Cyg Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Here's a video I put together of the storm yesterday. Pretty much a garden variety storm...looked a lot more menacing as it was approaching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Looks rather meh for tomorrow. Bad timing. Parts of the area need a break anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderdude Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Friday was great with 3 different thunderstorms but nothing severe. Nothing loud thunder and gusty winds were nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Looks rather meh for tomorrow. Bad timing. Parts of the area need a break anyway. agreed. Thunderstorms are ok for a while but then they get old...with snow you can still go outside, walk around, walk the dog, etc. With bad storms you are pinned down inside with no outdoors time (unless you are insane). Power outages also suck as do down trees and blocked roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 I'm out at Orient Beach State Park and the beach is beautiful. What perfect weather for outdoor activities. Just gorgeous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Storms and rain are highly likely tomorrow morning. Whenever you see all models dropping such high amounts of qpf areawide, it's a clear cut sign of organized convection. Severe or not, should be an interesting morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 I'm out at Orient Point State Park and the beach is beautiful. What perfect weather for outdoor activities. Just gorgeous. Was out there yesterday. The water quality has been great this year because of the slow warming of the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Was out there yesterday. The water quality has been great this year because of the slow warming of the water. Yea the water is freakin cold! But you get used to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Storms and rain are highly likely tomorrow morning. Whenever you see all models dropping such high amounts of qpf areawide, it's a clear cut sign of organized convection. Severe or not, should be an interesting morning. as i said, lame. Thunderstorms to cool off a hot summer day are good, but for an entire morning/day, dont see the fun in that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 The models are hinting at two rounds of storms tomorrow. One round in the morning and another some time in the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 as i said, lame. Thunderstorms to cool off a hot summer day are good, but for an entire morning/day, dont see the fun in that. Personal preference. I enjoy all thunderstorms. Day or night and severe or non-severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 The models are hinting at two rounds of storms tomorrow. One round in the morning and another some time in the afternoon. nothing looks all that strong/severe, may not even see much thunder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Yea the water is freakin cold! But you get used to it. The water being cold is what keeps it clear though. It's getting warmer. Last 2 weeks it was in the low 60's. Today it's 68-70. A couple more degrees and it's perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 nothing looks all that strong/severe, may not even see much thunder ??? While not severe, thunder and lightning are almost a certainty. And severe is still possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 nothing looks all that strong/severe, may not even see much thunder You can't tell that by looking at those pics, lol. The fact the 4km NAM shows convection at all on a marginal day says something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 First round of showers and t-storms is with the warm front early tomorrow morning, then with the second round with cold front passage around 18z. The 12z runs still show CAPE 1000> J/kg and 0-6km bulk shear 30kts>. So there could still be few strong or severe t-storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 nothing looks all that strong/severe, may not even see much thunder Great mid level lapse rates and shear for most of the day. The main question is what the location of the strongest cells will be. Somebody in the Northeast will see severe with these soundings. Really can't pin down a specific location from 24 hrs out though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 24, 2012 Author Share Posted June 24, 2012 nothing looks all that strong/severe, may not even see much thunder Any reasoning for this opinion, or just a wild guess? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Any reasoning for this opinion, or just a wild guess? Gut feeling and wishful thinking. Driving up to Boston for an interview. Don't feel like being stuck on Connecticut turnpike in storms all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Gut feeling and wishful thinking. Driving up to Boston for an interview. Don't feel like being stuck on Connecticut turnpike in storms all day. Tomorrow's setup looks better then Friday. Especially for widespread heavy rain with convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 24, 2012 Author Share Posted June 24, 2012 Gut feeling and wishful thinking. Driving up to Boston for an interview. Don't feel like being stuck on Connecticut turnpike in storms all day. Sounds like a better post for the banter thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Sounds like a better post for the banter thread You might be right...but I am discussing my gut feelings on tomorrow's storms...so it is not at all OT. But you the mod and this isn't a democracy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Was out there yesterday. The water quality has been great this year because of the slow warming of the water. Did you go fishing in Plum Gut? I caught a 43lb Striper there on Friday nights outgoing tide. Anyway, tommorow looks good for some decent severe weather. The GFS looked really good for New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Slight risk for coastal areas tomorrow: .SRN NEW ENGLAND SWD TO THE ERN NC VICINITY AFTERNOON DESTABILIZATION AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ADVANCING ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC REGIONS WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AS A MID-LEVEL JET STREAK ASSOCIATED WITH THE DIGGING UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO SPREAD SEWD ACROSS THE UPPER OH VALLEY AND ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...IT APPEARS THAT CLUSTERS OF STRONGER/ORGANIZED STORMS MAY EVOLVE...SHIFTING FAIRLY QUICKLY SEWD AND ACCOMPANIED BY DAMAGING WIND/HAIL POTENTIAL. GIVEN THE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING ENHANCEMENT OF THE FLOW FIELD ALOFT EXPECTED ACROSS THIS REGION...HAVE OPTED TO UPGRADE THE SEVERE THREAT AND INTRODUCE A SLIGHT RISK AREA. STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING -- WITH AT LEAST SOME SEVERE POTENTIAL LIKELY TO LINGER BEYOND SUNSET. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Did you go fishing in Plum Gut? I caught a 43lb Striper there on Friday nights outgoing tide. Anyway, tommorow looks good for some decent severe weather. The GFS looked really good for New England. Nope. Striped bass have been loaded in the western sound for 2 months and continue to be so because of lower water temps. No need to fish out there yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Sounds like a better post for the banter thread I can't find a June banter thread here - last one I see was for April. Anyways I agree that tomorrows threat is legit with the indicies in favor of a chance of some heavy T-storms and some possibly becoming severe - heavy downpours and training of cells seems to be the biggest threat at the moment - you can feel the difference in the atmosphere the last few hours that will be leading up to this event- also looking at sat and radars sea breeze fronts might be the trigger later on in some areas just like they were friday .... http://www.wundergro...99&avg_off=9999 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 The SREF is very impressive for early morning Severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 The SREF is very impressive for early morning Severe. fantastic. cant wait to lose power again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 Unfortunately phi's radars down again. Nyc showing a batch of rain over me but not seeing any precip yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 Not impressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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