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June 2012 Heat Wave Observations and Disco II


HoarfrostHubb

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That BDF may have legs. NH Seacoast/NE Mass?

Hard to imagine it not as 'punchy' as it looks on rad. On the land, the boundary is moving much slower though...over the water, that part is accelerated SW at a considerably greater speed. Interesting to see. Could see Cape Ann whip flags from the NE. Beverly Mass... perhaps Boston at some point.

This wasn't really well modeled, was it? Heh, I don't' recall seeing that featured.

In any event, it's real. The 12z NAM is picking up on it now and actually BDs eastern MA prior to any frontal passage from the west by 30 hours out now. Has BOS going 04 at 12kts rather abruptly tomorrow. It may be that the front comes down and stalled over NE MA, then punches in tomorrow. who knows.

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last few frames on rad seem to suggest it is sunning out of oomph. May reassert though as the land continues to heat up.

Last night there was a single shower cell in SE VT that sent up an anvil and a crispy turret visible from Ayer, at sunset. That was without a trigger. I figure it interesting enough then, that there is a low level wedge nosing in the NE with possible 95 torridity lifting over its western edge during the latter afternoon hours.

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i can't say i've looked at anything up there but maybe up toward IZG area as that wind shift tries to press inland a bit...maybe enough convergence with the boundary and local topography?

The GFS is actually pretty bullish on convection for that corridor later today. I still have a hard time seeing anything more than very isolated.

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what is a good FREE radar link to track the backdoor front's progress. i've got the meso temp map up but want to know how it's tracking over waters NE of NE mass. Much thanks to anyone!

Man, good stuff.....fascinating.

I'll gladly trade some humidity for a bit more heat.

Ungodly here in downtown Lowell....not sure of the temp, but purely ungodly.

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Hard to imagine it not as 'punchy' as it looks on rad. On the land, the boundary is moving much slower though...over the water, that part is accelerated SW at a considerably greater speed. Interesting to see. Could see Cape Ann whip flags from the NE. Beverly Mass... perhaps Boston at some point.

This wasn't really well modeled, was it? Heh, I don't' recall seeing that featured.

In any event, it's real. The 12z NAM is picking up on it now and actually BDs eastern MA prior to any frontal passage from the west by 30 hours out now. Has BOS going 04 at 12kts rather abruptly tomorrow. It may be that the front comes down and stalled over NE MA, then punches in tomorrow. who knows.

At least up this way it was well modeled. For several days now guidance has had the boundary reaching just east of the NH/ME border. I think the biggest miss would be over the water, where it is accelerating, and even meso models are too slow with its progress.

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Low 90s now in many places but I see more 97-99 instead of 100. We'll see.

I agree. Temps right now are steadily rising, but not seeing any crazy jumps. Highest temps in the lower 90s right now, but still many upper 80s.

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Here it is in Maine on the wunderground site:

http://radblast-mi.w...ning=0&smooth=0

It's interesting ...and I notice that on the NWS rad, too, that the land areas are much retarded with the forward progress of that. It that really atones to the shallowness of that air mass. If there was more land presentation of the boundary hauling arse as quickly, then I'd be more inclined to think it punches into SNE.

Seems to suggest for me that only the NE sections and probably the shore districts get kissed. But what do I know -

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