Ginx snewx Posted June 20, 2012 Author Share Posted June 20, 2012 Man the 12z Goofus is a dream. Sultan will be out in full swing. Closed ULL with tropical system phase. NICE! The GFS runs a porn site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Thank God the delightful cool down is on the horizon. Amen....the office has just enough AC to bare it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 and the euro goes in the opposite direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 and the euro goes in the opposite direction More HEAT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 More HEAT? the big closed low it had over the ne has trended more open and north and there is a huge ridge stretching across the country behind it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Looks pretty good.. 168 hr a long time tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 the big closed low it had over the ne has trended more open and north and there is a huge ridge stretching across the country behind it maybe the next heat wave is not that far away then...so much for all the doom and gloom per the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Man the 12z Goofus is a dream. Sultan will be out in full swing. Closed ULL with tropical system phase. NICE! 984mb low in the last week of June? Riiiiight. I think that's about the same pressure as Agnes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 20, 2012 Author Share Posted June 20, 2012 maybe the next heat wave is not that far away then...so much for all the doom and gloom per the Euro it helps to actually look at a model before commenting Brian. The 12Z Euro does not have the coastal bomb the GFS has but next week is cool with no heat in sight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 it helps to actually look at a model before commenting Brian. The 12Z Euro does not have the coastal bomb the GFS has but next week is cool with no heat in sight. Yup. Looks like Thurs may be the best as far as temps. go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 The models right now are all over the place. Run to run continuity is zilch right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 This particular 12z Euro run doesn't really bring the more meaningful cool down until after D6. +14C at 850 supports warmth until then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 AWT normal to above thru day 10. Lol at the the cold and wet talk from the last few days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 This particular 12z Euro run doesn't really bring the more meaningful cool down until after D6. +14C at 850 supports warmth until then. it's probably not coming down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 it's probably not coming down Most of us saw this.. A few thought cold wet and much below Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 it's probably not coming down Yeah, we've pointed this out in the past that the oper. Euro carves heights to low in the NE conus as a running bias D6-10... The 06z and 12z GFS is even more carved this time, which is interesting. who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Euro has highs in the 60s on Monday with that rain...that will feel quite a bit different than today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Euro has highs in the 60s on Monday with that rain...that will feel quite a bit different than today. Would be awesome if it verifies. Relief from this humid stench. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Would be awesome if it verifies. Relief from this humid stench. It will be relief regardless...its definitely a big cooldown from this heat wave no matter how much Kevin wants to spin it...just because its not a "54F record low-max" nor' easter doesn't mean it won't be a much more comfortable pattern in terms of sensible wx. It looks like we could have some nice low 70s type highs again when that ULL moves over after the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Yeah, we've pointed this out in the past that the oper. Euro carves heights to low in the NE conus as a running bias D6-10... The 06z and 12z GFS is even more carved this time, which is interesting. who knows. As we've pointed out can prob add on 10 degrees to what euro is printing out. Just no cool anywhere in Canada to come down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 I'm guessing 1 to 3 days with sub-70 max next week for MBY. Looking forward, and after a week of no precip, my garden could use a moderate soaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 The idea of perhaps the greatest warmth occurring in the final 7-10 days of June was early on and persistently part of the analogs showing up (Messages #7 and Message #9). Shorter wave lengths have led to a somewhat more rapid progression of the pattern. I'm trying to compensate for that in July. However, the month as a whole may well wind up warmer than normal in the East. Some of the analogs still to be sifted through are very hot. If those analogs wind up being representative of July's conditions, the notions of a "non-summer" this year will wind up torched. July will probably wind up the warmest month relative to normal. August is still uncertain, but there has been some tendency among analogs showing up in recent weeks to hint at a rising probability of warmer than normal conditions. I'll put out my first week of July thoughts tomorrow. Probably a day or two later, I'll post my overall thoughts for July. I'm leaning toward widespread warmth. Don says hello Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Don says hello What if he forecasts a warm, unsnowy winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 What if he forecasts a warm, unsnowy winter? Then I will ignore those forecasts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Don says hello As we've pointed out can prob add on 10 degrees to what euro is printing out. Just no cool anywhere in Canada to come down Most of us saw this.. A few thought cold wet and much below AWT normal to above thru day 10. Lol at the the cold and wet talk from the last few days At this point no one can tell the difference between what you think will happen vs. the type of weather you desire. Its summer, if you want warmth, more often than not you'll be correct. Can't wait for the personality flip to start reading all posts about "Cold and snowy periods coming up." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Then I will ignore those forecasts At least you're honest... gotta give ya that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 Then I will ignore those forecasts You are like a light switch.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 It will be relief regardless...its definitely a big cooldown from this heat wave no matter how much Kevin wants to spin it...just because its not a "54F record low-max" nor' easter doesn't mean it won't be a much more comfortable pattern in terms of sensible wx. It looks like we could have some nice low 70s type highs again when that ULL moves over after the rain. Nothing like that for my backyard. In fact this looks above normal. http://www.wwlp.com/subindex/weather/7_day_forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 Nothing like that for my backyard. In fact this looks above normal. http://www.wwlp.com/.../7_day_forecast 78/60 and 80/54 are below normal for your area next week. That looks a bit optimistic too for early next week...but we'll see. Even if that pans out, that is below normal for your area. BDL's normal is 83/61 by mid next week which is a good aproximation for just a few miles north in Springfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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