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Doldrums continued.


CoastalWx

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Gotta think about the potential for this month to potentially end up close to average, if not perhaps even slightly below-average temperature wise. Also, looks like the final weeks of the month (after this upcoming stretch of warm/dry wx) looks real wet perhaps...or at least multiple chances for rain. If the GFS is correct and we see that massive west coast ridge develop that placement has us with a SW flow throughout the entire troposphere which would equal lots of tropical moisture working up the eastern seaboard and mix that with eastward advancing cold front and you get multiple chances for rain and little in the way of quality severe wx threats.

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50/49, nothing but comfortable 70's ahead. It will be fun to see Blizz and LL crow about a 1 day "torch", If it even happens.lol

To be sure, the low 70's today and continued mid-70's following are inviting. Wish I didnt' have a meeting in springfield this afternoon--it would be great spending the entire day working from the deck. Of course, there's always tomorrow........

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June 23-30, 2012 Thoughts:

The final week of June appears likely to witness the warmest readings relative to normal in parts of the East. In fact, compensating for the shorter wavelengths, much of North America looks to be warmer than normal. Moreover, with some hot analogs showing up, it appears increasingly likely that the first week of July could experience warmer than normal temperatures, too. Among the hot analogs appearing are 1966, 1969, 1977, and 1980. In fact, the latest run of the CFSv2 has much of North America and Eurasia warmer to much warmer than normal for July. Right now, it's too soon to make a definitive call for July, but some hot analogs have persistently been in the mix.

The charts below are as follows:

Left: The composite temperature anomalies for ENSO Region 3.4 anomalies of -0.2°C to +0.6°C, a PNA of -1.00 to 0.00, and an AO of 0.00 to +1.00 for North America.

Right: NAEFS (June 21-27, 2012 forecast)

June23to302012.jpg

All said, my thoughts are as follows:

- West Coast of the U.S. into British Columbia eastward into Alberta: cooler than normal.

- Southwestern U.S. much warmer than normal

- Remainder of North America warmer than normal with perhaps the Southeast being close to normal due to wetness and an area running from the Great Lakes to the Northeastern U.S. and across Quebec and portions of Atlantic Canada having the potential to be much warmer than normal.

Just when we thought it couldn't get any hotter next week. Donny says July is even hotter. FTW...TORCH!!

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The siege is over, the icepooooosays had there day in the dank. Nothing but sun for the next 12 days. Major heat now confirmed and on the way for midweek on, July is an all out assault on all the is sacred to the coldeth misery.

Viva la summer.

BSE2 rolls along.

At least here its now 16 months of fire in a row as bdr is a lock to have another + month.

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The siege is over, the icepooooosays had there day in the dank. Nothing but sun for the next 12 days. Major heat now confirmed and on the way for midweek on, July is an all out assault on all the is sacred to the coldeth misery.

Viva la summer.

BSE2 rolls along.

At least here its now 16 months of fire in a row as bdr is a lock to have another + month.

wow..triple bun worthy

:weenie: :weenie: :weenie:

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Interesting how BOX is claiming clear sky in western MA. Looking out my window and at satellite says "not so much". A mix of blue and clouds above, but the sun's not really coming through the clouds in the east. I'm sure that'll change as the sun rises and the eastern clouds continue to move away. But, a little suprised by the lack of sun.

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0Z Euro once again, see ya at 12z as the heat is muted to 2 days. Love the weather coming up, violently happy. Heavy heavy talented beach goers incoming.

Well said Steven, brutal days like yesterday leave me depressed, waking up this morning and seeing the cobalt blue skies, and feeling the crisp nw winds blowing in the bedroom lifted my spirits, now we have nearly two weeks straight of nothing but sun! We deserve it.

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Well said Steven, brutal days like yesterday leave me depressed, waking up this morning and seeing the cobalt blue skies, and feeling the crisp nw winds blowing in the bedroom lifted my spirits, now we have nearly two weeks straight of nothing but sun! We deserve it.

Still cloudy here, sucks but agree on the winds, the change is a coming.

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