powderfreak Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 Longing for extreme heat/humidity, hiding behind the AC. Irony ftw. Awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 00z MEX guidance for W/Th... CON 94/92 BDL 96/94 BOS 88/89 BTV 91/89 ASH 95/92 ORH 90/89 TAN 92/93 Not bad for 5-6 days out. 101 for BDL..possibly 102 100 for BOS 93 FOR MPM and WCH You gotta feel for those with no a/c..the smell of funk is in the air Where are the 100F+ numbers coming from? Are models showing that or is it embellishment of model data? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 GFS is a nice severe signal for Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 Where are the 100F+ numbers coming from? Are models showing that or is it embellishment of model data? It's knowing how to compensate for dowm sloping, mixing , dry adiabatic rate, and climo in these setups, Are you just forecasting off of machine numbers lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 16, 2012 Author Share Posted June 16, 2012 GFS is a nice severe signal for Friday. Yeah not bad. Would be nice to go out with a boom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 Where are the 100F+ numbers coming from? Are models showing that or is it embellishment of model data? Well if you lump on 15-17C onto the progged 850s of ~20C you get 2m max temps into the mid/upper 90s to near 100F where there's W flow. 5-6 days out MOS will still have a little climo factored into it so it's a good sign for high heat. Of course that's all if the 850 temps verify close to what they are now, there's no cloud debris to ruin things, and the BD front stays to the NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 It's knowing how to compensate for dowm sloping, mixing , dry adiabatic rate, and climo in these setups, Are you just forecasting off of machine numbers lol? I like when you throw out meteorological terms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 The source region for NE winds is still chilly relative to the air masses. Hopefully we stay on the dry side of that stalled boundary. Man the NAO just wants to stay negative. The hemispheric shift means bidness. Going to get beaten up on this but if you notice, first recurving typhoon in a very very long time. Something to keep an eye on going forward, bodes well for an Eastern trough. I would love to see lots of these in the fall. I agree...look for long wave trough to develop just east of the New England coast circa 65 W by end of this month-beginning of July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 GFS is a nice severe signal for Friday. Agree, Kev. EC from yesterday had it too. Could be quite a day for severe (next Saturday, too). Signals favor serial event Fri-Sat and perhaps next Sunday, too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 16, 2012 Author Share Posted June 16, 2012 I like when you throw out meteorological terms. Slowly learning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 I would guess 93/94 for IJD with my neck of the woods 92 ish both for Wed and Thursday, will be hot right to the beaches as Phil stated yesterday, after that I could see not getting to 80 from BDL east for quite a while. Good shot at first negative month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 Agree, Kev. EC from yesterday had it too. Could be quite a day for severe (next Saturday, too). Signals favor serial event Fri-Sat and perhaps next Sunday, too LOl thats Ryan, Kev posted dry FROPA this AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 Slowly learning. He still sorta throws a bunch of terms against the wall and hopes some of them stick though, but it's an improvement over just posting the KFS verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 Hard to believe we're looking at another above normal month at all 4 sites. When does this nonsense end? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 Hard to believe we're looking at another above normal month at all 4 sites. When does this nonsense end? check the math Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 It's knowing how to compensate for dowm sloping, mixing , dry adiabatic rate, and climo in these setups, Are you just forecasting off of machine numbers lol? That was a sarcastic post Just bustin' on ya after yesterday's discussions... I could see BDL hitting 100F if the potential is realized... that place always seems to go a few degrees higher than everywhere else. Especially if its a west flow with a dry airmass... they'll downslope and go high and dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 16, 2012 Author Share Posted June 16, 2012 That was a sarcastic post Just bustin' on ya after yesterday's discussions... I could see BDL hitting 100F if the potential is realized... that place always seems to go a few degrees higher than everywhere else. Especially if its a west flow with a dry airmass... they'll downslope and go high and dry. This is a logan torch too if they avoid seabreeze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 16, 2012 Author Share Posted June 16, 2012 Hard to believe we're looking at another above normal month at all 4 sites. When does this nonsense end? Hopefully warm right through next spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 This is a logan torch too if they avoid seabreeze Cool (or not cool?)... I know absolutely nothing about Logan/BOS climo or set-ups so I usually stick to speaking about inland stuff when I can maybe make it up enough to seem like I know a few things It still amazes me that Logan can get that hot right there on the water... sea breeze or no sea breeze... that big cold dome over the surface of the ocean is right there. Its not like a mile or two away, isn't that ASOS pretty much on the water? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 Hopefully warm right through next spring. Through the 15th Boston average is 61.6 which is -.3.7 below normal. The average temp for all of June is 68 degrees, in order for Boston to reach normal they will need to average 72.5 degrees for the last 15 days of the month , average is 70 for last 15, 3 days will be near or even below normal, (Sat Sun Mon) so lots of making up to do with only a 3-4 day above normal period before the trough returns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 check the math After next week all will be over 1 above normal..Days near or over 100 and nights in the mid 70's will do that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 16, 2012 Author Share Posted June 16, 2012 Cool (or not cool?)... I know absolutely nothing about Logan/BOS climo or set-ups so I usually stick to speaking about inland stuff when I can maybe make it up enough to seem like I know a few things It still amazes me that Logan can get that hot right there on the water... sea breeze or no sea breeze... that big cold dome over the surface of the ocean is right there. Its not like a mile or two away, isn't that ASOS pretty much on the water? Logan wins the torch of the region award usually on west winds. Te ocean does nothing when there is a west wind. You don't really get cold air by conduction when winds have an offshore component. I always laugh when even local mets have BOS a degree or two cooler with west or southwest winds. It doesn't work like that. Now if winds switch east, that's a different story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 BOS facing east... And BOS facing west... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 16, 2012 Author Share Posted June 16, 2012 That says it all right there. West winds cut right through downtown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 OT but a dud today. I'm struggling I'm the 60 range while inland has a gret day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 16, 2012 Author Share Posted June 16, 2012 OT but a dud today. I'm struggling I'm the 60 range while inland has a gret day. I think it may break up from the east. After being nasty in PYM, skies are breaking up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 16, 2012 Author Share Posted June 16, 2012 GFS is a torch Wed and Thurs. would not be that humid though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 After next week all will be over 1 above normal..Days near or over 100 and nights in the mid 70's will do that where, Tuscon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 MAV coming up. Lower td makes higher temps more possible from a physics standpoint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 OT but a dud today. I'm struggling I'm the 60 range while inland has a gret day. Time to get away from the brutal North Atlantic..How many days does it ruin for you guys in the spring and summer...and how many days does it also ruin for you in the winter? It's no good for anyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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