Geos Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 Cells in southeast Iowa pushing 50kft now. Going to be interesting to see how the complex organizing in southwest Iowa interacts with the storms east of there later today. 17z RAP has your location in a near 2" bulls eye! Tower here just produced an actual shower - first since the early AM hours of June 1st. Couple storm reports: ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0116 PM HAIL SCHAUMBURG 42.03N 88.08W 06/16/2012 E0.25 INCH COOK IL PUBLIC 0115 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 SW ARLINGTON HEIGHTS 42.08N 88.00W 06/16/2012 M0.75 INCH COOK IL COCORAHS RAIN FELL IN THE PAST 15 MINUTES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 Other short term guidance is in agreement. If that's the case i'll pass. Dry soil for max heating potential Mon-Wed>lame weaking MCS. Lame weakening MCS> Lame AZ like soil and dry air from hell... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 meh, i'd take a brief downpour over no brief downpour any day Absolutely agreed! Besides even if an inch or two falls it shouldn't effect heating potential that much for this week for the people pulling for that.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 For the first time this year, it actually feels hot/humid/stormy out. Yeah the quick dumping that I got earlier sure makes it feel soupy right now... Granted, it feels a lot worse as compared to what we have experienced thus far this year but still not too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 OFB from the storm that rolled across the nrn metro area stalling north of 88 for now and doesn't look like it will sink south. Some serious instability sitting along the IA/MO border into MO slowly pushing NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 OFB from the storm that rolled across the nrn metro area stalling north of 88 for now and doesn't look like it will sink south. It's pushing back north now. DPA jumped from 84 to 93. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 30% wind added with the 20z outlook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoar_Frost Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 It's pushing back north now. DPA jumped from 84 to 93. Actually, for the 20z ob, 93 at ARR, 89 at DPA, and 90 at ORD. Nonetheless, after the 0.05" around the noon hour here, the temperature has rebounded to above what it was before it rained. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 OFB about to move through here... Combination of earlier rainfall and convergence has the DP up to 75. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 Actually, for the 15z ob, 93 at ARR, 89 at DPA, and 90 at ORD. Indeed. DPA did peak at 93 during an intra hour OBS though. KDPA 161933Z 21014G22KT 10SM FEW065 34/16 A2994 RMK AO2 WSHFT 1913 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 The storms from near the QC down towards Burlington are stabilizing things quite a bit in that area. Not going to be so great for the storms coming out of south-central Iowa. Probably have a tendency to develop southward and impact areas well south where the atmosphere will be less disturbed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 355 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012 .TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON .DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE. ..REMARKS.. 0344 PM HAIL CROWN POINT 41.42N 87.36W 06/16/2012 M1.75 INCH LAKE IN LAW ENFORCEMENT MEASURED AT CROWN POINT POLICE DEPT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IMADreamer Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 The storms from near the QC down towards Burlington are stabilizing things quite a bit in that area. Not going to be so great for the storms coming out of south-central Iowa. Probably have a tendency to develop southward and impact areas well south where the atmosphere will be less disturbed. Hope so, we are dying for a drink down here in Pike County. That line seems to be building south a bit and the sun is out now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 Nice meso-vortex northeast of Ottumwa. Has shown upwards of 100kts g2g in a broad circulation around 9-10kft. Unfortunately it will be heading into some stabilized air in the next hour or so, so it will probably weaken. Areas south of Burlington to Galesburg will probably have the best severe threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 These rain amounts would nice to see from thunderstorms tonight! I'm sure that's overdone though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 fairly nice looking line segment right now near the river warned for 60-70mph winds. Curious to see how it maintains itself over the next 2 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 A few svr warned storms in western IN have fallen apart as they reached Michiana with only sprinkles IMBY. Am interested in that line near Burlington with cold pool formation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 As expected the line north of route 34 is beginning to crap the bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 But look at NWS Quad City radar on an east west line west of Galesburg. Seems like very heavy rain or hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1191 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0610 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...NRN ILLINOIS CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 401... VALID 162310Z - 170045Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 401 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...AN ADDITIONAL WW MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF NORTHERN ILLINOIS WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. DISCUSSION...THE ORGANIZED STORM CLUSTER NOW CROSSING THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER... EAST OF MOLINE AND BURLINGTON...WITH A BOW ECHO CONFIGURATION IN RADAR REFLECTIVITIES...APPEARS TO REMAIN VIGOROUS. SOME RECENT WEAKENING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...BUT THIS MAY BE TEMPORARY. LATEST OBJECTIVE INSTABILITY ANALYSES ARE SUGGESTIVE THAT THE ENVIRONMENT MAY STILL BE MODERATELY UNSTABLE...WITH MIXED LAYER CAPE AS HIGH AS 2000 J/KG...IN A CORRIDOR ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS. COUPLED WITH SOME STRENGTHENING OF WESTERLY DEEP LAYER MEAN FLOW...PERHAPS UP TO AROUND 30 KT...DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...THIS SUPPORTS POTENTIAL FOR RE-INTENSIFICATION AS CONVECTION PROGRESSES EASTWARD. ACTIVITY MAY BEGIN IMPACTING AT LEAST THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE CHICAGO METROPOLITAN AREA BY AROUND 03Z...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS AND SOME HAIL...IN ADDITION TO FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 But look at NWS Quad City radar on an east west line west of Galesburg. Seems like very heavy rain or hail. KDVN is having extensive ground clutter issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 Svr t storm watch now issued for northeast Illinois until 2 AM CDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 Don't agree on this line segment getting any better like SPC thinks and don't understand why the blue box goes all the way to the WI border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 Svr t storm watch now issued for northeast Illinois until 2 AM CDT. Severe or not when it arrives, this looks to give a good portion of n illinois some much needed rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 Don't agree on this line segment getting any better like SPC thinks and don't understand why the blue box goes all the way to the WI border. Northern most extent of any possible svr looks to be dekalb county ish, provided things continue as they are going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 Don't agree on this line segment getting any better like SPC thinks and don't understand why the blue box goes all the way to the WI border. I don't think there should be a watch at all...but that's just me. Short term/hi-res guidance is doing fairly well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IMADreamer Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 35-40mph winds down here just now. Some heavy rain. I have a few small limbs down in my yard and the neighbors trash can and lawn furniture is now in my yard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Just had .50 inch hail at the house and everyones lawn furniture went for a ride. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Nice training line across Kankakee Co...Radar estimates around 4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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