WxLover Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 MCD has been out for the rest of central PA near i-80 and above to join in on the severe thunderstorm watch that is currently in effect from about IPT northeast. *Now issued The bulk of the severe threat looks to stay i'd say from US 22 (I-78) and north, barring an organized line/MCS developing.. which is in the realm of possibility. Anything that makes it further southeast is going to have trouble maintaining itself. As per mesoanalysis the SE is currently pretty well capped with much lower CAPE (as well as CIN present) and an area of weak LI. This is due to the ridiculously warm air aloft, which is helping enhance the very hot temperatures at the surface. Big time CAPEs in excess of 4000 J/KG reside in the west central and the presence of some shear/helicity lends to the potential of some scattered supercells. Any supercells that form are likely going to be in the northern half of the state. Wind is going to be the biggest threat today, and alot of the storm modes (clusters, lines, scattered supercells) are fair game. EHI's are pretty low but existent, so can't rule out the possibility for any supercell that develops to drop a weak tornado. Thanks for replying. Looks like SE Pa wil keep on frying. Any chance the cap erodes over night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Thanks for replying. Looks like SE Pa wil keep on frying. Any chance the cap erodes over night? SE PA will have a better chance at storms later tonight into tomorrow as the front begins to push south and finally ends this brutal heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 MDT might finally get rain tomorrow. We need it badly, my ground is crashed so badly. Currently sitting at 100 even at MDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Make that 101. Tied the record high from 1988. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Up to 101 here. 66 DP and a HI of 105. Brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxLover Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Now the "D" word being mentioned in other threads for Pa, NJ, Del. I guess its possible though, they are pretty rare in these parts. Not even a watch out, so unlikely in my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Wow it went from over 100 degree to 72 degrees with this storm front. Some pretty good winds too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 lol storms fail here. Completely fell apart as they tried to enter the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Now the "D" word being mentioned in other threads for Pa, NJ, Del. I guess its possible though, they are pretty rare in these parts. Not even a watch out, so unlikely in my opinion. refresh my memory... "D" word? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcfox1 Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Think he means drought. It pretty dry down here but not yet to that level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 I'm pretty sure he meant Derecho. The lack of watch he was referring to was a Severe Tstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Zero cooperation from the storms. Once again they slide down to the East and West of me and I am left with thunder and lightening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 BAH GAWD! PRECIPITATION! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 CPT just issued a severe t-storm warning for southern Dauphin, where I am. It's actually sunny now. We'll see if the storm gets down here, I'm doubting it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 A friend of mine took this picture from this storm....Wow that had to hurt!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 So that first severe storm didn't get here, I never heard thunder even. BUT about 15 minutes ago we had a storm roll through, lightning hit I believe a block down (was looking out the window at the time). And for the first time in 32 days, rain has fallen on my house. Only 10 minutes worth and not heavy, bit moisture! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 So that first severe storm didn't get here, I never heard thunder even. BUT about 15 minutes ago we had a storm roll through, lightning hit I believe a block down (was looking out the window at the time). And for the first time in 32 days, rain has fallen on my house. Only 10 minutes worth and not heavy, bit moisture! Colors are starting to creep towards us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 Didn't get anything at home today really, but parts of Altoona sure did. I work part time as a waiter at a place that does wedding receptions, and just in time for the bride and groom to arrive we had a doozy of a storm roll through that part of town. Sure was very reminiscent of the memorial day storm, winds were probably 60+ for a brief time. Branches and etc were flying everywhere. The storm ended up taking the power out to everything in that end of town including the ballpark where the Altoona Curve play. Two and half hours of no power, no AC and feisty drunk wedding patrons. One of those days I really wish one of these places I've applied to in my fields would hire me already, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 Didn't get anything at home today really, but parts of Altoona sure did. I work part time as a waiter at a place that does wedding receptions, and just in time for the bride and groom to arrive we had a doozy of a storm roll through that part of town. Sure was very reminiscent of the memorial day storm, winds were probably 60+ for a brief time. Branches and etc were flying everywhere. The storm ended up taking the power out to everything in that end of town including the ballpark where the Altoona Curve play. Two and half hours of no power, no AC and feisty drunk wedding patrons. One of those days I really wish one of these places I've applied to in my fields would hire me already, haha. I agree. You really know your stuff. Looking at this week, hoping the Tuesday rain continues to look decent on models. Also hope we get in on that rain this weekend/next week. Need it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 Brother says .74" back home with that group of t-storms yest. Today was perfect down here. Nice cool 80F so far :) gotta love that rainy onshore flow! This national heat is starting to resemble 1934. The drought isn't quite as bad yet, but looking at the long range, not much relief for places that need it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 KAVP is now at 11 days AOA 90 this year if I counted right, including today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted July 9, 2012 Share Posted July 9, 2012 Saw this the other day, guess you can make that 11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted July 9, 2012 Share Posted July 9, 2012 Saw this the other day, guess you can make that 11. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 9, 2012 Share Posted July 9, 2012 I don't know about you guys, but I'm ready for temps to be back in the 70s for highs and 50s for lows. Bring on September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted July 9, 2012 Share Posted July 9, 2012 I don't know about you guys, but I'm ready for temps to be back in the 70s for highs and 50s for lows. Bring on September. we need some rain bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted July 9, 2012 Share Posted July 9, 2012 I don't know about you guys, but I'm ready for temps to be back in the 70s for highs and 50s for lows. Bring on September. CFS has been creeping above avg anomalies into the OV for Sept. Time to cancel winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted July 9, 2012 Share Posted July 9, 2012 we need some rain bad. I am so hoping the long range is right about this weekend/next week. CFS has been creeping above avg anomalies into the OV for Sept. Time to cancel winter. Euro has positive NAO/negative PNA first half of winter. :axe: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted July 9, 2012 Share Posted July 9, 2012 I am so hoping the long range is right about this weekend/next week. Euro has positive NAO/negative PNA first half of winter. Speaking of the NAO, its been solidly negative since late May. Yea hopefully we score some precip this weekend, however the trade off looks to be rebuilding heat and humidity as a Bermuda high tries to from and we catch a more humid southerly flow. Probably an air mass that won't make for necessarily the highest actual temps, but more brutal humidity. So I suppose we should enjoy the a fairly nice weather for the majority of this week as the hot summer weather looks to make a return. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted July 10, 2012 Share Posted July 10, 2012 I am so hoping the long range is right about this weekend/next week. Euro has positive NAO/negative PNA first half of winter. :axe: I sure hope so. i would give up a weekend for 2 days of steady rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted July 10, 2012 Share Posted July 10, 2012 If anyone knows of a link(s) to help out... trying to find archived information on excessive heat watch/warning issuances to get an idea of roughly how many/how often they are issued... PA and/or surrounding states would be nice but could be for any state **edit** nevermind...found this site http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/current/severe.phtml ... some pretty good stuff on there if anyone ever looking for archived nws products Capital City airport (KCXY) now has recorded 12 straight days of 90+ degrees... would be the same for KMDT if there were not 3 days of 89....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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