Ginx snewx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 i had a camera... i'll wander the area a bit later with my old one to see if i can find anything. there are a number of parts of trees down around me. have seen some pretty hefty damage pics in the area. these are all from last night sure there are better from today: http://www.washingto...id=pm_local_pop i hope i can get the data off my iphone at least. i took a min long vid as the first part hit. i think i got a sign blowing into a car driving by but it kinda sucks in low light. was funny.. two guys were fishing off the bridge we went by. as we ran past i told them they should get inside. they're like "huh?" -- a few minutes later we were trapped behind the low wall and they came running up and crouched next to us -- "this is some crazy storm." Insane storm. Looking at damage pics on transmission lines, ugh for power anytime soon for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Hi guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 30, 2012 Author Share Posted June 30, 2012 Were the total outages 1.3 million in the DC area, or was it a bit higher? I think people in some headlines are including total outages from the derecho itself. it was past 1.5 million on early reports. maybe they're reporting current as a number have been restored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 30, 2012 Author Share Posted June 30, 2012 lol.. this tree lost a huge branch during the severe storm a week ago and now another half of it fell.. from our listserve: We are aware of the fallen trees and debris and if no structual damage as occurred, we will address come Monday. The tree behind 2720 is costing us less to remove as it falls in pieces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 HRR has an MCS over us at 21:00 utc (4pm). Hard to imagine given the current radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 it was past 1.5 million on early reports. maybe they're reporting current as a number have been restored. I know it sucks to be without power, but that is a lifetime memory for those who went through it. I still can't believe that sounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 30, 2012 Author Share Posted June 30, 2012 HRR has an MCS over us at 21:00 utc (4pm). Hard to imagine given the current radar looks like we might be pretty close to the development zone assuming it happens. i think the widespread nature in the immediate area is probably considerably lower at this point than yesterday. but i could still see some powerful gusts in spots. could develop into mcs heading away? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThreeRedheads Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 *cleaning up attachments I'm out of town and received call from my neighbor. Apparently, we have some trees down and some damage. We live near Dulles. This is our backyard. Kids clubhouse and shed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Glad many are ok but sucks if you are still without juice. Hope it gets back sooner than expected for y'all. Went 12 hours without power here(same as Irene). Did see a few trees down and one down across CSX tracks. I'm ready for round 2 if it happens not that I want a repeat of last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Were the total outages 1.3 million in the DC area, or was it a bit higher? I think people in some headlines are including total outages from the derecho itself. BGE at one point last night had 1.2 million customers without power Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Master of Disaster Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Officially being called a "serial derecho" by the NWS. 238,000 without power in MC with one fatality involving a tree into a house trapping the resident on the top floor. Good news is that the Potomac treatment plant is back on line. PEPCO has requested 1000 crews for mutual aide. Not arriving until tomorrow though. What was the highest CAPE that anyone saw for DC area yesterday? The SPC will likely downgrade the 30% hatched for the DC area high winds with the next update. Sounding just dont support an enhanced threat this afternoon according to LWX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Really nice shear but dewpoints really haven't been able to rebound so far today and that's the big missing factor at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Really nice shear but dewpoints really haven't been able to rebound so far today and that's the big missing factor at this point. I'm sure we'll get some activity to form...but it will probably not be a derecho this go around. Radar looks pretty quiet right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Jesus Christ is Lord - in case anyone forgot he definitely had a hand in creating that rack of hers lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Master of Disaster Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Anyone have the link for this afternoons HRRR runs? Comp ref? I keep searching that site for the loop but not finding it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 I always just put HRRR into google and it's the first result. I change the zone to NE though so it's more zoomed in to us and I make sure it's the current run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Anyone have the link for this afternoons HRRR runs? Comp ref? I keep searching that site for the loop but not finding