CoastalWx Posted June 23, 2012 Author Share Posted June 23, 2012 Wonder if we seabreeze and fire storms that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Sun our in full force, what time do we start to see storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 NH bullseye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 NH bullseye Figures I would be just outside the slight risk area...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Storms have already fired in upstate New York. And are trying to fire in Norther VT and NH. Moving ESE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Cells are starting to pop over the Western maine mtns and foothills, I like the chances for severe here with storms developing to my SW Special Weather Statement SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME 1054 AM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012 MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028-NHZ001>010-013-014-232100- NORTHERN OXFORD-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-CENTRAL SOMERSET- SOUTHERN OXFORD-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET-INTERIOR YORK- INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-KENNEBEC-INTERIOR WALDO- COASTAL YORK-COASTAL CUMBERLAND-SAGADAHOC-LINCOLN-KNOX- COASTAL WALDO-NORTHERN COOS-SOUTHERN COOS-NORTHERN GRAFTON- NORTHERN CARROLL-SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SOUTHERN CARROLL-SULLIVAN- MERRIMACK-BELKNAP-STRAFFORD-INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM- COASTAL ROCKINGHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANDOVER...ROXBURY...UPTON... WILSONS MILLS...COBURN GORE...RANGELEY...KINGFIELD...BINGHAM... JACKMAN...RUMFORD...NORWAY...FRYEBURG...OXFORD...FARMINGTON... WILTON...MADISON...SKOWHEGAN...PITTSFIELD...SANFORD...BERWICK... NORTH WINDHAM...GORHAM...BRIDGTON...LEWISTON-AUBURN... LIVERMORE FALLS...AUGUSTA...WATERVILLE...WINTERPORT...UNITY... BIDDEFORD...SACO...OLD ORCHARD BEACH...KITTERY...PORTLAND... SOUTH PORTLAND...WESTBROOK...BATH...TOPSHAM...BOOTHBAY HARBOR... WISCASSET...WALDOBORO...CAMDEN...ROCKLAND...THOMASTON...BELFAST... LINCOLNVILLE...COLEBROOK...BERLIN...LANCASTER...LITTLETON... NORTH CONWAY...LEBANON...HANOVER...PLYMOUTH...WOLFEBORO... OSSIPEE...CLAREMONT...NEWPORT...CHARLESTOWN...CONCORD... HOOKSETT...LACONIA...MEREDITH...ROCHESTER...DOVER...SALEM... DERRY...EXETER...PORTSMOUTH...HAMPTON 1054 AM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON... THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS NEW HAMPSHIRE AND ALL OF WESTERN AND SOUTHERN MAINE EXISTS FOR THIS AFTERNOON. THE CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SOME OF THESE STORMS TO POSSIBLY BECOME SEVERE PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS POSSIBLY PRODUCING LOCALIZED FLOODING. ALL OUTDOOR INTERESTS SHOULD SHOULD STAY ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON. IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. ALL MARINE INTERESTS ON THE LAKES AND OCEAN SHOULD ALSO BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS AND SEEK SAFE HARBOR OF POSSIBLE IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES. LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATER UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION. $$ MARINE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1251 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1042 AM CDT SAT JUN 23 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...VT...PORTIONS NRN/ERN NY...NWRN MA...MOST OF NH...PARTS OF WRN/NRN MAINE. CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 231542Z - 231815Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT SUMMARY...POTENTIAL IS INCREASING FOR AT LEAST MRGL SVR HAIL OVER PORTIONS CENTRAL/ERN NY. THIS THREAT SHOULD SPREAD/SHIFT EWD ACROSS HUDSON VALLEY REGION AND OVER NRN/WRN NEW ENGLAND WITH TIME THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON. ISOLATED DAMAGING GUSTS ALSO ARE POSSIBLE. DISCUSSION...VIS AND REFLECTIVITY IMAGERY INDICATES GROWING DEEP CONVECTION...INITIALLY AND MAINLY OVER ADIRONDACKS REGION ENEWD TO NWRN/CENTRAL MAINE AND ADJACENT AREAS OF QUE WHERE INSOLATION OF HIGHER TERRAIN IS PREFERENTIALLY WEAKENING MLCINH. THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS AMIDST DEEP-TROPOSPHERIC