weatherwiz Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 The warmest 850mb temps are actually right over SNE with a pocket of +20C temps. 850mb dews also between +10C and +13C . 925mb temps about +24C with dews around +20C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Now who was it that said we wouldn't have dews in the 70's in the middle of the day? Help me out here 4pm and you said 99/70 but would not take the bet, Sallie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Wiz....that was in Albany 2 hours ago. Now it's clear and blistering. MET about to record a big win today. BOS should hit upper 90s to 100. Heading east shortly to hit the bean at peak heat time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Now who was it that said we wouldn't have dews in the 70's in the middle of the day? Help me out here They may mix into the upper 60's over the course of the next few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Wiz....that was in Albany 2 hours ago. Now it's clear and blistering. MET about to record a big win today. BOS should hit upper 90s to 100. Heading east shortly to hit the bean at peak heat time. Gotcha. I haven't looked at the satellite so not sure what was up. No sooner after I posted that though the sun has come right back out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 CEF reporting 73 so it can't be entirely blamed on meso sites choked in flora. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 They may mix into the upper 60's over the course of the next few hours. Good call DEWPOINTS...WHILE INITIALLY HIGH...MAY TEND TO DROP OFF A BIT DURING THE EARLY/MID AFTERNOON HOURS...ESP ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AS DRIER AIR ADVECTS EASTWARD BETWEEN 925-800 MB...AND AS MIXING DEPTH DEEPENS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Wiz....that was in Albany 2 hours ago. Now it's clear and blistering. MET about to record a big win today. BOS should hit upper 90s to 100. Heading east shortly to hit the bean at peak heat time. It's hitting like expected.. .Yesterday's cool bust is only augmenting this even harsher. Would have been nice to at least had that 85 to run this up. Some places may record a 30F temperature change, with a 20F DP change underneath. It makes for somewhat higher impact one would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Good call DEWPOINTS...WHILE INITIALLY HIGH...MAY TEND TO DROP OFF A BIT DURING THE EARLY/MID AFTERNOON HOURS...ESP ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AS DRIER AIR ADVECTS EASTWARD BETWEEN 925-800 MB...AND AS MIXING DEPTH DEEPENS Mentioned this an hour ago myself... These 70 DPs probably won't register when the temperature exceeds 93... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 89/76 at my house. HIX of 101 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Good call DEWPOINTS...WHILE INITIALLY HIGH...MAY TEND TO DROP OFF A BIT DURING THE EARLY/MID AFTERNOON HOURS...ESP ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AS DRIER AIR ADVECTS EASTWARD BETWEEN 925-800 MB...AND AS MIXING DEPTH DEEPENS If the flow from 925/800mb was more southwesterly or southerly then I could not only see the dewpoints remain steady but I could actually see them slightly increase as the afternoon goes on as there is a pocket of higher dews at 925/850 just to our south. Unfortunately, our weather here is coming from the west and off to the west is drier air. It still really shouldn't matter a great deal...dews will still be in the upper 60's. So the HI will be like 103F instead of 105F or 106F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Everyone loves to talk about BDL as the torch spot with a poorly sited ASOS (which is BS). The underrated torch spot in SNE is really BAF... they frequently are as warm... or warmer... than BDL. They're in a better spot for downsloping and they're just far enough north where they can avoid a 21z sea breeze front. They're 93 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Any links out there that shows 2HR or 3HR dewpoint change at 925/850? SPC meso only has sfc dewpoint change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 MAV up to 99 tomorrow at BDL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Because of dishonest posts like the one above from MRG, so BOX doesn't think it gets hot there Lol. If this is the extent of your hot summer that's pretty lame. Mid 80's at noon with a great breeze. We're working in the sun and it's hot but totally workable. Elevation FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 my davis says 88/76 (dp seems a bit high?