Master of Disaster Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 power just came back on here in my part of Silver Spring...i think we won some sort of pepco lottery...seeing that the numbers of outages has only slightly decreased this afternoon At 229,334 for MoCo between PEPCO BGE and Alleghney Power. All three of which service MoCo. The next highest numbers are Prince Georges with 182,000 and Baltimore County with 130,000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 30, 2012 Author Share Posted June 30, 2012 i cooked up a warning map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 On my count BGE has added customers on average of 2500 customers an hour. There is currently 400,000 customers out. Do the math.. *facepalm* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 30, 2012 Author Share Posted June 30, 2012 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1321 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0327 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SRN APPALACHIANS AND ADJACENT PIEDMONT CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY VALID 302027Z - 302300Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT SUMMARY...ISOLATED TSTMS SHOULD FORM WITHIN A HOT/DEEPLY-MIXED AIR MASS FROM PARTS OF ERN KY TO WRN VA. ALTHOUGH IT REMAINS UNCLEAR HOW CONVECTION WILL EVOLVE...POTENTIAL FOR CLUSTERING AMIDST MODERATE TO STRONG DEEP-LAYER W/NWLYS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND EVENTS THIS EVENING. DISCUSSION...GROWING CU WAS NOTED FROM ERN KY TO WRN VA IN RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY...WITHIN A HOT AIR MASS CHARACTERIZED BY SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE 90S TO AROUND 102. ALTHOUGH SURFACE DEW POINTS HAVE LARGELY MIXED INTO THE UPPER 50S TO MIDDLE 60S...MODIFIED 18Z IAD RAOB AND PREVIOUS GENERATION RUC VERSION OF SFCOA WOULD SUPPORT MODERATE BUOYANCY WITH MLCAPE OF 1000-2500 J/KG. DEEP-LAYER SPEED SHEAR WAS STRONG IN THE 18Z IAD RAOB IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK IMPULSE PROGRESSING ACROSS ERN PA INTO NJ. ALTHOUGH FLOW WEAKENS SOMEWHAT WITH SLY EXTENT...IT SHOULD REMAIN SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED UPDRAFTS. GIVEN THE STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...CONGLOMERATION OF COLD POOLS SHOULD FAVOR UPSCALE GROWTH INTO ONE OR MORE CLUSTERS. PRIMARY RISK WILL LIKELY BE DAMAGING WINDS. ..GRAMS/THOMPSON/HART.. 06/30/2012 ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...RLX...MRX...JKL... LAT...LON 37468258 37508140 37848033 38787896 39437812 39477760 39317715 39097699 38537707 37067818 36297895 36087998 36098102 36218174 36568229 36908281 37468258 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Batten down the hatches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 On my count BGE has added customers on average of 2500 customers an hour. There is currently 400,000 customers out. Do the math.. *facepalm* took them days after irene to get the bulk of customers back up and running Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Last night's storm was by far the most interesting weather I have seen around here since I moved to DC two years ago. The wind was just incredible. Felt similar to the Labor Day 1998 derecho on Long Island, except this time I wasn't on a boat! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Would agree with 30-50 per cent risk of severe storms but region may be somewhat shifted north to include se PA. Probably not a derecho event this time, more likely to be frontal wave development starting in s/c OH and rippling east across n WV and MD. Will post any updates to this concept as I watch developments. Some chance of a total non-event also, or just non-severe storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Unless trajectory changes probably more a threat down in RIC, should go south of DC. Tomorrow should end up a bit south of progged and be good for DC metro. Tonight, still think it dips through C VA but maybe it continues a bit more east of SE. I'd be feel pretty good if I was in RIC-Fredericksburg, but looks like we'll be just too far, barely. It looks like, unless we can get some stronger development on the northern end, the main core of the derecho will barely miss DC: I'm going to be livid when the best derecho in ages missing DC by 30 miles to the south. Still say the brunt of it goes just SW of Richmond tonight. Think it's make a sharp right turn. New storms popping up as the hi-res models had predicted in PA... looking forward to that as consolation for missing the main derecho. Hard to believe it's weakening with such instability, think it's just the mountains. oops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 oops matt nailed it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 oops The good news is my forecast didn't have a big impact on anyone The instability really got the job done yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 The derecho was interesting in that the nrn end ended up stronger and nailed DC. Usually, the southern and southwest ends tap into the deeper instability and remain strongest as they turn right with time. I wonder if that MCV on the nrn end allowed for a strong low to mid level jet to punch into this nrn line and sustain it better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 I was in Philly and missed everything. Sounds like worse than 6/4/08 overall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Not getting any radar updates on LWX site or thru GR/AllisonHouse or Wunderground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1321 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0327 