tacoman25 Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Still looking good for 1-3" here tonight and then another inch or two Friday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 25, 2012 Author Share Posted October 25, 2012 I had a dusting of snow accumulation tonight, maybe 1/2" on the ground. BTW this is just a beautiful crazy post from Typhoon Tip (on a totally different subject) I think this was posted 3 days ago or something. " 2) What is being depicted by this GGEM and GFS, individually, and in blend, are/is pushing the upper bounds of what can happen on this planet. Earth only rotates so fast. The temperature variation involved in the baroclinicity, and prior to the introduction of the Tropics combined can only express so much power - beyond which is simply not available to Terran physics. We are, in the end, not talking about a comet impact. The reason this facet is important is that when "edge of the envelope" events are modeled, the downside to determinism is that the closer to perfection one succeeds, the more possibilities emerge to prevent that realization. It's like the elusive 105F day at Logan because a 747 took off and blew a parcel of sea air in the wrong direction - something will find a way to f things up. " Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Had first measurable snow tonight, 0.2". Didn't look like much... more stuck to the snow board than stuck to the grass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 I ended up with somewhere around 2" in Lakewood this A.M. Don't have my gear setup for measuring yet, but there was a good 2-3 on top of my car that I had to scrape off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tacoman25 Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 I got just over 3" in Westminster. Looks like DEN got over 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWx Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 3/4 of an inch here in Provo between 4 different snow showers. Heaviest was this morning at about 9am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tacoman25 Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 High of 33 for me today. Snow has picked up here and have another .5" so far. Wouldn't be surprised to wake up to about 6" on the ground, since very little melted today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 26, 2012 Author Share Posted October 26, 2012 I think I got 3.5" or more. The snow mainly melted yesterday, as we got up to 37. Then it really must have dumped after midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vandy Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Fun weather today in RMNP! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Fun weather today in RMNP! Dang sweet conditions! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 wow, cool pic! What were the wind speeds and temp? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vandy Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I'd say winds were sustained 20-30mph with 40-50mph gusts. It wasn't like that all day though. Temps were pretty warm when the winds weren't blowing, I'd say in the low 20s. It was actually really nice weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deathstar9 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 I'd say winds were sustained 20-30mph with 40-50mph gusts. It wasn't like that all day though. Temps were pretty warm when the winds weren't blowing, I'd say in the low 20s. It was actually really nice weather. Yeah, I went skiing on st marys glacier (james peak) on saturday with similar conditions. Definetly 50-60 mph gusts at 11,000-11,500 feet. Some crazy guys actually summitted that morning. Just reminds me of how much I cant wait for backcountry skiing and winter mountaineering season to start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWx Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Pretty drastic crash in the models coming up about a week from now. If things pan out approximately as shown then I will be getting a few inches of snow between next Friday and Sunday. The general consistency has actually been really good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWx Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 Models remain consistent with this trough crashing in here. Looks like a couple of inches fall on Friday with the front and snow showers on Saturday could drop a couple more. High temps should be in the low 30s Saturday which is rare here for this early in the season. Low temps should bottom out near 20, but I can't say for sure till I see how much snow there is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Models remain consistent with this trough crashing in here. Looks like a couple of inches fall on Friday with the front and snow showers on Saturday could drop a couple more. High temps should be in the low 30s Saturday which is rare here for this early in the season. Low temps should bottom out near 20, but I can't say for sure till I see how much snow there is. I'll be coming into Salt Lake on Saturday for a conference next week. This whole system should make for an interesting flight in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 I'll be coming into Salt Lake on Saturday for a conference next week. This whole system should make for an interesting flight in. The front will have long since passed by then but lake effect snow looks likely. That may drop more snow than the initial system in spots around SLC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Yeah, that's what I'm hoping for. I'll take some lake effect showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 I'll be coming into Salt Lake on Saturday for a conference next week. This whole system should make for an interesting flight in. You are going to be in SLC and you weren't going to tell me!?