CT Rain Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Euro is 24 hours slower with fropa. Also big time cap in place. We won't see any storms till Friday it would seem We're definitely capped on Wednesday... Euro has +12c at 700mb. But by 00z Friday we're tickling 8c at 700mb... cap fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Aside from severe wx, the srn Plains region is the worst place possible to live in. Why's that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 We're definitely capped on Wednesday... Euro has +12c at 700mb. But by 00z Friday we're tickling 8c at 700mb... cap fail. Yeah ..I think Friday is the day for storms..Wed/Thurs..just brutal heat and no relief Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 If the GFS is right then game on for severe lol. Euro has heights falling decently all day as well... 00z Thursday at 592dm down to 585dm 00z Friday. I think there could be some, but it might be more sct? West wind days aren't always the best here, but if the front is faster, it could veer more WSW and raise dews I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 Why's that? Land locked and days of 100+ is like living in hell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 I think there could be some, but it might be more sct? West wind days aren't always the best here, but if the front is faster, it could veer more WSW and raise dews I suppose. Yeah could be. Maybe late show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 I think Friday could be in the cards with the front possible dragging its heels...but just a guess right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 Yeah could be. Maybe late show? I saw what you mean about height falls. That's what we'll need. I do agree with you that Thursday or Friday probably features some decent storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 I think Friday could be in the cards with the front possible dragging its heels...but just a guess right now. And a NW flow kind of deal Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Land locked and days of 100+ is like living in hell. True enough. I like their weather (esp. the severe, obv) since it is extreme. Their winters aren't too cold on average but their cold shots can be extreme which is pretty cool. Being land locked is the worst part of that heat, for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 I saw what you mean about height falls. That's what we'll need. I do agree with you that Thursday or Friday probably features some decent storms. Yeah the good height falls is normally a good signal at the tail end of a warm surge... especially with the dropping 700mb temps. That's a good sign too of an eroding cap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 True enough. I like their weather (esp. the severe, obv) since it is extreme. Their winters aren't too cold on average but their cold shots can be extreme which is pretty cool. Being land locked is the worst part of that heat, for sure. It wasn't a dig on them or anything, but summers are so brutal out there. Spring is obviously exciting for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 It wasn't a dig on them or anything, but summers are so brutal out there. Spring is obviously exciting for sure. Definitely not a winter lover's paradise, either. But yeah, the severe season is amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 I probably wouldn't go any higher than 97 at BDL for Thursday with convection potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 Yeah the good height falls is normally a good signal at the tail end of a warm surge... especially with the dropping 700mb temps. That's a good sign too of an eroding cap. Although iirc, the big heat last summer broke with a bust..lol. Hopefully it breaks with vengeance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Although iirc, the big heat last summer broke with a bust..lol. Hopefully it breaks with vengeance. lol yeah I think you're right. Multiple chances in the D7-D15 period I think though for svr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 lol yeah I think you're right. Multiple chances in the D7-D15 period I think though for svr. Yeah trough axis nearby always keeps thunder in the cards. Plus, if that heat dome tries to bubble northeast there is always that...but it seems like that will stay well southwest. I wouldn't mind getting a little action in here. I'll be up north Wednesday-Friday so hopefully some good storms there maybe Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Yeah trough axis nearby always keeps thunder in the cards. Plus, if that heat dome tries to bubble northeast there is always that...but it seems like that will stay well southwest. I wouldn't mind getting a little action in here. I'll be up north Wednesday-Friday so hopefully some good storms there maybe Thursday. Convection Thursday PM would really do a number of Kevin's brutal heat wave. 1 day with heat and low dews, 1/2 day with heat and high dews, then pleasant relief. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Although iirc, the big heat last summer broke with a bust..lol. Hopefully it breaks with vengeance. Yeah, I had been hoping for a derecho or something to sweep it out, but it just sort of fizzled away. Hopefully this week ends with a nice lightning display. I need a new cable modem to replace the one we got in March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Yeah trough axis nearby always keeps thunder in the cards. Plus, if that heat dome tries to bubble northeast there is always that...but it seems like that will stay well southwest. I wouldn't mind getting a little action in here. I'll be up north Wednesday-Friday so hopefully some good storms there maybe Thursday. Yeah I like the NW flow setup with periodic ridge bulges up here. Seems to me we can sneak some severe days in with that setup as long as we can get some warmth/humidity in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 lol yeah I think you're right. Multiple chances in the D7-D15 period I think though for svr. With Ginx's below normal pattern? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 Convection Thursday PM would really do a number of Kevin's brutal heat wave. 1 day with heat and low dews, 1/2 day with heat and high dews, then pleasant relief. You know how it works...the more hype..the less severe any cold,snow,heat..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 With Ginx's below normal pattern? I don't really see a below normal pattern in CT. While the Canadian Maritimes look cool... I think we're close to getting some solid warm days in here periodically. Trough axis will be east of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 And BDL 80F min... it has happened once July 31, 1917. A good ol 80/97 day. Keep in mind that was downtown though in Hartford... it's never happened at the Airport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 I don't really see a below normal pattern in CT. While the Canadian Maritimes look cool... I think we're close to getting some solid warm days in here periodically. Trough axis will be east of us. I agree and is what we've been saying..but a few weenies/mets on here have been banging cool pattern for SNE..Nothing points to that..No big heat..but certianly not below Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 I agree and is what we've been saying..but a few weenies/mets on here have been banging cool pattern for SNE..Nothing points to that..No big heat..but certianly not below No met is banging a cool pattern. Cooler, yes...and there will be some below normal days, as well as warm ones. Maybe Sunday and early the following week will have a couple of cool days..especially further north and near coast. High pressure building in from Ontario will do that. Afterwards, flow looks to go more zonal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 I wonder if areas will even qualify as a heat wave. Not sure Tuesday and Friday hit 90...but I could see 88-89 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 I wonder if areas will even qualify as a heat wave. Not sure Tuesday and Friday hit 90...but I could see 88-89 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 I wonder if areas will even qualify as a heat wave. Not sure Tuesday and Friday hit 90...but I could see 88-89 or so. I'd consider this hyped heat a failure if BDL or CEF or ASH don't verify a heat wave. We've been promised no less than 4 epic hot days with people spontaneously combusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 I'm serious. It's not a lock. Friday and Tuesday could be close..especially Friday if front is slow, but it easily could be a 2 day heat spell, bordered by upper 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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