it. http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrrconus/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Anyone have the link for this afternoons HRRR runs? Comp ref? I keep searching that site for the loop but not finding it. http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrrconus/Welcome.cgi?dsKey=hrrr&domain=full&run_time=30+Jun+2012+-+16Z Change the model run from the drop down menu and the resolution type from the links to the left. I wonder why NCEP doesn't add them to their Model and Guidance Page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Power still out and getting hot in the house but not unbearable. Just finished helping my neighbor chop up a pretty big downed tree. Fell perfectly to not hit a house, powerline, or car. Next house up not as lucky. Car kinda squished and powerline pulled off of the house. I wish verizon fios would come back online. Not sure why it's not working. I ran a 200' cord to my favorite neighbors house to save their fridge. They're pretty stoked right now. Generator is getting a major workout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 http://rapidrefresh.... Jun 2012 - 16Z Change the model run from the drop down menu and the resolution type from the links to the left. I wonder why NCEP doesn't add them to their Model and Guidance Page. I was always under the impression that it wasn't like an official NCEP model run yet - run through some other division. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 I was always under the impression that it wasn't like an official NCEP model run yet - run through some other division. It sure has been useful lately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 power just came back on here in my part of Silver Spring...i think we won some sort of pepco lottery...seeing that the numbers of outages has only slightly decreased this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Power still out and getting hot in the house but not unbearable. Just finished helping my neighbor chop up a pretty big downed tree. Fell perfectly to not hit a house, powerline, or car. Next house up not as lucky. Car kinda squished and powerline pulled off of the house. I wish verizon fios would come back online. Not sure why it's not working. I ran a 200' cord to my favorite neighbors house to save their fridge. They're pretty stoked right now. Generator is getting a major workout. Sounds like you are a great neighbor! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billabong Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 http://rapidrefresh.... Jun 2012 - 16Z Change the model run from the drop down menu and the resolution type from the links to the left. I wonder why NCEP doesn't add them to their Model and Guidance Page. HRRR is still experimental. It will not become operational at NCEP until 2014. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Power still out and getting hot in the house but not unbearable. Just finished helping my neighbor chop up a pretty big downed tree. Fell perfectly to not hit a house, powerline, or car. Next house up not as lucky. Car kinda squished and powerline pulled off of the house. I wish verizon fios would come back online. Not sure why it's not working. I ran a 200' cord to my favorite neighbors house to save their fridge. They're pretty stoked right now. Generator is getting a major workout. You're equipment may have power, but whatever fiber loop is servicing your home is likely still dark if the general area is still without power. That would seem the most likely scenario, if you've confirmed that you have green lights on your gear... Cool to hear you helping out your neighbors. That's always one positive in messes such as these, people come together and help each other out...Hoping you guys don't have a repeat clean up tomorrow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/... SPECIAL 18Z KIAD RAOB WAS COMPLETED. IT SHOWED DRIER AIR/LESS INSTABILITY THAN EXPECTED AND ALSO LESS CAPE THAN THE MODIFIED 12Z SOUNDING INDICATED. ATMOSPHERE STILL HAS NOT RECOVERED WELL IN THE WAKE OF LAST EVENING/S CONVECTION. THIS WOULD TEND TO BE A HINDRANCE FOR WIDESPREAD ORGANIZED CONVECTION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND A REPEAT OF LAST EVENING/S SEVERE EVENT APPEARS UNLIKELY. STILL CAN/T DISCOUNT THE FACT THAT THERE IS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE CWA AND ANY SHORTWAVE WOULD ALSO SERVE AS A LIFTING MECHANISM. DESPITE WEAKER INSTABILITY...WINDS/SHEAR ARE NOT BAD AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY STILL DEVELOP WHICH WOULD BE CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jnis Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Just had a brief, moderate shower here in Damascus. My thermometer is on the fritz, but it seems very comfortable right now. Perhaps that is all the rain I my neck of the woods will see today...I hope not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 30, 2012 Author Share Posted June 30, 2012 seeing some cu field convergence over the higher elevations. might be where we get initiation today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 seeing some cu field convergence over the higher elevations. might be where we get initiation today. SPC down to minimal slight risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 30, 2012 Author Share Posted June 30, 2012 rpts from yesterday past 1000 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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