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 27, 2012 Author Share Posted June 27, 2012 the threat looks iffier on the latest models. the pattern is still there but we're getting into range where it would be nice to actually see something of note at the surface. i also don't think supercells would be our primary issue around here if we get anything friday as it would likely congeal to an mcs before that. but yeah.. our weather kinda blows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 but yeah.. our weather kinda blows. Duh. Let's go west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 Duh. Let's go west. Burn, baby, burn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 27, 2012 Author Share Posted June 27, 2012 the new NAM likes WV at least. i dont see how we come out of the stretch with nothing except that it's the mid atlantic. it's a shame we have no one else interested in storms -- maybe ill have to invite some SNE people in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 the new NAM likes WV at least. i dont see how we come out of the stretch with nothing except that it's the mid atlantic. it's a shame we have no one else interested in storms -- maybe ill have to invite some SNE people in here. Although models have it progged north, I'd watch that complex moving through PA, early morning. Some great WAA into Thursday night on the models at 850. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 27, 2012 Author Share Posted June 27, 2012 Although models have it progged north, I'd watch that complex moving through PA, early morning. Some great WAA into Thursday night on the models at 850. I don't really want morNing storms but I guess I'd take it. SREF was trying to indicate it might lay out a boundary for later in the day tho that was yesterday and it's fantasy range for that talk. But I'm free Friday eve so yeah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 the new NAM likes WV at least. i dont see how we come out of the stretch with nothing except that it's the mid atlantic. it's a shame we have no one else interested in storms -- maybe ill have to invite some SNE people in here. I'm interested in storms. I've just lived around here long enough to have learned that I'm wasting my time when I track them before they come into radar range... But don't let that stop you from inviting Wiz to post in here. That dude cracks me up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 I'm interested in storms. I've just lived around here long enough to have learned that I'm wasting my time when I track them before they come into radar range... But don't let that stop you from inviting Wiz to post in here. That dude cracks me up. Agreed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 27, 2012 Author Share Posted June 27, 2012 I'm interested in storms. I've just lived around here long enough to have learned that I'm wasting my time when I track them before they come into radar range... But don't let that stop you from inviting Wiz to post in here. That dude cracks me up. if i had to bet i'd bet i've wasted a lot of time watching but im kinda bored so oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 if i had to bet i'd bet i've wasted a lot of time watching but im kinda bored so oh well. Well maybe something exciting will happen for Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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