Damage In Tolland Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 I don't know what the KFS schooling of meteorology taught you but we are not completely capped. Do height falls or cooling 700mb temps mean anything to you? In fact, the 0z GFS bufkit heavily decreases the cap and by 2 PM there is very little CIN and by 5 PM all the CIN is pretty much eroded. Who looks at the GFS for severe 4 days in advance? Euro is dry and torched to 700mb. Repeat..Haze with NOT A CLOUD IN THE SKY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Don't you know his game? When everything looks bleak and it's obvious the wx is bad..he makes things great..when it's obvious that the wx is nice and hot and sunny or whatever..he likes to meh things down, and make them seem like no big deal ha! we agree on something again. good to be back on the same page as you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 ha! we agree on something again. good to be back on the same page as you. LOL. Well I am a met you know Maybe Wiz's monitor was upside down or he was looking at June 21 2011 maps or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Who looks at the GFS for severe 4 days in advance? Euro is dry and torched to 700mb. Repeat..Haze with NOT A CLOUD IN THE SKY I look at any model which is in range of a day I'm looking for severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 LOL. Well I am a met you know Maybe Wiz's monitor was upside down or he was looking at June 21 2011 maps or something? i'm talking about your thoughts on LL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 I look at any model which is in range of a day I'm looking for severe. Whatever model you were looking at that showed any chance of a storm much less a cirrus cloud,,must have had several foot long weenies in a row attached to the end of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 I think one key element is likely my specific geography that is very different that ORH. Unlike ORH, my 1000' has within about 1/2 mile of me both 1400' (west) and 1200' (east) with dives in between to 600' elevations. Somewhat similar to ORH is that I can go 5 miles into Greenfield and be at 180'. Perhaps that allows me to experience some of those higher elevation temps while I have a more moderate one. No doubt, I have 'forested' areas nearby (100 yards or so). My immediate surroundings are more farmland. I'm sited on the border of my lawn and my hayfield. Sound about right. Enough about me, though. If you're sited out in a field with nothing else around it and the grass is kept short, and the thermo is shielded, it's fine. There will be a difference between being in farmland versus a (sub)urban area. You're measuring your climate so long as its representative of the area and there aren't siting issues or man made biases (like putting your thermometer on your house or in a shaded area). People should also realize that for their dew point (humidity) sensors to remain accurate over time they need to be calibrated or purged of contaminants, otherwise you'll see an error of +2 or 3 in certain conditions. The give away there is the early morning when the airports have dew points five degrees cooler than home stations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 I look at any model which is in range of a day I'm looking for severe. GFS and Euro slowed down the departing ridge axis a bit. Even though heights are falling they're a bit slower in kicking the ridge axis east of here. That means whatever we get would be a very late show. Just bad timing all around. Sunday could be more interesting if the Euro is out to lunch with its nor'easter lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Don't you know his game? When everything looks bleak and it's obvious the wx is bad..he makes things great..when it's obvious that the wx is nice and hot and sunny or whatever..he likes to meh things down, and make them seem like no big deal Haha I hadn't figured that one out yet...I guess in your defense you just go hype all the way and never waver Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 GFS and Euro slowed down the departing ridge axis a bit. Even though heights are falling they're a bit slower in kicking the ridge axis east of here. That means whatever we get would be a very late show. Just bad timing all around. Sunday could be more interesting if the Euro is out to lunch with its nor'easter lol One other issue I could see with Thursday is with more of a W/NW sfc flow that would greatly limit the amount of low-level convergence. A late show wouldn't be too bad...GFS does keep us unstable through the night so maybe we can at least get a decent light show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 GFS and Euro slowed down the departing ridge axis a bit. Even though heights are falling they're a bit slower in kicking the ridge axis east of here. That means whatever we get would be a very late show. Just bad timing all around. Sunday could be more interesting if the Euro is out to lunch with its nor'easter lol another phantom coastal on the euro... remember the big maritimes vortex it showed for wed/thurs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 another phantom coastal on the euro... remember the big maritimes vortex it showed for wed/thurs Yeah the Euro has been awful of late. I've been relying much more on the GFS and the forecasts have been much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Yeah the Euro has been awful of late. I've been relying much more on the GFS and the forecasts have been much better. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 LOL you know who is going to love that one... sadly, it's been true! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Its amazing how jealous people get when they talk about GC. Its no big deal. We just have a superior microclimate Winter and Summer. Its not like we look down on you guys. Well, technically we do look down on you but its just an elevation thing. Nothing personal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 12z NAM 2-m gives Forky some 100F misery on wed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 I kinda agree with kevin...not really sold on much convection Thursday. Airmass is drying out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 I kinda agree with kevin...not really sold on much convection Thursday. Airmass is drying out. On Thursday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 12z NAM 2-m gives Forky some 100F misery on wed thursday too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Yeah the Euro has been awful of late. I've been relying much more on the GFS and the forecasts have been much better. sunday could be a fairly decent event if the low tracks far enough to the N Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 If you're sited out in a field with nothing else around it and the grass is kept short, and the thermo is shielded, it's fine. There will be a difference between being in farmland versus a (sub)urban area. You're measuring your climate so long as its representative of the area and there aren't siting issues or man made biases (like putting your thermometer on your house or in a shaded area). People should also realize that for their dew point (humidity) sensors to remain accurate over time they need to be calibrated or purged of contaminants, otherwise you'll see an error of +2 or 3 in certain conditions. The give away there is the early morning when the airports have dew points five degrees cooler than home stations. Coincidentally, I just the DP2 back out just now (it had been put away for the last week so it didnt' get run over by an excavator during recent land clearing). Still cloudy and dank. Awaiting my sun and 70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 If you're sited out in a field with nothing else around it and the grass is kept short, and the thermo is shielded, it's fine. There will be a difference between being in farmland versus a (sub)urban area. You're measuring your climate so long as its representative of the area and there aren't siting issues or man made biases (like putting your thermometer on your house or in a shaded area). People should also realize that for their dew point (humidity) sensors to remain accurate over time they need to be calibrated or purged of contaminants, otherwise you'll see an error of +2 or 3 in certain conditions. The give away there is the early morning when the airports have dew points five degrees cooler than home stations. That morning dew bump on the home stations is mostly just condensation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 That morning dew bump on the home stations is mostly just condensation. OT - but thoughts on DV pro 2 intermittently reporting temp/dew? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Wednesday and Thursday are going to be scorchers for BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Wednesday and Thursday are going to be scorchers for BOS. new MET is 99F Wed. LOL. ouch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Wednesday and Thursday are going to be scorchers for BOS. for everyone. 21c 850s during max heating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 new MET is 99F Wed. LOL. ouch. yikes...101F BDL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 for everyone. 21c 850s during max heating Yeah still think that's sub-100 here in CT. Would want to see +22 or +23. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 yikes...101F BDL. Simply sunsational. HVN could really soar too with 270ish winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 the nam keeps me above 80 wed night... kevin should come down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.