Cfa Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Hopefully we'll get something, it's been partly cloudy for a couple of hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 It's been mostly sunny for almost an hour now but nothing's popping up yet. If anything, the showers in NE PA approaching are weakening. There's probably going to be some storm activity but it doesn't look like anything very impressive for today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 bust on the severe threat-nothing anywhere...horrible day here until an hour ago-sprinkles and 70 the whole day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 The patchy clouds really limited the instability today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 bust on the severe threat-nothing anywhere...horrible day here until an hour ago-sprinkles and 70 the whole day another threat bites the dust. Taking the family out of the TOR shelter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Just missed the heat here in CNJ. 78 and cloudy here. 90s to my SW. Double whammy - no storms and no sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Most likely safe to call this one a bust for the main part, still mainly cloudy and nothing new is showing up. Upton also seems rather unimpressed with tonight's potential as of their latest discussion: .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/... INSTABILITY WAS LIMITED AT 3PM ACROSS THE CWA. A NARROW RIBBON OF HIGHER CAPE WAS ANALYZED ALONG THE NE PA/NY BORDER. WITH SATELLITE SHOWING A SOLID BATCH OF MID CLOUDS STREAMING IN FROM THE NW HOWEVER...EXPECT INSTABILITY TO REMAIN LIMITED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY ACROSS THE AREA. RADAR DOES SHOW SOME SHRA TRACKING SE FROM UPSTATE NY AND PA...SO FCST CARRIES SCT POPS THROUGH 8PM. TSTMS HAVE BEEN LIMITED TO ISOLD IN COVERAGE. BEST POTENTIAL WILL BE ACROSS NE NJ AND THE CITY WHERE IT IS BOTH WARMER AND THE WAVE INDUCED BY THE SHRA SHOULD HELP PROVIDE A TRIGGER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 9, 2012 Author Share Posted June 9, 2012 Wow, total lack of development with this event. Was expecting at least some forcing to touch off storms in the narrow instability axis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Wow, total lack of development with this event. Was expecting at least some forcing to touch off storms in the narrow instability axis. SREFS was too aggressive again with their severe progs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 9, 2012 Author Share Posted June 9, 2012 SREFS was too aggressive again with their severe progs The post-processed severe progs actually weren't too aggressive today, but the instability was definitely at least a bit overforecast. Overdone low level moisture probably had something to do with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 10, 2012 Share Posted June 10, 2012 The 0z SPC WRF, and 4KM NAM models are showing more convection today. The light onshore flow developing today, may enhance moisture convergence and instability along the front today: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted June 10, 2012 Share Posted June 10, 2012 storm has popped up in sullivan county. looks to be gaining strength quickly. lets see if we can get some more storms brewing as the 0z spc wrf was eluding to this morning posted by weathergun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted June 10, 2012 Share Posted June 10, 2012 At least it's not completely quiet today... there's a few storms popping up near the NY/NJ/PA borders. Hopefully that's not all there is for today though, the SPC WRF has storms persisting through about 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted June 10, 2012 Share Posted June 10, 2012 At least it's not completely quiet today... there's a few storms popping up near the NY/NJ/PA borders. Hopefully that's not all there is for today though, the SPC WRF has storms persisting through about 0z. yea we'll see i suppose. gotta say severe weather has been pretty nill this year so far. threats have really failed to deliver and dynamics not all that great. we'll see how this week turns out with storm chances i suppose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 10, 2012 Share Posted June 10, 2012 yea we'll see i suppose. gotta say severe weather has been pretty nill this year so far. threats have really failed to deliver and dynamics not all that great. we'll see how this week turns out with storm chances i suppose Kind of goes with the boring weather year we have been having in general. (Irene excluded) The cell up on the NY/NJ boarder looks healthy and could go severe any minute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StatenWx Posted June 10, 2012 Share Posted June 10, 2012 Does that storm northwest of the city have rotation with it because it looks as if it does on radar scope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 10, 2012 Share Posted June 10, 2012 Does that storm northwest of the city have rotation with it because it looks as if it does on radar scope It has a severe thunderstorm warning with it. Surprised none of the Jersey posters are reporting it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted June 10, 2012 Share Posted June 10, 2012 right under it... one thunder was so loud... loudest I've heard in a long time. lightning everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted June 10, 2012 Share Posted June 10, 2012 this is a bad one. can someone tell me what the rotation is showing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted June 10, 2012 Share Posted June 10, 2012 Trees down... powers out... Worst storm in a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted June 10, 2012 Share Posted June 10, 2012 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM EDT FOR EASTERN MORRIS COUNTY... AT 538 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE AN AREA OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED FROM WHARTON TO LAKE TELEMARK...OR FROM 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF MORRISTOWN TO 13 MILES NORTH OF MORRISTOWN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... SUCCASUNNA...VICTORY GARDENS...ROCKAWAY AND DOVER BY 545 PM EDT... LINCOLN PARK...MOUNTAIN LAKES AND BOONTON BY 555 PM EDT... PARSIPPANY AND MORRIS PLAINS BY 600 PM EDT... MENDHAM BY 605 PM EDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR WITH THESE STORMS AND CAUSE LOW-LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1-877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted June 10, 2012 Share Posted June 10, 2012 Has a slight hook on it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 10, 2012 Share Posted June 10, 2012 Nice supercell in Morris County. Solid mesocyclone with that thing. Looks like it's dropping at least quarters... maybe half dollars. Nice hail spike on OKX too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted June 10, 2012 Share Posted June 10, 2012 Has a slight hook on it... looks like nyc on east is gonna miss out on the action huh? looks like it from my grlevel3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx.1028 Posted June 10, 2012 Share Posted June 10, 2012 Does that storm northwest of the city have rotation with it because it looks as if it does on radar scope That storm entering morris county right now is showing 65.5 dbz with a 1.50" hail marker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted June 10, 2012 Share Posted June 10, 2012 yeah, there's an axis that's almost right down the Hudson River. staying 99% dry east of that boundary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 10, 2012 Share Posted June 10, 2012 Looks like the worst of it might just miss me to the west if it stays over Somerset county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted June 10, 2012 Share Posted June 10, 2012 I can safely say this is the worst storm we've had in the last 5 years... Possibly more. Pics soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 10, 2012 Share Posted June 10, 2012 New Warning BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 601 PM EDT SUN JUN 10 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTH CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF NEW BRUNSWICK... SOUTH CENTRAL MORRIS COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY... SOMERSET COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF SOMERVILLE... NORTHEASTERN HUNTERDON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY... * UNTIL 645 PM EDT * AT 555 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MENDHAM...OR NEAR MORRISTOWN...AND MOVING SOUTH AT 25 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... PEAPACK AND GLADSTONE AROUND 610 PM EDT... BASKING RIDGE...FAR HILLS AND MILLINGTON AROUND 615 PM EDT... MARTINSVILLE AND BRIDGEWATER AROUND 630 PM EDT... SOMERVILLE...BOUND BROOK AND MIDDLESEX AROUND 635 PM EDT... MANVILLE AROUND 640 PM EDT... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted June 10, 2012 Share Posted June 10, 2012 Look at the Mendham storm on the TEWR TDWR. The outflow boundary on that storm basically, for lack of a better term, sweeps away the sea-breeze boundary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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