Damage In Tolland Posted June 27, 2012 Author Share Posted June 27, 2012 He's holding onto the best forecast possible...he will never mention the Euro ensembles cool weather after the brief warmer weather . I'm sure he would mention them if they were warmer....but it looks cool after a brief warmup. It doesn't look cool at all. There is no cool over the next 10-14 days. It looks above normal. Meteorolgy,not modelology Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 27, 2012 Author Share Posted June 27, 2012 Thanks, this is actually looking even more intense than any year except 1936, as I just posted in another thread, the Kansas-Nebraska heat wave is setting early sesaon and even monthly records for June, of course July has been 5 F higher at most places in their all-time records, but years that are mentioned for daily records past four days are mainly 1911 and 1954, two very severe heat summers. As for 1936 coming into play, that apparently started up around this date and started to spread east around July 4-7. The 1911 major heat wave built up around now and spread east June 29-July 5, then backed off slightly to frequent 95-100 F type heat after a few days closer to 105 F. In other words, the signal is there for this extreme heat to spread out and move east in waves. I thunk the odds are pretty high that this summer will join the top ten in the northeast and almost 100% for the central plains states, so that says about 80% likely for the Midwest. Whether you want to use mean July-August temps or extreme highs or numbers of 90+ or 100+ days, I imagine it will rank top 10 in all those indices. . This could get nasty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 I'm heading to the Whites and then to the mid-coast Sunday-Friday. Hopefully, far enough away from the heat. Meanwhile, rogue cows destroyed one of my young apple trees last night, ftrpol (for the royally pissed-off loss). They sound dangerous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 After first forecasting a wire to wire June torch, then a later June torch, I'm looking forward to seeing Blizz's July wire to wire torch fail as well. Why he doesn't listen to Will /Scooter I will never understand. Listen and learn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 The DJ on the station out of Northampton just said highs in the mid-90's for friday through sunday. lol that would be hotter than last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 After first forecasting a wire to wire June torch, then a later June torch, I'm looking forward to seeing Blizz's July wire to wire torch fail as well. Why he doesn't listen to Will /Scooter I will never understand. Listen and learn. I'll defend Kevin here. The tail end of this week starting today into Saturday has come in warmer than progged a few days ago. Today looks to be near normal for most but starting tomorrow we all go above normal through the weekend. This heat dome means business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 The weekend always looked warm...what am I missing? Alternating shots of cool and hot with the death ridge to our SW... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 The weekend always looked warm...what am I missing? Alternating shots of cool and hot with the death ridge to our SW... Warm yes, but from what I am seeing now, mid 90's? I don't recall seeing modeling showing low/mid 90's for Fri/Sat/Sun until yesterday. That's well above normal and beyond warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 The weekend always looked warm...what am I missing? Alternating shots of cool and hot with the death ridge to our SW... Distills the thread indeed IMHO the summer into one concise sentence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 Warm yes, but from what I am seeing now, mid 90's? I don't recall seeing modeling showing low/mid 90's for Fri/Sat/Sun until yesterday. That's well above normal and beyond warm. Bob, it was well above normal even 7 days out. Not surprisingly its coming in warmer now given the magnitude of the ridge to our west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 Warm yes, but from what I am seeing now, mid 90's? I don't recall seeing modeling showing low/mid 90's for Fri/Sat/Sun until yesterday. That's well above normal and beyond warm. Maybe it warmed a few degrees, but near 90F was always there. To me it is typical summer heat while the exceptional heat is shunted to our south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 It has gotten a little warmer since a few days ago Maybe up 3-4 degrees? Still ho hum looking. Typical summer temps A bit to the south looks awful Hot-lanta Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 They sound dangerous. LOL. I've already determined they're smarter than I. If they ever figure out they're bigger, I'm in trouble. There's about 100 that live across the street, but it's the same 2-4 that come over. There's a Brown Swiss that's the ne'er-do-well ringleader. