Ian Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 The massive storm southwest of Sisseton has a chance, starting to develop stronger inflow and decent low level broad rotation. it looks really good the last few scans.. nice hook now. it's got like 50 chasers under it so we'll know soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 it looks really good the last few scans.. nice hook now. it's got like 50 chasers under it so we'll know soon. It definitely has a chance, has awesome inflow, and it is beginning to interact with the warm front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 What a nightmare to warn on in terms of radar coverage, that area of western MN a big radar hole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Things have seemed to intensify quite a bit Tornado wise in the last few minutes... Basing off of all the new TOR warnings... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 AT 654 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR CHARLESVILLE...OR 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF WHEATON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 it looks really good the last few scans.. nice hook now. it's got like 50 chasers under it so we'll know soon. Looks like junk now. It looks like the whole line is beginning to bow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Actually some decent storms coming in from Canada. One of which has a nice hook and TOR warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Looks like junk now. It looks like the whole line is beginning to bow. yeah nothing has stayed that good looking for long.. tho maybe partly radar location on the ones apparently producing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Actually some decent storms coming in from Canada. One of which has a nice hook and TOR warning. Not bad rotation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 As said earlier, Western Minnesota sucks radar-wise... Massive Radar hole out there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Cells southwest of Watertown definitely looking better now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 The stuff out near Willmar probably has the best chance of producing a TOR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Awesome Structure on the Extreme Tornado Tours feed on TVN's web stream... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 I'm gonna say we are done tornado wise for the night. I do think we could see an impressive squall line though. What was the deal? Seemed primed for supercells. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1202 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0727 PM CDT SUN JUN 17 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL MINNESOTA INTO PARTS OF NORTHWESTERN WISCONSIN CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 404... VALID 180027Z - 180200Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 404 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...A NEW WW LIKELY WILL BE NEEDED EAST OF WW 404 WITHIN THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS...FOR A CONTINUED RISK OF AT LEAST DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL INTO LATE EVENING. DISCUSSION...LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC WARM ADVECTION CONTINUES TO SUPPORT THE EVOLUTION OF AN ORGANIZED MESOSCALE SCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM IN THE PRESENCE OF MODERATELY LARGE CAPE AND STRENGTHENING DEEP LAYER MEAN FLOW AND SHEAR. AS THE SOUTHWESTERLY 850 MB JET STRENGTHENS TO 50+ KT ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID MISSOURI VALLEY INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS EVENING...AND SURFACE COLD POOLS ASSOCIATED THE CONVECTION CONSOLIDATE AND DEEPEN...FORWARD PROPAGATION MAY ACCELERATE...IN AN EASTERLY OR EAST SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION ACROSS CENTRAL MINNESOTA THROUGH 01-03Z. THE 00Z SOUNDING FROM MINNEAPOLIS SUGGESTS SUFFICIENT DESTABILIZATION WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO MAINTAIN A RISK FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS AND HAIL ACROSS AREAS NEAR/WEST THROUGH NORTH OF MINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL...INTO PARTS OF NORTHWESTERN WISCONSIN... BEFORE ACTIVITY WEAKENS LATE THIS EVENING. ..KERR.. 06/18/2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 I'm gonna say we are done tornado wise for the night. I do think we could see an impressive squall line though. What was the deal? Seemed primed for supercells. I) Watch the discrete cells developing to the south. II) Consolidation with the cells up north robbed them early of more tornado potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 I) Watch the discrete cells developing to the south. II) Consolidation with the cells up north robbed them early of more tornado potential. stuff south has no real indication it's going to turn.. . today always looked like it was going to want to go linear fairly quick imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 That line isn't done yet, 100 kt gate to gate couplet at 9,000 feet AGL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lester Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 AT 754 PM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR ODESSA...OR 8 MILES EAST OF ORTONVILLE. SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE HAS BEEN REPORTED ON BIG STONE LAKE AND IN THE TOWN OR ORTONVILLE MN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD 758 PM CDT SUN JUN 17 2012 MNC011-SDC051-109-180115- /O.CON.KABR.TO.W.0012.000000T0000Z-120618T0115Z/ BIG STONE MN-ROBERTS SD-GRANT SD- 758 PM CDT SUN JUN 17 2012 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN GRANT... EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN ROBERTS AND SOUTHEASTERN BIG STONE COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM CDT... AT 754 PM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR ODESSA...OR 8 MILES EAST OF ORTONVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE HAS BEEN REPORTED ON BIG STONE LAKE AND IN THE TOWN OR ORTONVILLE. THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... CORRELL AROUND 805 PM CDT... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Spoke to soon as always. Looks like a strong spinup/QLCS tornado hit there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Supercell in MN going tornadic now, will pass close to Willmar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Tornado on the ground in the line again, tornado on the ground on the eastern cell. Jesse Risley is showing a tree in a house, in Big Stone City. Good call buckeye, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 806 PM CDT SUN JUN 17 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN CHIPPEWA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA... CENTRAL KANDIYOHI COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA... SOUTHEASTERN SWIFT COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA... * UNTIL 830 PM CDT * AT 802 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED STRONG ROTATION WITH A STORM 2 MILES SOUTH OF KERKHOVEN. IN ADDITION...A TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD. RADAR SHOWED THE SEVERE STORM MOVING EAS AT 30 MPH. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE... WILLMAR... KERKHOVEN... SPICER... KANDIYOHI... NEW LONDON... MURDOCK... PENNOCK... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 LLJ working its magic... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 And the southern cell finally goes tornado warned, funnel reported. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD 811 PM CDT SUN JUN 17 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ABERDEEN HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN CODINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA... NORTHWESTERN DEUEL COUNTY IN NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA... NORTHEASTERN HAMLIN COUNTY IN NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA... * UNTIL 845 PM CDT * AT 807 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD NEAR THOMAS...OR 10 MILES SOUTH OF WATERTOWN. A TORNADO MAY DEVELOP AT ANY TIME! DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADIC STORM MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... KRANZBURG AROUND 830 PM CDT... GOODWIN AROUND 835 PM CDT... THIS WARNING INCLUDES INTERSTATE 29 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 163 AND 179. THIS WARNING INCLUDES HIGHWAY 212 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 377 AND 390. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Tornado on the ground in the line again, tornado on the ground on the eastern cell. Jesse Risley is showing a tree in a house, in Big Stone City. Good call buckeye, lol. to be fair the recent spinup in the line was pretty quick -- cell interactions. initial reports are almost always overstated tho it did look good for a bit. the lead cell in mn looks nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
220mph Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 cool view - can see the low level flow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 sd tail cell is nice looking.. base looks pretty high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 825 PM CDT SUN JUN 17 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... EAST CENTRAL LAC QUI PARLE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA... NORTHWESTERN CHIPPEWA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA... SOUTHWESTERN SWIFT COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA... * UNTIL 900 PM CDT * AT 820 PM CDT...LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR APPLETON. RADAR SHOWED THE TORNADIC STORM MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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