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June 2012 Heat Wave Observations and Disco II


HoarfrostHubb

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2 days in arow here and ORH at 1,000 feet is damn impressive for any month. I hit 92 yesterday and 90 today..ORH was about the same..Most places in SNE should verify 3 day heatwave except for a weenie few

Still could verify a heat wave there Friday...might be tough

According to Will, only has happened 3 times in the last 21 years

But today was quite bearable

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I wish BOX had the stuff BTV has. I feel like The only good thing BOX has are the snow maps and those 2 or 3 case studies.

I just ask because I never know... its like all the NWS websites are somewhat similar but are all different at the same time. I don't spend much time on BOX's page so they could have the products BTV does and its just hidden somewhere.

I really enjoy a lot of BTV's stuff... everything from a dedicated Web Cam page (with all the web cams from DOT and PWS, etc in their CWA), to their daily climate maps listing all high/low/snow/depth/precip for every CoCoRAHS, CoOp, trained spotter, etc, and every time there is a forecast headline they usually issue a map be it high temps, low temps, snowfall, wind, etc.

People love those for some reason. It may work better up your way with elevation but I'm not a fan of those.

I actually rarely use it unless I'm trying to figure out elevation stuff and differences in regard to p-type and temps... I much prefer zone forecasts for inhabited areas. The point and click tries to get too "cute" with the details.

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Could a MET explain why that is? Isn't MOS aided somewhat by climo statistics and wouldn't that cause them to be too low in near record heat situations, as well as too high in near record cold situations? Wouldn't statistics somehow temper those more extreme values to what is more realistic in terms of probability.

I haven't really witnessed it that much before up here. As you get closer to verification time climo gets weighed less so if the NAM is 2C too high on the 850s the MET will probably blow the 2m temps too. It would have been interesting to see what the NGM MOS would have had for temps givens its long statistical database. It has probably seen a lot more big heat events than the MAV and MET.
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This is a wonderful 3 day taste of summer and hopefully much more to come, pretty run of the mill and very tolerable. Looks like later sat and sun are incredible, and we return to san diego type conditions starting tuesday with plenty of sun and low dews.

92

sunny

sw wind

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You'd think so... Yeah lol. Not sure why MOS does funky things in the valley during excessive heat. Great post by dendrite above. Marginal 20-21 isn't going to cut it. You want to see +22 or 23 widespread for widespread 100s

It lookedike we had 21-22 c a few days ago, but yesterday hedged little cooler and today a little more. I bet near 22c and w-wnw winds would do it.

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Is it inappropriate to throw this into a (non) heat wave thread?

WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHFIELD...CHARLEMONT...COLRAIN...

SHELBURNE

415 PM EDT THU JUN 21 2012

. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.

.WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.

Hopefully, people will stay indoors and keep their shawls handy lest they perish.

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Is it inappropriate to throw this into a (non) heat wave thread?

WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHFIELD...CHARLEMONT...COLRAIN...

SHELBURNE

415 PM EDT THU JUN 21 2012

. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.

.WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.

Hopefully, people will stay indoors and keep their shawls handy lest they perish.

Sounds awful..thankfully most of that won't verify

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89/70 on Block Island right now. Sounds refreshing.

Geezus, spin much?, you say squam would be miserable all day then quote BID airport at 530 when the sea breeze dies. Check out the chart from Quonnie just up the coast from Squam today. Today from 9 am until 3 pm was absolutely perfect refreshing , dry and totally not miserable. Sea breeze like clockwork

179b3625.jpg

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winds have veered due south now, looking forward to the higher dews tonight and tomorrow, for those that dont like summer warmth tomorrow might be the most uncomfortable day of the three

You just told us 3 days ago how you loved San Diego weather. Now you are back to Dixie Disgust?

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You just told us 3 days ago how you loved San Diego weather. Now you are back to Dixie Disgust?

I make the most of whatever mother nature gives me scott, I prefer heat as you know, but yeah the PB weather was growing on me. As long as its sunny, thats all I care about, are you enjoying the heat, are you up in lake country?

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Well I just don't see what the big deal was... all this talk and talk for a couple of warm-ish days in the 70-75F range. Sheesh. I worked outside all day in it, doing manual labor, spreading mulch, and painting, and never came close to breaking a sweat. This heat was no big deal, with dew points well down into the 50s and especially with the strong breeze dropping wind chills down near 60F.

2pm and the temperature is only 70F in the shade.

IMG_7005_edited-1.jpg

It might be 90F+ down in the parking lot and valley... but this warm period was no big deal up here.

IMG_7000_edited-2.jpg

</ski_MRG>

;)

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Steve that looks awesome man, nice little shore break today? Record high set at BDR today 96 degrees!

You have a beautiful family, and drip castles for the win!!

Yea really not much but perfect for the little ones to practice the body surfing boogie board skills for later. Great to spend time with four of the Grandkids today.

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