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 Bob, it was well above normal even 7 days out. Not surprisingly its coming in warmer now given the magnitude of the ridge to our west. Maybe it warmed a few degrees, but near 90F was always there. To me it is typical summer heat while the exceptional heat is shunted to our south. Nice weather, hope the Tstorms stay south too. Looking forward to settling in to a typical summer pattern. Man I feel bad for Colorado though. That is a brutal assault with heat and super dry. Hopefully they can get at least one organized rainfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 This could get nasty LOL I noticed you didn't post at all in the cold thread yesterday as places struggled to get to out of the 50s and 60s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 I'll defend Kevin here. The tail end of this week starting today into Saturday has come in warmer than progged a few days ago. Today looks to be near normal for most but starting tomorrow we all go above normal through the weekend. This heat dome means business. Very chilly and breezy here AGAIN today. June comes in below normal. Wire to wire torch fail. There is nothing to defend. Stop with the troll posts already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 LOL I noticed you didn't post at all in the cold thread yesterday as places struggled to get to out of the 50s and 60s. Especially when he was stuck in the upper 60s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 It has gotten a little warmer since a few days ago Maybe up 3-4 degrees? Still ho hum looking. Typical summer temps A bit to the south looks awful Hot-lanta Yeah typical summer weather...last week some highs near 90F, now highs in the 50s and 60s, then this weekend BTV calling for mid 80s...then models show it cools off again. Typical rollarcoaster ride while Blizz dreams of being in Atlanta. Then again, let's all try to not use the models...it's all about meteorology and not modelology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 27, 2012 Author Share Posted June 27, 2012 Well AMOUT..the op Euro was waaayy too cool for next week as the Euro ens and GEFS absolutely roast us days 8-10. If you guys want all this convection you are going to be forced not only to accept this AN pattern, but also root it on. NW flow events galore to break the every 2-3 day heat waves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 Well AMOUT..the op Euro was waaayy too cool for next week as the Euro ens and GEFS absolutely roast us days 8-10. If you guys want all this convection you are going to be forced not only to accept this AN pattern, but also root it on. NW flow events galore to break the every 2-3 day heat waves No roast, just summer like wx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 27, 2012 Author Share Posted June 27, 2012 No roast, just summer like wx. GEFS are a roast..Euro ens are a torch days 8-10..certainly warmer than op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 GEFS are a roast..Euro ens are a torch days 8-10..certainly warmer than op No they aren't. I hope you didn't look at the models because if you did....lord help you. A 1-2C anomaly at 850 is not a torch. It's more like the 8-10 where it warms up. Next week actually cooled down on the runs today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 27, 2012 Author Share Posted June 27, 2012 No they aren't. I hope you didn't look at the models because if you did....lord help you. A 1-2C anomaly at 850 is not a torch. It's more like the 8-10 where it warms up. Next week actually cooled down on the runs today. I don't agree. Not on the euro ens they didnt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 I don't agree. Not on the euro ens they didnt Well I guess you misread them. Day 8-10 is warm, but not a torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 27, 2012 Author Share Posted June 27, 2012 Well I guess you misread them. Day 8-10 is warm, but not a torch. If 90 isn't a torch then color me dumb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 If 90 isn't a torch then color me dumb Day 8-10 weren't 90. Where are the crayons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 If 90 isn't a torch then color me dumb Isn't 90 about 5 degrees above normal this time of year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diego Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 They sound dangerous. A fairly common occurence in my neck of the woods, I mean neighborhood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 GEFS are a roast..Euro ens are a torch days 8-10..certainly warmer than op No they aren't. I hope you didn't look at the models because if you did....lord help you. A 1-2C anomaly at 850 is not a torch. It's more like the 8-10 where it warms up. Next week actually cooled down on the runs today. LOL! You guys should take this show on the road. Blizz just keeps peddling the torch even when the pros tell him he's seeing things. Acute Lesco Intoxication, the only logical conclusion one can draw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Day 8-10 weren't 90. Where are the crayons. Euro ENS look normal to me 850 wise, could be cooler surface with precip days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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