Bostonseminole Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 epic heat fail? we will see.. I hope so. I like the weather this past Fri/Sat & Today, don't know why anyone wants 90+ with 60+ Dew unless you live on the beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Looks scorching for KCON on Thu, over 100 on euro to me 1 day even near one hundred is more significant vs. 3 lower 90's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 I'm longing for the analogous situation we get in winter where the frigid air is continually progged to enter the picture, but by the time it gets here, the severe cold has been muted. That would equate the BSE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 MEX now 95 for BOS Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 MEX now 95 for BOS Thursday. Still 5-6 too low..but getting there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 MEX now 95 for BOS Thursday. ASH up to 98F.Dews seem to be creeping up on some guidance. MEX has upper 60s to near 70F now and the NAM is spitting out low 70s on Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 ASH up to 98F. Dews seem to be creeping up on some guidance. MEX has upper 60s to near 70F now and the NAM is spitting out low 70s on Wed. NAM tends to be high with dews in these situations if I remember correctly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 ASH up to 98F. Dews seem to be creeping up on some guidance. MEX has upper 60s to near 70F now and the NAM is spitting out low 70s on Wed. AMOUT and AKFST Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 NAM tends to be high with dews in these situations if I remember correctly. op GFS is pretty high too into SNE W/Th...lots of u60s and 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 So I was just looking at our chances for a 100 F reading this coming Wednesday and Thursday. And there is actually a chance there. Using the Richardson Number to determine our mixing, it looks as if we will be mixing up to 850 mb on Wednesday and Thursday. Our 850 mb temperatures are forecasted to be either 19 or 20 C. Doing out the math and calculations assuming a good mix down from 850 mb and a lapse rate of 3.5/1000 ft. Our surface temperature will be 99.9 F. Therefore, it may actually be possible for someone to touch the century mark. he he, or you could just plot it on the blank skew-t diagram. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 2 day flash heat... Enesmbles are slower with cfropa on Friday so enters the wild card for that day. The 00z oper. Euro did appear to be lowering heights amid the eastern ridge perhaps too quickly when usually these ridge nodes tend to resist, particularly when there is 500mb SW flow S of the main band of the westerlies. The GFS is also got a long standing bias to be too progressive at any given time. Then I don't see a deep trough replacing this like. In fact, big heat will be lingering not too far S, and is back-built westward across the conus off a fairly persistent Sonoran drain. At any time should the westerly based NAO permit, the westerlies could be yanked N, east of ~ 100 W and that heat would bulge very quickly NE. Until that happens, the heat this week looks to recess to normalcy for awhile, and then we'll wait and see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 12z CMC is a riot. Brings a couple days of 92-96 torridity, and then ends it by taking a TC up the eastern seaboard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 And BDL 80F min... it has happened once July 31, 1917. A good ol 80/97 day. Keep in mind that was downtown though in Hartford... it's never happened at the Airport. BDL came close a few years back, but no cigar... 97/78 on August 3rd, 2006. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Absolutely, positively horrific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Probably overdone, but the 12z NAM is sneaky hot for Wednesday too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Wednesday was always supposed to be hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Probably overdone, but the 12z NAM is sneaky hot for Wednesday too. Hmmm....I have a business trip to Albany leaving tomorrow afternoon and riding the blast furnace east Wednesday afternoon. Should be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 2 days of 100+ at BDL .. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Wednesday was always supposed to be hot. I thought so, too.....wasn't sure what he meant. Nothing sneaky about it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 But Friday will be sneaky hot I think. Front may be slow enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 2 days of 100+ at BDL .. Wow 82 in TOL with lapse rates? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Yea, Friday is a sneak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 82 in TOL with lapse rates? Wouldn't it be cool to take a 20 mile by 20 mile by 3 mile tall block of that air mass + Kevin, and have it instantly appear in the middle of the Antartic vortex. It would be a real interesting experiment to see not only what happened, but if Kevin survived it enough to report what's going on - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 Wouldn't it be cool to take a 20 mile by 20 mile by 3 mile tall block of that air mass + Kevin, and have it instantly appear in the middle of the Antartic vortex. It would be a real interesting experiment to see not only what happened, but if Kevin survived it enough to report what's going on - His thermometer would still be too cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Friday 90/50 type of deal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 I'm still unsure how higher dews work out with 270 wind directions. Certainly 70+ would be difficult. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 I could see dews mixing out in the lower 60s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Dews look like they are70+ from Tues nite- fri morning FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 Dews look like they are70+ from Tues nite- fri morning FTW The whole time? I'll take the under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 I'm still unsure how higher dews work out with 270 wind directions. Certainly 70+ would be difficult. Tend to agree here... but synoptic arguments aside, typically our bigger T numbers can't come along with DPs over 70 because we don't have the insolation power. That's a Georgia meadow day, not in New England unless your out on a tarmac. It's been 97/74 a few times, of course, but its rare to get that combination here. Far more likely to get either an 87/74, or a 98/62. That said, when the west wind is active...and our hottest days even have some n component 280 or 295, we go katabatic too much for 74DP. We actually get a lee-side dry-line/heat trough of sorts, and then the two advect seaward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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