North Balti Zen Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 So close. Yup. Lucky Katie. Stlll bone dry in 21214. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Ian - hatched slight risk for us tomorrow... intresting disco from SPC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Yoda OH VALLEY THROUGH MID ATLANTIC... MODEL CONSENSUS IS THAT A SHORTWAVE TROUGH EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MEAN UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER THE HUDSON BAY AREA WILL ADVANCE THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES AND NERN STATES SATURDAY. QUASISTATIONARY FRONT SHOULD EXTEND FROM THE MID ATLANTIC WWD THROUGH THE OH VALLEY. RICHER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S WILL PERSIST IN VICINITY OF THIS BOUNDARY. EXPANSIVE EML PLUME HAS ALREADY ADVECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE OH VALLEY AND MID ATLANTIC REGION...AND RESERVOIR OF STRONG INSTABILITY /3000+ MLCAPE/ WILL LIKELY EXIST WHERE THE NRN FRINGE OF EML OVERLAPS THE MOIST AXIS. A FEW STORMS MAY BE ONGOING EARLY SATURDAY WITHIN ZONE OF ISENTROPIC ASCENT ALONG BAROCLINIC ZONE. AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR STORMS TO REDEVELOP ALONG RESIDUAL CONVECTIVE OUTFLOWS...IN VICINITY OF THE FRONT AND POSSIBLY LAKE BREEZE BOUNDARIES AND INTENSIFY AS THEY ADVANCE SEWD. BELT OF STRONGER FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO 40+ KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED STORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS AND BOWING SEGMENTS CAPABLE OF MAINLY DAMAGING WIND AND VERY LARGE HAIL. SOME UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING STORM COVERAGE DUE TO POTENTIAL CAPPING ISSUES ASSOCIATED WITH EML. AN UPGRADE TO HIGHER PROBABILITIES MAY BE NEEDED IN LATER OUTLOOKS ONCE THESE CONCERNS HAVE BEEN MITIGATED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 yay? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Insert immature joke here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Whoa...WTF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 LWX HWO - Significant severe weather episode is expected on Saturday across the outlook area. Storms wil be capable of producing damaging wind gusts and very large hail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 LWX HWO - Significant severe weather episode is expected on Saturday across the outlook area. Storms wil be capable of producing damaging wind gusts and very large hail OMG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 LWX HWO - Significant severe weather episode is expected on Saturday across the outlook area. Storms wil be capable of producing damaging wind gusts and very large hail we are going to get it good! tehehehehe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 00z tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 we are going to get it good! tehehehehe And I am out of town for the weekend... fook me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 That MCS would have moved through at 3:00am. Scared the **** outta me. -_- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 00z tomorrow That second one is HAWT! Get in here Ian!!!!!!! 3000-4000 CAPE mentioned in LWX disco. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Man, I wanted to go to the beach tomorrow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 That second one is HAWT! Get in here Ian!!!!!!! 3000-4000 CAPE mentioned in LWX disco. Looks exciting for sure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Looks exciting for sure! I forgot Ian goes to work late. Guess we'll here from him at his luxuriously late time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 I forgot Ian goes to work late. Guess we'll here from him at his luxuriously late time. He's probably not even awake yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 HRRR is on board for a MCS this evening as well. I had originally thought the MCS would be too far north for us, but it looks like we're in the bulls-eye after all. Tomorrow could be interesting depending on where and when storms form. I may be out chasing if the low-level winds cooperate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 29, 2012 Author Share Posted June 29, 2012 woo storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 HRRR is on board for a MCS this evening as well. I had originally thought the MCS would be too far north for us, but it looks like we're in the bulls-eye after all. Tomorrow could be interesting depending on where and when storms form. I may be out chasing if the low-level winds cooperate. "we" as in the DC area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 woo storms I hope you get volleyball sized hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 29, 2012 Author Share Posted June 29, 2012 I love eml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Today's slight risk expanded into the DC area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 I love eml Fair warning - already told Wiz he should come post an analysis in here later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 29, 2012 Author Share Posted June 29, 2012 Fair warning - already told Wiz he should come post an analysis in here later Oh noes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 510 AM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0506 AM HAIL 2 E COCKEYSVILLE 39.48N 76.60W 06/29/2012 E0.75 INCH BALTIMORE MD TRAINED SPOTTER PEA TO PENNY SIZED HAIL Go me Pics or it didn't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Pics or it didn't happen. Seriously? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 "we" as in the DC area? MD, DC, NoVA. If and when this MCS verifies, I'll be hitting up one of my local parking garages to watch it roll in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Seriously? Oh yes. Dead serious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 I'm leaving for South Carolina at like 2:00 am Saturday morning. I'm afraid... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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