CT Rain Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 I have a feeling the impending "cool down and trough return" will be a bit of a dud here in CT. While areas farther north and east will likely benefit from being closer to the trough axis I think we'll sneak out some sneaky warmth as things are currently modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 I have a feeling the impending "cool down and trough return" will be a bit of a dud here in CT. While areas farther north and east will likely benefit from being closer to the trough axis I think we'll sneak out some sneaky warmth as things are currently modeled. the euro has a massive bubble of heat lurking just to the sw and it wouldn't take much to advect some of that ene Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 the euro has a massive bubble of heat lurking just to the sw and it wouldn't take much to advect some of that ene Yeah I saw that. Does look cooler than Wed/Thu but at least for CT I don't see a prolonged below normal stretch. Looks pretty average to me right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 The last -5 or colder months were Feb 2007 at BDL and BOS, Jan 2009 at ORH, and Jan 2004 at PVD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 The last -5 or colder months were Feb 2007 at BDL and BOS, Jan 2009 at ORH, and Jan 2004 at PVD. feb 07 might qualify for ewr but okx's page goes back to june 07 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Only thing we should be discussing is how many days of destructive hail we see. I love the way you think buddy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 Euro ENS continue to signal significantly lower heights than normal with a trough set up overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 Euro op aggressive with the cold pool. Should average below normal during the period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 I think we have no more than a 3-5 day period of aob normal. Cool island in a sea of warmth. Welcome to our life since February 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Euro op aggressive with the cold pool. Should average below normal during the period. No way.. See Ryan's posts.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 lol at ginxy I love it Steve! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 No way.. See Ryan's posts.. No way see Andy's posts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 I have a feeling the impending "cool down and trough return" will be a bit of a dud here in CT. While areas farther north and east will likely benefit from being closer to the trough axis I think we'll sneak out some sneaky warmth as things are currently modeled. Well that pattern/gradient would e sure to bring some fun to the region I love the way you think buddy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 The last -5 or colder months were Feb 2007 at BDL and BOS, Jan 2009 at ORH, and Jan 2004 at PVD. Reality and facts are boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 Reality and facts are boring. Look back at history dude, 5 degree departures are much more common on the positive side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Look back at history dude, 5 degree departures are much more common on the positive side. Yes I know I argued the point the other day. Are you hoping for chilly weather july 1-18, just curious? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 Yes I know I argued the point the other day. Are you hoping for chilly weather july 1-18, just curious? 85/55 would be perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 the pattern on the euro ens mean looks good for severe wx. i like the nw flow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 the pattern on the euro ens mean looks good for severe wx. i like the nw flow We may even be able to sneak in EML or two in here perhaps as it breaks off from the northern Plains/upper mid-west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Euro ensembles really didnt look like nw flow EML to me. Any big heat would be well southwest of us for the most part, although cant rule out a brief interlude. With the trough overhead and front nearby lookedore like typical tstm chances. Certainly not the warmest pattern, but probably offers chances of both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 For the most part looks rather seasonable for SNE. Can't really determine details of thins like if coast gets screwed or NNE or whatever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 We went through this last year, I'll get this crossed again: Recurving typhoon correlation on eastern N/A trough is not a summer correlation. I repeats, recurving typhoon correlation on eastern N/A trough is not a summer correlation. Not sure why this point is not penetrating. It can't - the PNA is N/S at this time of year, so how the hell are you going to transmit TC signal through a domain that doesn't correlate. Think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Euro ensembles really didnt look like nw flow EML to me. Any big heat would be well southwest of us for the most part, although cant rule out a brief interlude. With the trough overhead and front nearby lookedore like typical tstm chances. Certainly not the warmest pattern, but probably offers chances of both. Yeah trough axis too far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 18, 2012 Author Share Posted June 18, 2012 We went through this last year, I'll get this crossed again: Recurving typhoon correlation on eastern N/A trough is not a summer correlation. I repeats, recurving typhoon correlation on eastern N/A trough is not a summer correlation. Not sure why this point is not penetrating. It can't - the PNA is N/S at this time of year, so how the hell are you going to transmit TC signal through a domain that doesn't correlate. Think. Must be a coincidence every time a typhoon recurves 7-10 days later the NE develops a trough, just maybe you could this year post some papers that back up your op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Warminista phail. Overnight runs continue the theme of a trough setting up over NE. The transient warmth later this week will be kicked outta here quickly.Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Warminista phail. Overnight runs continue the theme of a trough setting up over NE. The transient warmth later this week will be kicked outta here quickly.Nice. Incidentally the warmth this week is going to pop a pair of +20 days for you. Enjoy. And while we'll go slightly below for a few days after, it won't measure up to what you'll see wed//thurs of this week. Modify the work plans for mid week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Incidentally the warmth this week is going to pop a pair of +20 days for you. Enjoy. And while we'll go slightly below for a few days after, it won't measure up to what you'll see wed//thurs of this week. Modify the work plans for mid week. The show must go on regardless of the temps/weather. Builders don't have the luxury of waiting for good weather. A couple of warmish days at the end of June is no big deal. We've had stellar weather all month with daily highs in the 60's and low 70's. Tick tock, almost July, better soak up any heat you get, first frosts will be here before you know it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 The show must go on regardless of the temps/weather. Builders don't have the luxury of waiting for good weather. A couple of warmish days at the end of June is no big deal. We've had stellar weather all month with daily highs in the 60's and low 70's. Tick tock, almost July, better soak up any heat you get, first frosts will be here before you know it. Hopefully the first frost will arrive this year befor MLK day...lol. Yeah the show must go on but I've had physical outdoor jobs. On extreme days thngs just couldn't move at the same pace. And the bosses kept us well hydrated with water. If we had a good guy for a boss there would be beer at the end of the day after the work was done. Those were the days when no one worried about liability should an accident occur on the way home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Incidentally the warmth this week is going to pop a pair of +20 days for you. Enjoy. And while we'll go slightly below for a few days after, it won't measure up to what you'll see wed//thurs of this week. Modify the work plans for mid week. idk...the end of the euro is pretty damn miserable. The ens try to seal the deal for a below normal June toward the end of the month too for BOS. The trough axis came more west. The op may be a bit extreme, but the high heat for the month may be gone after Friday. Maybe we make another run at much warmer weather toward the 4th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 idk...the end of the euro is pretty damn miserable. The ens try to seal the deal for a below normal June toward the end of the month too for BOS. The trough axis came more west. The op may be a bit extreme, but the high heat for the month may be gone after Friday. Maybe we make another run at much warmer weather toward the 4th? No matter what, above normal for Boston is nearly impossible. The elephant slept in June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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