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 You are going to be in SLC and you weren't going to tell me!?! almost forgot you're not too far away from there now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 12z WRF-GFS is looking a lot more impressive. Colder and more snow. I can live with that. As it stands now the front should pass through Friday afternoon with rain to snow. Nothing new to say other than that it looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 7, 2012 Author Share Posted November 7, 2012 The 18z GFS shows -15.5*C 850mb temperature for Montana on Saturday (00z Sunday). That's pretty impressive for this time of year (like 20C below normal). That would be -15.5*C at Fort Collins if it got here. Certainly this will be a very cold and snowy trough for the northern Rockies and Montana. The GFS shows 20*F temps for Denver/Fort Collins on Sunday, and over 12" of snow for parts of Montana -and- North Dakota. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ksstormhunter Posted November 8, 2012 Share Posted November 8, 2012 MT/ND SmartCast 24-HR Outlook Currently tracking Glasgow, Lewiston, and LM Clayton areas with high threat of snow, blowing snow, and high winds. Looking for wind gusts up to 58MPH around the Glasgow Region. Glasgow Region: Looking for snow to begin around 21Z through 09/16Z. Heaviest snowfall will occur between 02Z and 06Z, in addition, visibilities will drop to ½ to 1 mile with blowing snow. Winds will be 20-25MPH Gusting to 35MPH til 00Z, then 00Z onward, winds increase to 30-35MPH with Gusts up to 58MPH. Blizzard threat highest from 03Z onward. Wind chills will also decrease to 0-10F above after 09/13Z. Lewiston Region: Continue Snow with visibilities around ¾ to 2 miles through the day. Winds will be 15-20MPH with gusts to 25MPH. 24HR Snowfall accumulation is at 2.56” and trending upward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWx Posted November 8, 2012 Share Posted November 8, 2012 Models have trended a bit drier with my storm but still on track as a whole. Cold front comes through tomorow morning with some rain switching to snow if it keeps precipitating. It will then be cold enough for snow through Sunday. Snow showers most likely Friday evening, Saturday morning, and Sunday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted November 8, 2012 Share Posted November 8, 2012 Models have trended a bit drier with my storm but still on track as a whole. Cold front comes through tomorow morning with some rain switching to snow if it keeps precipitating. It will then be cold enough for snow through Sunday. Snow showers most likely Friday evening, Saturday morning, and Sunday morning. This is a nice looking storm for the Wasatch Front. I almost feel removed from forecasting UT after 3 years now, I never underestimate the Salty Toilet (Salt Lake) to spit out snow in cold NW flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 8, 2012 Author Share Posted November 8, 2012 Looks like a long duration snow event for Montana. Glasgow NWS office says "BUFKIT INDICATES 850MB WINDS SLOWLY RAMPING UP THURSDAY NIGHT AND BECOMING STRONGEST ON FRIDAY...THEN REACHING AROUND 40KTS BY FRIDAY NIGHT. THE 850MB WINDS WILL BE MIXING TO THE SURFACE WITH THE CAA. SO BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AND VISIBILITY COULD BE ACHIEVED TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT NORTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. " Here are some lenticular pictures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWx Posted November 8, 2012 Share Posted November 8, 2012 This is a nice looking storm for the Wasatch Front. I almost feel removed from forecasting UT after 3 years now, I never underestimate the Salty Toilet (Salt Lake) to spit out snow in cold NW flow. 18z NAM looks amazing. Some type of snow band sits over my area from tomorrow afternoon through midday Saturday. I could go for that. Down here we don't get anything from the lake unless its really ripping and that may be the case this go around as the lake is quite warm and the air quite cold thats coming in. I am forecasting 1-3 here in Provo, but that could be a lowball estimate. SLC on the other hand will probably see 2-6+ depending on lake effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 9, 2012 Author Share Posted November 9, 2012 No doubt this will be a major storm for many of the Rocky Mountain and Wasatch areas, and also southern Canada! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsman Posted November 10, 2012 Share Posted November 10, 2012 Winds picked up this afternoon in the Springs. Steady from the SSW around 10 mph but gusty. Had a gust to 45mph around 10:30pm. There are "leaf drifts" all over the neighborhood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomad Posted November 10, 2012 Share Posted November 10, 2012 Very gusty winds last night in Parker. Had enough snow this morning to leave puddles in the roads, but nothing stuck. Looking forward to a good snow, but I don't see one coming anytime soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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