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Northeast Severe/Convective/Thunder thread III


CoastalWx

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I don't have GR2 like Ryan does which will give a much better idea, but there was a pixel with greater than 25kts which is pretty good for OKX. Just seeing the max there is enough to note that winds were strong. I think yu saw 50-60 stuff in those areas to your NW.

I didn't notice anything crazy on the velocity products for the Tolland storm. The Torrington/Harwinton storm had a nasty damaging wind signature on OKX base velocity.

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In any case, as long as the sun comes through, could be an active day.

Bright sun here.

Take a look at the Sharon/Kent to Harwinton (ChrisM) supercell on ENX

http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/radar/displayRad.php?icao=KENX∏=bref1&bkgr=black&endDate=20120622&endTime=21&duration=2

RFD wind damage on the southern edge of the supercell ending with a downburst (may have been too widespread to call it a microburst?) as the core collapsed just south of Torrington (with quarter size hail too!).

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Bright sun here.

Take a look at the Sharon/Kent to Harwinton (ChrisM) supercell on ENX

http://weather.rap.u...e=21&duration=2

RFD wind damage on the southern edge of the supercell ending with a downburst (may have been too widespread to call it a microburst?) as the core collapsed just south of Torrington (with quarter size hail too!).

That was a great cell. Would have loved to been in that when it peaked in NW CT.

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That was a great cell. Would have loved to been in that when it peaked in NW CT.

Yeah I think that thing produced golf balls at its peak just south of Sharon over to Cornwall Bridge. Unfortunately it's sparsely populated over there so we had no reports.

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Bright sun here.

Take a look at the Sharon/Kent to Harwinton (ChrisM) supercell on ENX

http://weather.rap.u...e=21&duration=2

RFD wind damage on the southern edge of the supercell ending with a downburst (may have been too widespread to call it a microburst?) as the core collapsed just south of Torrington (with quarter size hail too!).

did you see the baro traces from the nearby Meso sites? Gwave?

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That could be trouble. I think earlier show than yesterday. shortwave overhead by 18z.

The key to severe today is keeping dews in the mid 60s.

Could be a couple of areas that get storms too, then main line swinging in 18-21z? I know better than to get hopes up around here, but it looks like we may have some decent storms even this way as the s/w swings through. I'm supposed to camp down by the canal.

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Being in the bullseye FTL? Good luck, guess on how many tents get destroyed on the cape?

Eh, not like you should take them verbatim, but they are seeing something. On a side note, my thoughts for the Cape failed. I thought they would get something last night. I suppose the weak tstm I got this morning was it.

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...NEW ENGLAND...

ISOLD TSTMS WERE ALREADY OCCURRING WITHIN MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS AND

COLD POOL ACROSS THE ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY THIS MORNING. DCVA

ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH WILL SPREAD EAST AS SURFACE HEATING AND

RELATIVELY MOIST AIR MASS CONTRIBUTE TO DESTABILIZATION. STORMS

WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS AS THE UPPER FORCING ACTS ON THE UNSTABLE

AND WEAKLY CAPPED AIR MASS CHARACTERIZED BY MLCAPE AROUND 500-1000

J/KG. RELATIVELY FASTER FLOW ABOVE 500MB WILL RESULT IN EFFECTIVE

SHEAR MAGNITUDES OF 30-40KT AND SOME CHANCE FOR BETTER ORGANIZED

STORMS WITH HAIL AND PERHAPS SOME DAMAGING WINDS TO EVOLVE THROUGH

THE AFTERNOON.

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Hope we get something today other than near misses like yest, places within 20 miles S,N,E got hammered. Not a drop since 6/13 and surface layers are dusty. I'm hoping not to have to water the garden, as everything must be hand carried - no working outdoor spigot, though I've got 15 gal in the containers under the eaves, 100' from where it's needed.

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If I were SPC I would have brought slight risk right to the coast. Not sure why they left out coastal E Mass.

I thought they looked good considering how the s/w tracks. I do think most action is north, but maybe one of those tail end lines coming through.

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