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E PA/NJ/DE/NE MD/Elko, NV/Big Jim: OBS 12/15 - 12/25


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here she comes!

Those heavier green echos sure do seem to be exploding/racing northwestward. Question is, how far do they go before they run into a brick wall?

Starting to get breezy out now. It was calm all morning, but the winds have picked up considerably in the last half hour or so.

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Haven't the models been that way for some time now? Anybody NW of I81 that sees more than a couple inches should thank the snow gods. The wall is likely to be seen around I81 or just before IMHO.

At 6z yesterday, the GFS had 1.00"+ QPF all the way to 81, SREFs were over 0.50", EURO was close.

Then everything trended east after that.

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Wow, disaster for the west on the RUC...doesn't have snow reaching the 81 corridor until 11pm.

Oh come on now. Look at the current radar. The precip shield is moving north northwestward at a pretty good clip. Light snow in the southern Poconos and pretty much on the doorstep of Schuylkill County. I think you'll see snow before 11pm.

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expanding into abe

I'm not saying I'm right, but that patch that developed out ahead of the main batch of snow over northern Berks and Lehigh may indeed represent the wall. I've seen it before, and it's an omen for you guys N&W. It may push a little further out for the light stuff, but we may be seeing the heavier snow demarcation.

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