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SRN APPALACHIANS AND ADJACENT PIEDMONT CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY VALID 302027Z - 302300Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT SUMMARY...ISOLATED TSTMS SHOULD FORM WITHIN A HOT/DEEPLY-MIXED AIR MASS FROM PARTS OF ERN KY TO WRN VA. ALTHOUGH IT REMAINS UNCLEAR HOW CONVECTION WILL EVOLVE...POTENTIAL FOR CLUSTERING AMIDST MODERATE TO STRONG DEEP-LAYER W/NWLYS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND EVENTS THIS EVENING. DISCUSSION...GROWING CU WAS NOTED FROM ERN KY TO WRN VA IN RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY...WITHIN A HOT AIR MASS CHARACTERIZED BY SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE 90S TO AROUND 102. ALTHOUGH SURFACE DEW POINTS HAVE LARGELY MIXED INTO THE UPPER 50S TO MIDDLE 60S...MODIFIED 18Z IAD RAOB AND PREVIOUS GENERATION RUC VERSION OF SFCOA WOULD SUPPORT MODERATE BUOYANCY WITH MLCAPE OF 1000-2500 J/KG. DEEP-LAYER SPEED SHEAR WAS STRONG IN THE 18Z IAD RAOB IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK IMPULSE PROGRESSING ACROSS ERN PA INTO NJ. ALTHOUGH FLOW WEAKENS SOMEWHAT WITH SLY EXTENT...IT SHOULD REMAIN SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED UPDRAFTS. GIVEN THE STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...CONGLOMERATION OF COLD POOLS SHOULD FAVOR UPSCALE GROWTH INTO ONE OR MORE CLUSTERS. PRIMARY RISK WILL LIKELY BE DAMAGING WINDS. ..GRAMS/THOMPSON/HART.. 06/30/2012 ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...RLX...MRX...JKL... LAT...LON 37468258 37508140 37848033 38787896 39437812 39477760 39317715 39097699 38537707 37067818 36297895 36087998 36098102 36218174 36568229 36908281 37468258 The rubber band response to a partially busted forecast. I'll call bust right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Really sticky here again...I guess my dewpoint spiked a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 The rubber band response to a partially busted forecast. I'll call bust right now. Wonder if that cold pool aloft racing across Indy and Ohio is your trigger later tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Not getting any radar updates on LWX site or thru GR/AllisonHouse or Wunderground Seems like all the local TDWRs are having problems updating on wunderground as well... Severe Thunderstorm warning just went up in central VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Seems like all the local TDWRs are having problems updating on wunderground as well... Severe Thunderstorm warning just went up in central VA. I think everyone around here is just having network issues - probably having issues with power/generators and such. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Seems like all the local TDWRs are having problems updating on wunderground as well... Severe Thunderstorm warning just went up in central VA. That cell looks like it's firing up quickly! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Almost the whole NWS warnings map went blank just now...I have to imagine something is going down with HQ or wherever their network stuff is handled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 oops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Almost the whole NWS warnings map went blank just now...I have to imagine something is going down with HQ or wherever their network stuff is handled. Same with the point and click forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Getting this error on many pages - Array ( [0] => Could not connect to host server: mysqlread.md.nids.noaa.gov Can't connect to MySQL server on 'mysqlread.md.nids.noaa.gov' (4) ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Still without power. Since I dont really have access to any radars and such, is there anything to the west of Roanoke that could possibly affect the area? Id look myself, but like I said, no power and my phone won't do radars.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Still without power. Since I dont really have access to any radars and such, is there anything to the west of Roanoke that could possibly affect the area? Id look myself, but like I said, no power and my phone won't do radars.. Radars are having update problems. I am not receiving any radar data from AlisonHouse, NWS pages are not loading or out of date and even Wunderground has been spotty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Radars are having update problems. I am not receiving any radar data from AlisonHouse, NWS pages are not loading or out of date and even Wunderground has been spotty. Sterling radar is red on radarscope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Still without power. Since I dont really have access to any radars and such, is there anything to the west of Roanoke that could possibly affect the area? Id look myself, but like I said, no power and my phone won't do radars.. This might help temporarily http://weather.weatherbug.com/VA/Roanoke-weather/local-radar/doppler-radar.html?zcode=z6286 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Radars are having update problems. I am not receiving any radar data from AlisonHouse, NWS pages are not loading or out of date and even Wunderground has been spotty. Ah, that's no good. I hate having no access to what's coming my way; Makes me feel uninformed. Once everything gets back up and going, send me an update my way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 30, 2012 Author Share Posted June 30, 2012 The rubber band response to a partially busted forecast. I'll call bust right now. yeah maybe, i dont think today is happening locally but there's stuff way west still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.