Powerball Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 RAP's going gangbusters with temps tomorrow. Widspread low 100s from Nebraska to Central Iowa to Northern Illinois to Southern Michigan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 RAP's going gangbusters with temps tomorrow. Widspread low 100s from Nebraska to Central Iowa to Northern Illinois to Southern Michigan. Any reason to think it will be right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 19, 2012 Author Share Posted June 19, 2012 RAP's going gangbusters with temps tomorrow. Widspread low 100s from Nebraska to Central Iowa to Northern Illinois to Southern Michigan. I just noticed this earlier...The RR on the NOAA ESRL site is much different from what's shown on Twisterdata. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 RAP's going gangbusters with temps tomorrow. Widspread low 100s from Nebraska to Central Iowa to Northern Illinois to Southern Michigan. The RAP did that the day before Memorial Day and it busted horribly. Probably more like widespread mid 90s tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 3z RAP, looking at previous runs for today, it was also a few degrees to high from here back west to NE, had southern NE hitting 112 today, that obviously didn't happen so take this with a grain of salt. Either way, crazy gradient up in SD/ND. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 19, 2012 Author Share Posted June 19, 2012 RR (ESRL)...Obviously much more realistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Any reason to think it will be right? No. Though, with the ridge strengthening, it's quite possible temps today will be slightly warmer than yesterday, with a little drier air advecting in. Looks like what ultimately went wrong was the poor handling of the pattern amplification, which is typical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 The RAP did that the day before Memorial Day and it busted horribly. Probably more like widespread mid 90s tomorrow. Yeah, RAP's been hit or miss. It seems to do better on days without convection factoring in. I can say it has been right on with the temps, at least loaclly, several time this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Know it's going to be hot when temps tonight are rising. Went from 74 to 78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Know it's going to be hot when temps tonight are rising. Went from 74 to 78. Yeah in the last couple of hours many spots in the state have actually risen, if we start out the morning at 80 we won't have too far to climb to eclipse the record of 95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 19, 2012 Author Share Posted June 19, 2012 As of 2AM it's still 81 at ORD and 82 at Northerly Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 As of 2AM it's still 81 at ORD and 82 at Northerly Island. East side of the state here is around 76-80, West side is 78-82. All places have been steady or have slowly risen in the last 3 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 99.9% sure it didn't 100% sure my David Weather Station is accurate. It's verification has been getting two thumbs up since I hooked it up. http://weather.gladstonefamily.net/site/D9148 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 100% sure my David Weather Station is accurate. It's verification has been getting two thumbs up since I hooked it up. http://weather.glads....net/site/D9148 Just funny how all the back yard stations were running warmer than asos, etc... what ev though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 DVN dropped the heat advisory and lowered temps back to a more realistic lower 90 degree forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 19, 2012 Author Share Posted June 19, 2012 ORD up to 86 as of 10AM. With a bit deeper mixing and a bit warmer thermal profiles, Skillings 97 looks good. Several sites in S. WI are up to 88 as of 10AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 HRRR has been showing a section of SEMI on a line from Hillsdale to Oakland counties not even hitting 90 today. Mid-80's across SEMI right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 HRRR has been showing a section of SEMI on a line from Hillsdale to Oakland counties not even hitting 90 today. Mid-80's across SEMI right now. I highly doubt that happens. In any event, the 12z NAM has slowed things down just enough Thursday for Detroit to have a third day of 90*F+ temperatures, making this by definition an official heatwave. It also blows up a decent squall line overhead around 19z-20z. Givn how ****ed up yesterday was, I hope the 12z NAM is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 86 here at 1140. About 4-5 more hours of heating. 90s are a lock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Already 90.1 on my sensor. How high will we go? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 ORD up to 86 as of 10AM. With a bit deeper mixing and a bit warmer thermal profiles, Skillings 97 looks good. Several sites in S. WI are up to 88 as of 10AM. Maybe I'm being influenced by yesterdy but I think 97 may be a bit optimistic. I think more like 95 or 96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Up to 87° here. Winds are quite a bit lighter today -generally under 15mph. Beaches may end up being cooler today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 A new record high min will be set at ORD today, assuming nothing strange happens before midnight. The low this morning was only 78. The old record was 75 in 1931. Also, no day prior to June 19 has ever had a low temp of 79+ in recorded history. So, this morning, ORD was within one degree of setting a new record for the warmest low temp so early in the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 86 here at 1140. About 4-5 more hours of heating. 90s are a lock. 91 In Sterling Heights Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 ORD up to 86 as of 10AM. With a bit deeper mixing and a bit warmer thermal profiles, Skillings 97 looks good. Several sites in S. WI are up to 88 as of 10AM. 89 at 11AM...2 degrees warmer than the same time yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 19, 2012 Author Share Posted June 19, 2012 A new record high min will be set at ORD today, assuming nothing strange happens before midnight. The low this morning was only 78. The old record was 75 in 1931. The same goes for RFD... Low of 76, with the record high min being 74 (1953). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoar_Frost Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 I think 97-98 for ORD. Today compared to yesterday, mixing is a bit deeper, but it's a bit less windy. No clouds are present currently. Also, it started warmer today and is warmer now than at this time 24 hours ago. If it reaches 98, it will be the earliest that it's been as warm or warmer since 14 June 1987, when it reached 99. Edit: Maybe not ... 94-95 might be a better estimate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 86 on the west side of Michigan at 12:40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 19, 2012 Author Share Posted June 19, 2012 ORD is up to 91 as of noon...12th 90+ day of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 91° here too! ~1° higher then this time yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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