DESTABILIZATION. BOUNDARY-LAYER AIR MASS ACROSS THIS REGION IS POST-FRONTAL...BUT CONTAINS SUFFICIENT RESIDUAL MOISTURE TO SUPPORT CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT/INTENSIFICATION OF TSTMS GIVEN LIKELIHOOD OF MORE MID-UPPER LEVEL DESTABILIZATION. MORNING ALB SOUNDING SHOWED TWO SUBSTANTIALLY STABLE LAYERS ALOFT...IN 600-700 MB LAYER AND IN 400-500 MB LAYER...NET RESULT BEING NEGLIGIBLE CAPE WHEN CONSIDERING JUST THAT. HOWEVER...THERMAL ANALYSES SHOWED COLD MID-UPPER LEVEL AIR JUST UPSTREAM...RELATED TO FIELD OF LARGE-SCALE ASCENT/DCVA THAT IMMEDIATELY PRECEDES STG SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER W-CENTRAL NY. THAT ENVIRONMENT ALOFT WAS BETTER SAMPLED BY BUF RAOB. MODIFYING ALB SOUNDING FOR LOW-LEVEL HEATING/MIXING AND BUF MID-UPPER THERMAL PROFILE OFFERS MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SETTING...WITH 7.5 DEG C/KM 700-500 MB LAPSE RATES ATOP WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER AND SFC DEW POINTS STILL UPPER 50S TO AROUND 60 F. THIS YIELDS MLCAPE IN 500-1000 J/KG RANGE...CONSISTENT WITH VALUES OBTAINED FROM RR/ETA-KF FCST SOUNDINGS THERE. LIMITING FACTORS FOR ORGANIZATION OF SVR THREAT WILL INCLUDE WEAKNESS OF LOW-LEVEL MASS CONVERGENCE...GENERALLY WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND LACK OF RICHER THETAE IN LOW LEVELS. UPPER/ANVIL LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE STG...HOWEVER...AIDING IN STORM-SCALE VENTILATION. ..EDWARDS/WEISS.. 06/23/2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 You guys think ct is out for the most part? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 GYX has issued flash flood warnings over Northern Franklin county for up to 3" of rain from near stationary cells Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Middle to later next week kinda looks interesting for severe weather on the gfs. Tough to make sense of it...not a typical set-up. Strong gradient pattern with slow moving cut-off...50 kt of mid-level west to west-northwest flow all the while pretty warm 850s are still able to advect underneath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Very brief and isolated shower just blossomed over Greenfield area but was over in minutes. No thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Looks like PWM has a shot at the all time wettest June FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME 1201 PM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH 10PM EDT THIS EVENING... .SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REGION. WITH PRECIPITATION HAVING ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA YESTERDAY...CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR FLASH FLOODING THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS EVENING. MEZ007>009-012>014-018>022-NHZ001>006-009-010-240015- /O.NEW.KGYX.FF.A.0002.120623T1601Z-120624T0200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN OXFORD-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-CENTRAL SOMERSET- SOUTHERN OXFORD-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET-INTERIOR YORK- INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-KENNEBEC-INTERIOR WALDO- NORTHERN COOS-SOUTHERN COOS-NORTHERN GRAFTON-NORTHERN CARROLL- SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SOUTHERN CARROLL-BELKNAP-STRAFFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANDOVER...ROXBURY...UPTON... WILSONS MILLS...COBURN GORE...RANGELEY...KINGFIELD...BINGHAM... JACKMAN...RUMFORD...NORWAY...FRYEBURG...OXFORD...FARMINGTON... WILTON...MADISON...SKOWHEGAN...PITTSFIELD...SANFORD...BERWICK... NORTH WINDHAM...GORHAM...BRIDGTON...LEWISTON-AUBURN... LIVERMORE FALLS...AUGUSTA...WATERVILLE...WINTERPORT...UNITY... COLEBROOK...BERLIN...LANCASTER...LITTLETON...NORTH CONWAY... LEBANON...HANOVER...PLYMOUTH...WOLFEBORO...OSSIPEE...LACONIA... MEREDITH...ROCHESTER...DOVER 1201 PM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN WESTERN MAINE... ANDROSCOGGIN...CENTRAL SOMERSET...INTERIOR CUMBERLAND... INTERIOR WALDO...INTERIOR YORK...KENNEBEC...NORTHERN FRANKLIN...NORTHERN OXFORD...SOUTHERN FRANKLIN...SOUTHERN OXFORD AND SOUTHERN SOMERSET. IN NEW HAMPSHIRE...BELKNAP... NORTHERN CARROLL...NORTHERN COOS...NORTHERN GRAFTON...SOUTHERN CARROLL...SOUTHERN COOS...SOUTHERN GRAFTON