BlueSkiesFading Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 Not impressed. Radar looks pretty lame ATM. There's some decent storms over western PA and NY state that should make it into the area by daybreak. FWIW, the latest disco from Upton mentions the best lift will be over the region by around 9z, along with MUCAPE running between 1000-2000 j/kg. They're expecting the storms to hold together. Time will tell I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 SPC has put us in the 2% tornado contour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 SPC has put us in the 2% tornado contour. For the afternoon? Because this morning doesnt look like anything great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 For the afternoon? Because this morning doesnt look like anything great. Yeah, the afternoon. We can destabilize a bit after the morning stuff moves through, and when the upper level low moves closer we'll also advect some dry air aloft helping support more organized cells. The strong NW flow aloft might also help with the shear a bit. I think it looks interesting, provided we're able to destabilize enough in the late morning and early afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 Here we go, already. Watch likely coming: MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1268 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0521 AM CDT MON JUN 25 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE NRN MID ATLANTIC COAST INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH NEEDED SOON VALID 251021Z - 251045Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT SUMMARY...A WW LIKELY WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY. DISCUSSION...THE MAGNITUDE OF THE INSTABILITY REMAINS A BIT UNCERTAIN...BUT GIVEN THE RELATIVELY HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT NEAR COASTAL AREAS... POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SUBSTANTIVE FURTHER CONVECTIVE INTENSIFICATION THIS MORNING ACROSS THE RELATIVE HIGHLY POPULATED AREAS OF THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC COAST AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. ..KERR/CARBIN.. 06/25/2012 ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 Severe t-storm watch being issued until 2pm: Actually it doesn't include NYC and areas west of Hudson river. http://www.spc.ncep....tch/ww0425.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 lol city not included. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 Holy **** craY storm here in yonkers insane strikes of lightning and heavy heavy rain. Winds arestrong too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 Some echoes up to 64 dbz on last scan should be getting some hail now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 nice storm north of city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 That storm over the Bronx should be warned. I don't understand why NYC/NE NJ isn't under watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 to our north.. The National Weather Service in Albany has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Litchfield County in northern Connecticut... southeastern Berkshire County in western Massachusetts... * until 815 am EDT * at 713 am EDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a severe thunderstorm capable of producing quarter size hail... and damaging winds in excess of 60 mph. This storm was located near Cornwall Bridge... or 12 miles west of Torrington... and moving east at 35 mph. * The severe thunderstorm will be near... Canaan... eddy field... Ashley Falls and Oakville by 725 am EDT... Torrington and Thomaston by 730 am EDT... Norfolk and Terryville by 735 am EDT... Winsted by 740 am EDT... New Hartford by 745 am EDT... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 Not impressed. For the afternoon? Because this morning doesnt look like anything great. Holy **** craY storm here in yonkers insane strikes of lightning and heavy heavy rain. Winds arestrong too dont quit your day job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 Nice storm SW of NYC should impact at least the southern portion of the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 Some of the loudest thunder I've ever heard here in Danbury. Couldn't confirm, but thought I was woken up by pinging of small hail as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 dont quit your day job. If you have nothing good too post, dont post at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 Does Upton not including NYC in the watch have to do with the lack of severe reports in the 5 boroughs this season relative to the rest of the area? Bergen and Union county which is not included in the watch just had a near-severe storm in the last hour according to Wunderground radar with hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 haven't seen any warnings out of mt holly or upton yet although wunderground radar is indicatin a cell coming through somerset into middlesex county nj has a 40% severe hail with it http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=zoom&num=6&frame=0&delay=15&scale=0.226&noclutter=0&ID=DIX&type=N0R&showstorms=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=0.226¢erx=453¢ery=713&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 If you have nothing good too post, dont post at all. exxxxxxactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 This batch of storms is similar to friday - pop up cells - one just popped up rapidly over eastern midlesex county heading into staten island heavy rain http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=zoom&num=6&frame=0&delay=15&scale=0.226&noclutter=0&ID=DIX&type=N0R&showstorms=10&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=0.226¢erx=453¢ery=713&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 A lot of thunder and lightning but not much else on that ct coast cell. It's not warned so makes sense it looks worse on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 Looks like a bad storm.coming my way...not warned.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 25, 2012 Author Share Posted June 25, 2012 Very loud thunder here -- loudest I've heard at this hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 Looks like a bad storm.coming my way...not warned.. I am right up the road from you on the border of woodbridge and clark and we have the heavy rain with distant thunder that cell on wunderground with the hail seems to be moving due east trough sayreville and towards the bayshore region http://www.wundergro...f=9999&smooth=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 I heard the Bronx storm was insane. I'm surprised warnings didn't go up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 Real loud thunder here....sweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 I am right up the road from you on the border of woodbridge and clark and we have the heavy rain with distant thunder that cell on wonderground with the hail seems to be moving due east trough sayreville and towards the bayshore region http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=zoom&num=6&frame=0&delay=15&scale=0.226&noclutter=0&ID=DIX&type=N0R&showstorms=10&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=0.226¢erx=453¢ery=713&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0 Kind of surprised its not warned....worse then anything we had here friday.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 nice storm in progress here--outperformed Friday--constant thunder and lightning and torrential rains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyg Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 I'm hearing constant rolling thunder from that storm to the south in lower union county. Skies are very dark to the south. No rain here though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 Got woken up by tthe lloud and frequent thunder here. Peeked outside and the structure didn't seem existent but there was extremely heavy rain falling and was pretty blustery out. Cool storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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