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Mountain West Discussion


Chinook

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A bit over 7" at my place, but some areas have over a foot.

Very cold temperatures look to continue in Elko...NWS has 8/-11 tomorrow and 11/-4 on Friday. That must be near record cold on the highs...maybe 20 degrees below average?

 

Impressive, I really am tired of the muted cold here in the urban East. I need to experience something brutal. 

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Can you see the diamond dust?  It was -16 at my place this morning, -17 at the airport.  Right now (1PM) its 4.

 

Really nice! I can see it. I love days like these... just a couple a year though...

 

BTW, I hope that hose on the other house isn't still connected to any water! :yikes:

Would be nice to have that here but we need some more snow first. It's starting to get really ugly with the Xmas eve/day 2 inches looking more like styrofoam than snow. The High Plains farmers are getting really nervous again, hopefully 2013 won't be as bad as last year.

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Alamosa CO has had some cold mornings. The average for the last 3 days has been 24.2F below normal. December was also quite unusual. It was 6.3F below normal. Is their thermometer broken or something? Most of Colorado was near normal for December.

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Alamosa CO has had some cold mornings. The average for the last 3 days has been 24.2F below normal. December was also quite unusual. It was 6.3F below normal. Is their thermometer broken or something? Most of Colorado was near normal for December.

 

Looks like they're trapped under a strong inversion, same as we are here in Elko.  The HADS Rio Grande River at Alamosa sensor has been running close to the airport.

http://raws.wrh.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/roman/raws_ca_monitor.cgi?state=PUB&type=&rawsflag=290&timeobs=12&day1=22&month1=9&year1=2007&hour1=22&orderby=e

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Really nice! I can see it. I love days like these... just a couple a year though...

 

BTW, I hope that hose on the other house isn't still connected to any water! :yikes:

Would be nice to have that here but we need some more snow first. It's starting to get really ugly with the Xmas eve/day 2 inches looking more like styrofoam than snow. The High Plains farmers are getting really nervous again, hopefully 2013 won't be as bad as last year.

 

Looks like an good pattern for cold/snow coming soon.

 

 

 

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gonna be in SLC and Park City from the 10th-14th (first time in Utah and skiing out west...stoked!!)  really hoping for a biggin.  or at least something....

 

I'm pretty confident (70%) that the storm on the 10-11th will at least bring significant snows of 6"+ with a decent chance  (40%) at 1-2'+  for the Cottonwood canyons

 

The next chance for snow would be the 14th, but that is a ways away.

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Back in Utah again, been home in Portland for three weeks. We have about 3-4 inches in most places around Provo. Also its been real cold. Highs of about 20 and lows of -2 the last two days. The system on the 10th looks like a possible blizzard with cold air, strong winds, and heavy precip. Long range isn't too bad either with the deep trough.

 

Currently 7F

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Still cold with no snow melt. Made it up to the low 20s this afternoon. The inversion is still holding strong. A weak system with warm advection moves through tonight. Possibly some light snow but not much. The inversion looks to turn over with the strong system Thursday but immediately rebuild behind it. That system still looks quite interesting. Depending on where the low to our SW spins up we could see a wide range of snow totals. I think 2-4 is a safe bet for now. Still looks to be accompanied by strong NW winds and very cold temps.

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Still cold with no snow melt. Made it up to the low 20s this afternoon.

 

Warm, with all snow melting on the side streets. My car said it was 52 at noon today.

 

I went on to the American Wx.com home page. I usually don't do this. I usually go to just the forums page.  I was surprised by the huge 24-point headlines and the number of blogs that are featured, some with conflicting headlines:

 

Warm Pattern on the Way for East

A Change for the Colder

Where is winter?

The Fall of the AO

Blogs

 

Here's the way I see it.

Warm Pattern on the Way for East, Cold Pattern on Way for West!!!

Winter is located in the Rocky Mountains...huge piles of it.

I saw lots of "winter" over Christmas vacation.

 

 

Looks like this upcoming storm system on Friday and Saturday may be fairly snowy for Utah and Wyoming.

 

Snow Water Equivalent

this is not looking too bad for the West

 

post-1182-0-41440000-1357599225_thumb.gi

 

 

 

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Warm, with all snow melting on the side streets. My car said it was 52 at noon today.

 

I went on to the American Wx.com home page. I usually don't do this. I usually go to just the forums page.  I was surprised by the huge 24-point headlines and the number of blogs that are featured, some with conflicting headlines:

 

Warm Pattern on the Way for East

A Change for the Colder

Where is winter?

The Fall of the AO

Blogs

 

Here's the way I see it.

Warm Pattern on the Way for East, Cold Pattern on Way for West!!!

Winter is located in the Rocky Mountains...huge piles of it.

I saw lots of "winter" over Christmas vacation.

 

 

Looks like this upcoming storm system on Friday and Saturday may be fairly snowy for Utah and Wyoming.

 

Snow Water Equivalent

this is not looking too bad for the West

 

attachicon.gif20130107_snow_water_equivalent.gif

 

Agreed. This winter is so much better than last year. Its a good thing we have the system moving in to mix the air out, its pretty awful. The 18z actually shows a lot more snow than I had mentioned I am forecasting. If it were right it would like be somewhere in the 4-8 inch range.

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Winter storm watch is up here now for 3-7 inches. I could see us getting a little more than that too potentially. I don't think winds will quite be strong enough but we aren't far from warranting a blizzard warning. Heavy snow falling, temps falling into the low 20s, and gusty NW winds.

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Winter storm watch is up here now for 3-7 inches. I could see us getting a little more than that too potentially. I don't think winds will quite be strong enough but we aren't far from warranting a blizzard warning. Heavy snow falling, temps falling into the low 20s, and gusty NW winds.

 

How frequent are blizzard conditions for Provo or Salt Lake?  Around here, it is tough to get winds much above 25mph during the snow, unless you are at Cheyenne or east of I-25. If winds are fast, it's downsloping.

 

Check this out regarding wind chills after this system, valid 06z Saturday. It shows a zero wind chill near me, but that's not the worst in the country.

 

post-1182-0-18465100-1357694702_thumb.gi

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How frequent are blizzard conditions for Provo or Salt Lake?  Around here, it is tough to get winds much above 25mph during the snow, unless you are at Cheyenne or east of I-25. If winds are fast, it's downsloping.

 

Check this out regarding wind chills after this system, valid 06z Saturday. It shows a zero wind chill near me, but that's not the worst in the country.

 

attachicon.gif20130108_18z_USA_WNDCHF_2m_084.gif

 

I've only seen one blizzard warning in my couple years here. Seems like every 4-7 years or so there might be one on average. I am in an area that is prone to strong nw winds when the front passes and the gradient looks to stay pretty tight for about 8-12 hours after frontal passage because of the developing low. Some models are showing up to 25kt winds. (I assume that is sustained but it could be gusts, I don't know) Most are a bit lower. The NWS here upped the totals to 4-10 and they mention gusty nw winds but went with the Winter Storm Warning.

 

Those are some mighty cold wind chills! I am glad I don't live in an area with crazy wind chill values.

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The NWS forecast is now 5-10 valleys, 6-12 benches. That's pretty big for here. I disagree with it though. The difference between bench and valley areas is always bigger than that. Additionally they think steady snow lasts through Friday morning whereas I can't see it lasting past maybe 2 AM for many. Especially areas not favored in NW flow like mine. I'd say 3-7 in the valleys, 6-12 benches.

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