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Late June 2012 storms


Ian

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some weakening of the complex lately tho i think that eastward extension lightning up in PA is a good sign it won't want to miss

Yup, barring a right turn, which they do, I don't see how DC gets missed at all. And at this point, BWI may get the FAR northern part.

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You've always been the odd one ;) Yah mall is wrecked...find a friend with rooftop access at the Cairo.

She moved to San Fran like 3 yrs ago. Haven't been to the mall in like a yr so figured you might know. Usually there is good lightning behind the main convection in the stratiform rain so the monument is always a thought.

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She moved to San Fran like 3 yrs ago. Haven't been to the mall in like a yr so figured you might know. Usually there is good lightning behind the main convection in the stratiform rain so the monument is always a thought.

Ditto, haven't been down to the mall in ages. Maybe like top of Meridian Hill Park or something...though with rain won't be able to see to monument.

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New storms popping up as the hi-res models had predicted in PA... looking forward to that as consolation for missing the main derecho.

the northern mesolow part is headed right at us.. not sure why everyone thinks it's going to miss us?

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the northern mesolow part is headed right at us.. not sure why everyone thinks it's going to miss us?

I'm sure DC will at least see some rain and lightning, but as far as the main bow+meso I see that either just skirting DC or diving south. Just following a basic rule of thumb with the 500mb flow, but doesn't always pan out that way.

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I'm sure DC will at least see some rain and lightning, but as far as the main bow+meso I see that either just skirting DC or diving south. Just following a basic rule of thumb with the 500mb flow, but doesn't always pan out that way.

well clearly the main bow to the south will miss but the northern ends are usually still pretty strong. i'm more worried about weakening than it missing at the moment.

edit: tho i can see more concern north as dc might be right on the line.

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