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Northeast Severe/Convective/Thunder thread III


CoastalWx

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Well the highest winds are always at tree level and localized, how far are you from there. Also despite your beliefs wind speeds are the hardest to estimate. Fully leaved trees easily come down in 50 mph winds.

Good post Steve. People always over-estimate winds, myself included though I've gotten better from experience on the mountain. I'll have what I think are good gusts to 40mph only to find the weather station on the roof at the ski area base is like 27mph haha. Or you get off the chairlift and are blown back and are like holy sh*t that must be 55mph only to see a max gust on the lift terminal of like 40.

If that station in Torrington got 30-something that may have been 40-50 above the trees.

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cool video cept for the "audio" lol but seriously thank you for taking the time to link it and upload it. love vid's

i haven't gotten many severe storms. just one i can remember in fl w/ poweroutages and the gusts were unbelievable as i recall.

there were like 12 people over and everyone was freaking out. I thought it was.awesome lol

Power is still out BTW. I still think there must have been isolated gusts well into svr criteria at least somewhere in town. Some neighborhoods got pretty mauled.

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Chase situation or ioby? Haven't had power lol. Mobile amwx has been my only link lol

While I think all of CT has a shot at storms I do think the most numerous activity could be across NH/ME/eastern MA/RI but we'll have to see where the boundary is in the AM and where the strongest instability sets up. NAM has a pocket of ~2000 Cape in eastern CT into RI so we'll see.

I work until 12:30 tomorrow...if you're still w/o power you can come here and track the storms ;)

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there were like 12 people over and everyone was freaking out. I thought it was.awesome lol

Power is still out BTW. I still think there must have been isolated gusts well into svr criteria at least somewhere in town. Some neighborhoods got pretty mauled.

It wouldn't surprise me.

I'm sure someone...Scott, Ryan, Ekster could get velocity data of when the storm was above your area and could see what velocity was showing for winds just above the ground and that would give you a fairly solid idea of what the strongest gusts were.

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It wouldn't surprise me.

I'm sure someone...Scott, Ryan, Ekster could get velocity data of when the storm was above your area and could see what velocity was showing for winds just above the ground and that would give you a fairly solid idea of what the strongest gusts were.

That would be awesome!!

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It wouldn't surprise me.

I'm sure someone...Scott, Ryan, Ekster could get velocity data of when the storm was above your area and could see what velocity was showing for winds just above the ground and that would give you a fairly solid idea of what the strongest gusts were.

Yeah velocity data was quite impressive. I did a cut in for damaging winds in Torrington litchfield and harwinton. Will post radar data tomorrow.

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Yeah velocity data was quite impressive. I did a cut in for damaging winds in Torrington litchfield and harwinton. Will post radar data tomorrow.

The only way I could look at radar was through TWC (brought me back to the days when I was younger) and seeing that cell over Litchfield and immediately thought it was a supercell b/c it had a hook like shape and looked to be right moving.

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I sent in trees down reports on all kinds of rds to BOX,but they haven't listed them

Fixed your reports to make sure both got onto LSRBOX. Was on the overnight tonight. Hayden did a good job with this one. Definitely sounds like a microburst hit your area.

One of your hail photos looked bigger than 1". Good storm for you.

--Turtle

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3z SPC SREF also have around 1500-2000 J/KG of SBCape develop across parts of the region along with 1500-1750 J/KG of MLcape along with LI values of -3C to -5C and adequate vertical shear values. Today looking pretty decent I think, especially if those Cape values are achieved. Should see an upgrade to slight with the next outlook I would think.

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Today could be impressive in some areas.

I agree.

This isn't our "normal" cold pool type setup.

Not too often in our cold pool setups (with the exception of 2008) do we see dewpoints in the mid 60's or do we see MLcape values get up to near 2000 J/KG (and the 3z SPC SREF does indicate as much as 1750 J/KG). The RAP on the mesoanalysis is also developing as much as 2000 J/KG of SBcape across northern CT by about noon.

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I agree.

This isn't our "normal" cold pool type setup.

Not too often in our cold pool setups (with the exception of 2008) do we see dewpoints in the mid 60's or do we see MLcape values get up to near 2000 J/KG (and the 3z SPC SREF does indicate as much as 1750 J/KG). The RAP on the mesoanalysis is also developing as much as 2000 J/KG of SBcape across northern CT by about noon.

Gotta get the skies to clear first. Hopefully that happens by late morning.

I've liked today since looking at this in the aftn yesterday. I think this also may include almost all of SNE, east of the Berks...but I wouldn't rule them out.

If the clouds hang around, then we will not see anything special, but I think it will clear out..especially west. Nice S/W coming through.

Monday also seems rather unstable on both the NAM/GFS and even SREF.

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I did an 11 mile run this AM and some more damage touring.

All of the damage is on the NW side of town..From my house NW.

I counted 28 other trees/partial trees down today in areas I didn't drive yesteday..so well over 45 that I saw.

One on a car, one on a house, I saw one snapped power pole(maybe from a tree?)

There are a few neighborhoods NW of me that were really hard hit with a tree or limbs down in just about every house.

2 rds were closed with trees all the way across wires and they wouldn';t let me run past(CLP was there).

I would estimate winds def gusted to 60 mph in the hardest hit areas..possibly as high as 65. My yard gusted to prob 55-58

Can we do it again today? We can only hope. Sun is out

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