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Ultimate mix-out example is that uber hot day early last August. On that day for FIT it was as follows, check out the dew dropping to 48 by afternoon 8AM-> 88/74 9AM-> 92/74 10AM-> 93/74 11AM-> 96/72 12PM-> 97/69 1PM-> 101/60 2PM-> 101/58 3PM-> 103/50 4PM-> 102/48 Worcester was 91 at noon that day with a high of 96 Queens NY was 103/74 that afternoon … btw, so big heat can happen with big DP at these latitudes it's just rarer to find that. But you gotta appreciate that DP crash up in SNE. That's west Texian dry-line passage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 84/68 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 86.1/74 currently . Perfect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Absolutely baking in southie absolutely baking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Everyone loves to talk about BDL as the torch spot with a poorly sited ASOS (which is BS). The underrated torch spot in SNE is really BAF... they frequently are as warm... or warmer... than BDL. They're in a better spot for downsloping and they're just far enough north where they can avoid a 21z sea breeze front. They're 93 now. Is Nashua NH a SNE ? They are commonly putting up the hottest temp within a 100 miles on these kind of days. Logan is going broil if the wind stays 300 though... gee wiz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Mid level clouds here in WeHa attm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 This heat/humidity is leading to some awesome Cape values...even with ****ty ML lapse rates. SBcape values as high as 2000-2500 J/KG MLcape values as high as 2000-2500 J/KG MUcape values as high as 2500-3000 J/KG Ncape values as high as 0.2 LI values as low as -6C Imagine if we had mid-level lapse rates of like 6.5 C/KM...or even 7 C/KM!@!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 This heat/humidity is leading to some awesome Cape values...even with ****ty ML lapse rates. SBcape values as high as 2000-2500 J/KG MLcape values as high as 2000-2500 J/KG MUcape values as high as 2500-3000 J/KG Ncape values as high as 0.2 LI values as low as -6C Imagine if we had mid-level lapse rates of like 6.5 C/KM...or even 7 C/KM!@!!!! With all of it capped up! Seriously though I'd watch for some convection over the Adirondacks or Quebec later... trajectory would bring it down into New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 With all of it capped up! Seriously though I'd watch for some convection over the Adirondacks or Quebec later... trajectory would bring it down into New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 With all of it capped up! Seriously though I'd watch for some convection over the Adirondacks or Quebec later... trajectory would bring it down into New England. It certainly wouldn't surprise me. Looks like some minor height falls up north later on and instability axis could help spark a few storms off. They had convection in Quebec yesterday on the leading edge of those height falls which look to work into northern New England later on and with the same airmass we have so we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 This heat/humidity is leading to some awesome Cape values...even with ****ty ML lapse rates. SBcape values as high as 2000-2500 J/KG MLcape values as high as 2000-2500 J/KG MUcape values as high as 2500-3000 J/KG Ncape values as high as 0.2 LI values as low as -6C Imagine if we had mid-level lapse rates of like 6.5 C/KM...or even 7 C/KM!@!!!! Do you think that we will see anything in the next few days that could be severe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 I do not see the difference? Are there mass evacuations of the city with no AC planned? I was just in the shade, its 89/75 here at work and its not bad at all in the shade with a 8 mile an hour breeze. i mean we are all going to die this afternoon so........ MY dp and HI just dropped 3* in the last 15 minutes,and temp even tipped down a few tenths. Nice breeze kicking up, pretty comfy here on the shaded deck, can keep the shawl away, I think. Warm 87.,6/72--hope to see those dews continue to drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Ultimate mix-out example is that uber hot day early last August. 8AM-> 88/74 9AM-> 92/74 10AM-> 93/74 11AM-> 96/72 12PM-> 97/69 1PM-> 101/60 2PM-> 101/58 3PM-> 103/50 4PM-> 102/48 But you gotta appreciate that DP crash up in SNE. That's west Texian dry-line passage impressive, but not quite... With all of it capped up! Yeah last time it was this hot I was excited, but now I'd just as soon mix out. Davis reading 91.9/76.3 smack in the concrete jungle. Ok, I grant you it's probably a little high... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Do you think that we will see anything in the next few days that could be severe? Unfortunately the setup to break this heat is not very exciting for big severe. There should be some storms on Friday and a few of these will probably be strong/severe but nothing widespread probably. I wouldn't completely rule out Saturday though...Saturday could actually be interesting. For Friday though the best mid/upper level support lag behind the cold front but with the front slowing down it's possible this support could catch up to the front which looks to possibly happen om Saturday...just a matter of how much the front slows down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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