AND STRAFFORD. * UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING * SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LOCALIZED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IN A VERY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. * FLOODING OF SMALL RIVERS AND STREAMS IS POSSIBLE AS WELL AS ROAD WASHOUTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ POHL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Just had a few good rumbles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Could be an interesting afternoon up this way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Looks like SPC shifted the western edge of the slight risk back towards the berks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Just had a few good rumbles. I heard a few distant rumbles, but no rain. ...could have some fun later this afternoon... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Almost 4 hours to clean everything up and it still needs to be mowed. NICe Cu field forming to the NW. Looks like a nice line of storms heading SE that should get just about all of us with a storm later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Lot of convection firing over Upstate NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Almost 4 hours to clean everything up and it still needs to be mowed. NICe Cu field forming to the NW. Looks like a nice line of storms heading SE that should get just about all of us with a storm later We think were gonna have to call a pro to take down the tree that fell. Did you see that video I took? Did it look like that in your hood? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 The cell in Montague really intensified quickly. I keep saying it but that place just east of the river is a severe magnet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 We think were gonna have to call a pro to take down the tree that fell. Did you see that video I took? Did it look like that in your hood? I did see it..Good stuff.Very similiar, We both had 55-65 mph gusts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 I did see it..Good stuff. Very similiar, We both had 55-65 mph gusts It was great. Not sure how there are people out there who dont love a good svr storm..it really shows the power of nature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Man those cells are stationary over the Phillips/Strong area with 2-3"/hr rates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adamrivers Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 The cell in Montague really intensified quickly. I keep saying it but that place just east of the river is a severe magnet. Popped out of nowhere. Home to DJ this evening in Mystic on Elihu Island...hopefully everything stays away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Almost 4 hours to clean everything up and it still needs to be mowed. NICe Cu field forming to the NW. Looks like a nice line of storms heading SE that should get just about all of us with a storm later Doesn't seem to be much inhibitory activity so yes. Was thinking of heading to the beach but perhaps tomorrow is a better bet given the preferred location often gets rocked in these setups. Storms fringed me yesterday but Kevin you had quite the wx weenie week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Popped out of nowhere. Pulsed up quickly, but pulsing down now. Might be that sort of afternoon... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Well it looks like we're destabilizing decently. Maybe that stuff in NYS can give us a non-severe show in a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Pulsed up quickly, but pulsing down now. Might be that sort of afternoon... Even that stuff near GFL looks like it weakened slightly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Even that stuff near GFL looks like it weakened slightly. Yeah that's what I was referring to. Went from nothing to angry back to meh in about a half hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 http://ryanhanrahan....severe-weather/ A write-out on yesterday's severe. Take a look at this cool cross section from the supercell that split in Litchfield County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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