Isotherm Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 12z NAM has a nice MCS coming through early Sunday It's almost worthless to look at as MCS events are akin to throwing darts blindfolded. I think somewhere in the DCA-BOS corridor could see an MCS in the next several days, but to attempt to pinpoint location is darn near impossible until the complex initiates. From my experience they often end up further S/E than progged, and like to ride b/t the 582 and 588dm height lines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 28, 2012 Author Share Posted June 28, 2012 Something crazy got into the NAM for Saturday Night into Sunday -- has a convective vort that touches off a huge convective episode overnight through most of the Northern MA. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ETAPA_18z/f60.gif Speaking of which, wasting a great EML tomorrow afternoon across much of the Northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Something crazy got into the NAM for Saturday Night into Sunday -- has a convective vort that touches off a huge convective episode overnight through most of the Northern MA. http://www.meteo.psu...APA_18z/f60.gif Speaking of which, wasting a great EML tomorrow afternoon across much of the Northeast. saw that last year a few times as well. those days you look at the radar and say to yourself what couldve been. i guess we'll see about sunday than. looks good but we've had the rug ripped out from underneath us before earthlight lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 i know because i live in the shaft zone, southwest suffolk county only miles from the beach Yea SW Suffolk is a pretty bad screw zone for severe weather and winter weather, SE Nassau is the worst screw zone. I need some perspective and frame of reference....do you mean for the whole earth or just the U.S.? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 I need some perspective and frame of reference....do you mean for the whole earth or just the U.S.? if you really wanna narrow it down, referring to the immediate tri state area. of course i know there are places on earth that can go for years and years without a thunderstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 if you really wanna narrow it down, referring to the immediate tri state area. of course i know there are places on earth that can go for years and years without a thunderstorm My question was quasi-sardonic...though not in a mean spirited way.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Well the 00z NAM certainly seems enthused for MCS potential Sat night. We'll see how things evolve the next couple days, but the potential is there in this pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Wow, take a look at the Day 2 SPC outlook for Saturday night! Not only does the 15% Slight Risk area touch NYC, but most of the slight risk area is encompassed in hatching!Hatched outlooks are akin to what the Great Plains and Midwest sees often, but we rarely see them here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Depending on if they hold together NAM fail. Looks like srefs had best handle on the storms. Should be through quick and doesn't seem severe yet. Nice cells in southern PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Depending on if they hold together NAM fail. Looks like srefs had best handle on the storms. Should be through quick and doesn't seem severe yet. Nice cells in southern PA. Impressive base velocities on the TPHL TDWR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Pretty incredible light show from this storm off to the west right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Incredible lightning show outside my bedroom window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Looks like t-storms will move through much of NYC, during the next hour: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Incredible lightning show outside my bedroom window. Yeah im under the triborough right now looking west...nonstop lightning....wish i had my camera. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Vivid lightning here in Dobbs Ferry and thunder woke me up....starting to rain at 74.2/65. These thunderstorms will seal the deal for NYC to finish below normal and may affect other stations as well. The temperature should drop dramatically under such heavy rain and ensure that we don't get a super warm overnight low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyg Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Awoken by thunder. Storm flew through in less then 10 minutes. Lots of lightning and a brief heavy downpour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Awoken by thunder. Storm flew through in less then 10 minutes. Lots of lightning and a brief heavy downpour. Thank goodness they are FMs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Awoken by thunder. Storm flew through in less then 10 minutes. Lots of lightning and a brief heavy downpour. There are more storms in eastern PA that look to clip the area in the next hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Woke me up lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 There are more storms in eastern PA that look to clip the area in the next hour or so. Meh those are decaying and this first line probably ruins any chance after they come through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx.1028 Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 NWS employee just reported a 60MPH. wind gust in chester PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 The lightning was really impressive....rest of the storm was pretty meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 The lightning was really impressive....rest of the storm was pretty meh. Not a lot of rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StatenWx Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 I got 30 drops total from the storm an it now is unbreathable outside and feels like 85 my only hope is that some new storms form on the northern periphery of the line crossing into new jersey now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx.1028 Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 I got 30 drops total from the storm an it now is unbreathable outside and feels like 85 my only hope is that some new storms form on the northern periphery of the line crossing into new jersey now. I havent seen one drop of rain in Annadale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Woke up from ridiculously loud thunder 1/2 hour ago... thought it was over behind the main line but a 45-50 dbz squall just popped up overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 I got 30 drops total from the storm an it now is unbreathable outside and feels like 85 my only hope is that some new storms form on the northern periphery of the line crossing into new jersey now. It's actually dropped to 69.7/68 here, which is the low for the day so far since midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StatenWx Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Yeah I live in Sunnyside, we got 2 strikes that woke me up a few drops of rain and now it feels like a rainforest, it's worse than the kodimundi cage at the zoo. New storms are forming on that line in jersey, hope they get far north enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 That cell in Burlington Country, NJ has updrafts towering to 44,000 feet with a 1.50" hail marker.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 It also looks like the main theme this month so far is that the storms tend to reintensify once they hit the immediate coast instead of dying like normal. Probably because of the way above normal SSTs offshore. Having said that and the anticipation of a strong MCS to impact the area on Sunday morning, I am pulling an all-nighter on Saturday night! I have a good feeling about Brooklyn cashing in on some hail and/or wind. We haven't seen a severe report in a while, so it's overdue. Anyone remember July 2007? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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