Damage In Tolland Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Doesn't seem to be much inhibitory activity so yes. Was thinking of heading to the beach but perhaps tomorrow is a better bet given the preferred location often gets rocked in these setups. Storms fringed me yesterday but Kevin you had quite the wx weenie week! LOL, thanks . This is why I love summer, HHH and storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 There's a disconnect between the best shear and the best instability/mid level lapse rates. As the cold pool moves overhead winds aloft slacken quite a bit. That's why you're seeing the storms that form have a hard time really going to town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Here's a look at the supercell that gave Mt. Tolland its downburst. Cell over Manchester split and the left mover dropped it's core right on Blizz's bald head. OKX 2.4 degree BR (16-17kft over Tolland or so). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Lol Ryan. Good write up. I also think the winds from that came more from the west or wsw based in the way the trees came down. Neighbors on both sides of me also lost trees in backyard that I had not seen till they pointed out to me today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Lol Ryan. Good write up. I also think the winds from that came more from the west or wsw based in the way the trees came down. Neighbors on both sides of me also lost trees in backyard that I had not seen till they pointed out to me today That makes sense. You said the worst was a bit west of you so the center of the downburst was likely a bit west of you and you had a period of 40-50 knot gusts out of the west as the rain cooled air rushed eastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 That makes sense. You said the worst was a bit west of you so the center of the downburst was likely a bit west of you and you had a period of 40-50 knot gusts out of the west as the rain cooled air rushed eastward. Pretty cool how that all played out yesterday . All you hear today around here are chainsaws and leaf blowers. I had to have my buddy come saw the tree up. Too heavy to lift. Now let's see if we can get some hailers today lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 That makes sense. You said the worst was a bit west of you so the center of the downburst was likely a bit west of you and you had a period of 40-50 knot gusts out of the west as the rain cooled air rushed eastward. So you think that was a macro and not micro burst? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Just got home from work. Hopefully those colder mid-level temps/associated steeper mid-level lapse rates can work in here a little faster. It's quite unstable over NYS b/c of those 6.5 C/KM to 7 C/KM mid-level lapse rates, however temperatures/dewpoints are nearly 10F less than they are over SNE. If we can get those lapse rates to move in I think we'll see SBcapes increase to around 2000-2500 J/KG along with MLcape values in the 1500-2000 J/KG and probably see LI values as low as -6C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 So you think that was a macro and not micro burst? Depends on how wide the area of damage was. I get the feeling a lot of the damage was due to a relatively large area of 40-50 knot winds. I'll say downburst just to be safe. In a microburst it's usually a specific neighborhood (a smaller area) that gets clobbered not parts of several towns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Wiz I wrote a blog post for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Depends on how wide the area of damage was. I get the feeling a lot of the damage was due to a relatively large area of 40-50 knot winds. I'll say downburst just to be safe. In a microburst it's usually a specific neighborhood (a smaller area) that gets clobbered not parts of several towns. Yeah this was a 2 mile radius on NW side of town. Fairly narrow in width though if you drew a straight line with pockets of more damage than other areas in that line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Wiz I wrote a blog post for you. Sweet! I'll check it out in a few, just finishing up my craigslist postings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Busting several degrees high on temp now.. Forecast 80, current 86 Mid 80's widespread in c/s nh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 That's a great write-up, Ryan! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 These more westerly sfc winds are really starting to mix out the dewpoints some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Whole lot of svr fail today and Monday going around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Busting several degrees high on temp now.. Forecast 80, current 86 Mid 80's widespread in c/s nh 81 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Storms near Albany do not look healthy at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJBASHB Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Great day for a hike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Bow Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 81 here 85 here down the road from bob. Cool sky today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Light shower here now. Real light Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jntkwx Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 These more westerly sfc winds are really starting to mix out the dewpoints some. AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 205 PM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012 ... DRIER AIR WITH LOWER DEW POINTS DOWN IN THE 40S IN SOUTHEAST CANADA...HAS BEEN ADVECTING DOWN FROM THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST ON NORTHERN WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH...SO DECREASE IN CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST THROUGH THIS EVENING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 You can tell moisture is lacking just by the look of the clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Looks like I got off the lake with not much time to spare ... stationary heavy cells just unloading on western Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 ---1600Z UPDATE--- SLOW MOVERS CONT IN THE MTNS OF MAINE. HAVE ISSUED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL BUT THE COASTAL AREAS OF MAINE AND NH. CELLS IN NRN FRANKLIN CO MAY PRODUCE UP TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN DURING THE NEXT 60 MINUTES AT THEY CONT TO BACKBUILD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 With such strong 0-6km shear values shear may actually be a bit too strong and with the lack of stronger Cape updrafts may being tilted too much and this would prevent updrafts from penetrating the atmosphere high enough to really tap into the cold air aloft and such. Need more cape to get more mature updrafts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 85 here down the road from bob. Cool sky today Doesn't look good for storms. I have come to learn the local climo and the thunderstorms split around this area - they either head for the NH/MA border or north towards CON. Cold-pool and w or nw flow helps, maybe we'll see a hailer. Car thermo read 92 at 200' el in Manchester/Bedford on 101. Torch. lol It was probably 86 or 87. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Warnings flying everywhere here just to my west, Severe line of cells Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Looks like I got off the lake with not much time to spare ... stationary heavy cells just unloading on western Maine. Looks like it could be a real rough evening for you and I Eric... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Good luck up north peeps, hope you all get blasted! Not a cloud in the sky here 87. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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