CO SciFan Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 Actually we have two fires, another is burning in LaPorte as well. A coworker had to run home to evacuate her cats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 We received about 80% of average snowfall here for the winter but the mountains much less so even though there are no fires yet we will probably have a water shortage again unless we can get more in the next month or so. Last year was awful so we need a good year to make up for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 To date we're at 116% of normal snowfall in Elko, though if there was no more snow after today it would be slightly below normal for the season. However, for the water year we are at 79% normal precipitation to date, so better than last year but still not great. Hopefully we have a wet spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 17, 2013 Author Share Posted March 17, 2013 The wind is starting to howl here. We have wind gusts of 30mph at my house. Cheyenne: gust 42 knots Boulder(Jeffco): gust 38 knots Fort Collins: gust 26 knots Denver: gust 31 knots Rawlins WY: max gust 70mph Fort Collins: max gust 38mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWx Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Coolish today, mid 40s. Had a gust of 37mph earlier so its breezy too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 19, 2013 Author Share Posted March 19, 2013 The ECMWF and GFS show rounds of snow at 84 hours and 120 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWx Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 The ECMWF and GFS show rounds of snow at 84 hours and 120 hours. We also have snow chances coming up on Thursday and Friday especially. Not a lot but I might say 1-3 at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 19, 2013 Author Share Posted March 19, 2013 The models show a light snow on Thursday night/Friday morning. Then it shows the snow really stalls on the Front Range on Friday night and Saturday. The ECMWF has 0.25" water equivalent in 3 hours in Denver Friday, and that's just 3 hours of a long storm. I was hoping to go to Denver Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Nothing will stall here, except high pressure in the summer. Ever. I'm convinced of it. Closed lows only exist 96 hours out as figments of computers' deranged imaginations. How come forecast progressive patterns are always right and stalled patterns are always wrong, instead of the other way around? (I would love to be wrong...) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 21, 2013 Author Share Posted March 21, 2013 Weather patterns stalling? This isn't Nantucket. There have been a relative few lows that stall here just perfectly. And it is true that upper level ridges stall here. Still, Fort Collins and Denver average over 50" per year. (Around 60" per year 1971-2000). Last winter, while all the eastern United States people were complaining of a warm winter, Fort Collins got 3 storms of around 9". That's not too shabby. This was our last storm over 10" in Fort Collins. http://greatlakes.salsite.com/snowfall/20091030_colorado.gif I was going to upload some of today's model maps. However, they don't seem to be uploading. 9z SREF: just a couple of inches 12z 4km NAM: 6" for Denver, 12" eastern Adams county - extremely heavy snow for the NW corner of Kansas. 6z GFS: 4 to 5" 12z GFS: 10 to 12" 12z NAM: 4 to 8" over the Front Range cities Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 interesting. I think there is also something psychological about being able to see a zillion runs of models... if just one has a blockbuster, we seize on that. An analog might be all the discussion among members to our southeast about significant tornadic outbreaks that just don't end up happening. (fortunately for all but the chasers!!) Still, it's funny that the errors this particular year for storms in this neck of the woods all seem to be clustered on the dry side of what is forecast. Probably has to do with the bomb generator that seems to have parked itself off the east coast. Who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 21, 2013 Author Share Posted March 21, 2013 The old forecasting rules are: when in a drought, leave it out when in a wet spell, keep the chance of precipitation in! 15z SREFs now have 3-9" for Larimer county for this storm. Yay. Winter storm watch up for Kansas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 22, 2013 Author Share Posted March 22, 2013 Yep the NWS admits it is a quick mover .BUT THE STRONG DYNAMICS WILLOVERCOME MOST OF THAT. MOUNTAIN AREAS WILL SEE A DECENT SHOT OFSNOW AS THE TROUGH MOVES OVER...BUT IT WILL ALSO BE A RELATIVELYQUICK SHOT. SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE LIMITED BY THE SHORT DURATION OFTHE STORM. SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY IN THE MOUNTAINS SHOULD CONTINUE go Colorado State! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boulderrr Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Yep the NWS admits it is a quick mover .BUT THE STRONG DYNAMICS WILLOVERCOME MOST OF THAT. MOUNTAIN AREAS WILL SEE A DECENT SHOT OFSNOW AS THE TROUGH MOVES OVER...BUT IT WILL ALSO BE A RELATIVELYQUICK SHOT. SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE LIMITED BY THE SHORT DURATION OFTHE STORM. SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY IN THE MOUNTAINS SHOULD CONTINUE go Colorado State! Very thankful that we're actually getting some water falling from the sky this March. Reckon I'll head to Eldora tomorrow, bright and early before everyone gets stuck in the canyon. Hope this helps with putting out that fire you guys have burning up that way. Oh, and... Go Buffs! : Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 What a nice looking taste of winter this is shaping up to be for Boulder / into the Foothills. It may not be the biggest Mar snowstorm you've seen, but 3 (possibly even 4) days straight with highs below freezing in Mar with a fresh snowpack on the ground? What a treat! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Excited to see this, though I'm not really even looking at the models for fear I will actually believe them. Last year this weekend we were staining the fence with temps pushing 80! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 22, 2013 Author Share Posted March 22, 2013 We have moderate snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Want to watch a live shot of the snowfall rate in Denver? Just tune into the USA / Costa Rica soccer match on ESPN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Gotta love soccer in the snow. Or baseball in the snow. Or, for that matter, golf in the snow. Mod snow for about 2 hours here 7-9 PM, lighter now. Got about 1.5" but still just melting on the roads. Edit: ...and we have ourselves a warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 23, 2013 Author Share Posted March 23, 2013 Denver was like an arctic wasteland. I-25 was crusty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 23, 2013 Author Share Posted March 23, 2013 There hasn't been very much snow at my house, although it is blowing and obviously it is accumulating on the streets, since it is 20 degrees. Oddly, now the highest snow depths I have seen this season have been in Cleveland and Denver. There has been impressive frontogenesis and vorticity advection with this storm. There has also been some decent upslope flow. The surface winds were north, but the 700-850 winds were northeast and converging near Denver. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWx Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 1 inch two days ago, close to 4 yesterday but it almost all melted already. Nice to see snow after almost nothing for a month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Coldest Palm Sunday I can remember, that's for sure... was +2 F for a low today after 9.5" of snow yesterday. XC skiing stunk, as the ground was so warm, the snow was melting from the bottom up and created ice chunks on the bottom of my skis. Not so good for glide. Pretty though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boulderrr Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Measured 12" in Boulder Canyon at ~6,000 feet. Skiied Eldora both Saturday and Sunday. I believe Eldo got a few inches less than we did down in the canyon, but enough for two great powder days in the trees! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Good year for Eldo, and so much better now for everywhere else! Can't wait to get out again. Too much work, and now we have competition for our cars from my almost 16 yo son. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boulderrr Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Let's hope the dark blue line keeps rising (or even steepens!). I see the CPC has CO as above average precip for both the 6-10 day and 8-14 day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted March 26, 2013 Share Posted March 26, 2013 After the Morch of last year, the area under the snowpack curve has got to improve. Finally the two lines crossed and hopefully they will continue to diverge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 26, 2013 Author Share Posted March 26, 2013 At least 5" fell in southern Fort Collins. It may have been as high as 7". Nice find on the snow water equivalent. I think we can call this one a "major" for far eastern Colorado. The best web sites I can find on the snow pack water equivalent in the West are: http://www.wcc.nrcs.usda.gov/cgibin/westsnow.pl http://www.wrcc.dri.edu/snotelanom/basinswe.html yesterday's temps at 5:00AM. It got to 7* at Fort Collins airport yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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