Damage In Tolland Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 KFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 ASH 102/102 something's up with these #s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Seeing as Kevin asked and he cares very deeply about it ... my personal preference is not for the hots. Yuck. I may come off as hypocritical, because I have this fascination with heat wave synoptics, but there really is a disconnect there that exists between scientific wonder, versus one's actual preference. I feel the same way about ice storms; they are fascinating to watch both as a run up Meteorology in time; then, the accretion, of course, but I really have 0 interest in losing power. With heat, I have 0 interest in not being able to cool my house, or having to run the bedroom a.c. all night ...gobbling up electric billing hours. Nor do I like hearing about old people being found dead, or any other of the myriad of impacts to society. I was enroute to work this morning when it was 63F, gray ...thinking, 'it's supposed to be 100 F tomorrow?!' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 the MET #s are ridiculous. 102 PYM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 ASH 102/102 something's up with these #s. Yeah..they're finally right..and have caught on to the massive heatwave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 19, 2012 Author Share Posted June 19, 2012 the MET #s are ridiculous. 102 PYM? Only thing I can think of, is that they love W-WNW flow. I think it's possibly to overachieve a degree or two...if that happens, but 102 seems a bit much. Plus, have to hope there is no clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 19, 2012 Author Share Posted June 19, 2012 Well clouds moved in here unfortunately. I'll be wrong, but at least I mentioned them being stubborn. This is not typical stratus...I think it's more of a mid level punch of warm air causing these clouds to be honest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 maybe it burns off late day, but most of this day is lost to clouds.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 this is awesome: BOS: HYA: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Sun's out....Just an hour late..As Scooter thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Only thing I can think of, is that they love W-WNW flow. I think it's possibly to overachieve a degree or two...if that happens, but 102 seems a bit much. Plus, have to hope there is no clouds. I noticed that too, re the cloud deck - at first it appears to be stratus but it is higher up than typical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 maybe it burns off late day, but most of this day is lost to clouds.... Sun's out....Just an hour late..As Scooter thought Lots of sun in CT on the latest GOES visible... Blizz is the new LL from March/April... everyday is perfect sunny warm weather no matter what... even if every ASOS is the state of CT is showing OVC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 yeah, LOL-all of CT is socked in...the clearing in NYS may work in as we move through the PM.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Still socked in here in downtown Springfield. Not sure if CEF gets an official heatwave. BAF and especially BDL look good though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Lots of sun in CT on the latest GOES visible... Blizz is the new LL from March/April... everyday is perfect sunny warm weather no matter what... even if every ASOS is the state of CT is showing OVC. cobalt blue skies...sunsational. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Lots of sun in CT on the latest GOES visible... Blizz is the new LL from March/April... everyday is perfect sunny warm weather no matter what... even if every ASOS is the state of CT is showing OVC. Not sure what to tell you..Maybe the shore is different..Butr we've had several sunny breaks the last 20-30 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Not sure what to tell you..Maybe the shore is different..Butr we've had several sunny breaks the last 20-30 minutes. Yeah I dunno... I mean that Visible Sat image covers more than the shore. We're just joking with you... are you in Tolland or the valley? Its just hard to believe its sunny or the suns out with that sort of satellite image and all the OVC reports. Either way, the sky has to still be >50% covered with more clouds than blue sky. Obs would probably call that partly to mostly cloudy anyway. Its all in the eye of the beholder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 hope we don't get junk even halfway like this tomorrow or kiss those mid 90's to 100 goodbye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 hope we don't get junk even halfway like this tomorrow or kiss those mid 90's to 100 goodbye. Yeah... I mean maybe localized areas are seeing some breaks, or 25% clearing, but as of 10 minutes ago (11:50am), every station in the state was still OVC with temps in the 60s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Scott do you think places like BDL and SPFD have a shot at cracking 100? I would think 850's need to be a hair warmer than modeled. Looks good for a downsloping WSW wind though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 There's a very strong thermal gradient from NE-SW from New England to central PA/NY, and there is a well define warm boundary that is moving NE. This day is likely to bust too cold unless this warm boundary gets all the way to BOS longitude. Watch ALB - they are currently 69/61 out ahead of this boundary. I might be interesting if they get west of it and explode for 20 this afternoon at some point. Also, although it is not in the forecast and models don't have it... seeing this set up this way make one wonder if a cluster of storms wont' fire up in Ontario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 further more, seeing elevated cloud elements ripping S over New England says the ridge axis is west of the area - that may be preventing the warm boundary from accelerating through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Is there any bust potential on highs today with these clouds lingering around? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Is there any bust potential on highs today with these clouds lingering around? "... This day is likely to bust too cold unless this warm boundary gets all the way to BOS longitude...." That said, it may get diffused and mix down some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 There's a very strong thermal gradient from NE-SW from New England to central PA/NY, and there is a well define warm boundary that is moving NE. This day is likely to bust too cold unless this warm boundary gets all the way to BOS longitude. Watch ALB - they are currently 69/61 out ahead of this boundary. I might be interesting if they get west of it and explode for 20 this afternoon at some point. Also, although it is not in the forecast and models don't have it... seeing this set up this way make one wonder if a cluster of storms wont' fire up in Ontario. those never seem to be forecasted well...many a hot day forecast has busted with garbage clouds in the AM..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 those never seem to be forecasted well...many a hot day forecast has busted with garbage clouds in the AM..... There is a pretty impressive MCS ripping east through the upper penn. of Michigan... This system may die a timely diurnal death, but it wouldn't shock me if another fired this evening along the outflow from this feature, and where heights have not risen yet so high as to cap re-ignition. If so, it could clip central New England tonight. Real sketchy on that though.. Assuming this warm front does finally clear the area today and gets the area squarely into potent barotropic air mass currently in the southern Lakes and adjacent ... tomorrow night is likely to be an impressively elevated low temperature. The overnights from middland -sized cities in the Lakes were warmer than 75F and that air mass is translating here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Is there any bust potential on highs today with these clouds lingering around? Yeah lol. Last 2 days have busted cold as well. Mid level warm front pushing through... some low level warm advection generating this gross stratus deck that is taking some time to mix out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 MAV is 97/98 and MET 101/102 for BDL. Gotta start thinking about throwing up a 100 on the big board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 MAV is 97/98 and MET 101/102 for BDL. Gotta start thinking about throwing up a 100 on the big board. Many folks have been for days now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 19, 2012 Author Share Posted June 19, 2012 MAV is 97/98 and MET 101/102 for BDL. Gotta start thinking about throwing up a 100 on the big board. That wind direction is helping to max out airmass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.