tacoman25 Posted October 6, 2012 Share Posted October 6, 2012 Ice pellet/graupel mix coming down fairly heavily here now. Temp is at 34. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 7, 2012 Author Share Posted October 7, 2012 We had snow for a little while, maybe 10:00 to 11:00AM. There were a few snow pellets thrown in there. We got maybe 1/2" in an hour, but it melted. I think it was 33 or more the whole time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tacoman25 Posted October 7, 2012 Share Posted October 7, 2012 Second record cold high temp in a row for DEN. High of just 36 today. Had the same high at my house. If it clears up tonight, should see some very cold temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWx Posted October 8, 2012 Share Posted October 8, 2012 Back to back lows of 32 here. About a week ahead of schedule. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsman Posted October 8, 2012 Share Posted October 8, 2012 That was fun... back to Zzzzzzzz for the next week or so for the Front Range. Hopefully there will be some excitement in the mountains and stay cold enough for snowmaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 9, 2012 Author Share Posted October 9, 2012 The temps here are below what was expected. It is only 45 degrees. The southwestern low looks like it will come through northern Colorado on Friday night. It will be shearing out its circulation, and not providing easterly flow. It looks like there will be a number of inches of snow for the western mountains, mainly at high elevations. The central plains (Kansas and Oklahoma) will really load up with a lot of precipitable water and lots of rain with this system. The GFS shows light rain accumulations here at the Front Range. I'm not very sure that this will be much of a rain event here. The GFS shows a lot of wind at 850 and 700mb after the low and cold front goes through, so I expect some gale force winds at some places on Saturday or Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted October 9, 2012 Share Posted October 9, 2012 The temps here are below what was expected. It is only 45 degrees. It looks like there will be a number of inches of snow for the western mountains, mainly at high elevations. The central plains (Kansas and Oklahoma) will really load up with a lot of precipitable water and lots of rain with this system. Brrr. I left my coat at home in anticipation of upper 50s, making for two chilly walks across campus. "A number" of inches... perhaps i, or e, or pi. Wait, that's a letter of inches. So, maybe 10^9. That would make for good skiing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWx Posted October 9, 2012 Share Posted October 9, 2012 I'd say overall models are trending the right way around the Oct 20th-30th period. I would not be surprised if a good dump of cold air occured west of the divide and then maybe spilling over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 10, 2012 Author Share Posted October 10, 2012 Brrr. I left my coat at home in anticipation of upper 50s, making for two chilly walks across campus. "A number" of inches... perhaps i, or e, or pi. Wait, that's a letter of inches. So, maybe 10^9. That would make for good skiing. Yep. 2.718281828 inches of snow for areas over 10,000+3.14 ft above sea level. 10^9 inches would be much larger than the radius of the Earth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWx Posted October 10, 2012 Share Posted October 10, 2012 Brrr. I left my coat at home in anticipation of upper 50s, making for two chilly walks across campus. "A number" of inches... perhaps i, or e, or pi. Wait, that's a letter of inches. So, maybe 10^9. That would make for good skiing. I don't want an imaginary amount of snow.. Hey interesting storm coming up for Friday. It looks pretty wet either way but.. MOST MODELS HAVE INDICATED HEAVIEST RAIN WILL BE OVER THE SOUTHWEST...MAINLY THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY. HOWEVER LATEST 12Z NAM IS GENERATING VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER THE WASATCH FRONT...WASATCH AND UINTA MOUNTAINS FRIDAY NIGHT IN A WARM SECLUSION TYPE PATTERN. THIS PATTERN RESULTS FROM THE COLD UPPER LOW TRACKING THROUGH CENTRAL UTAH WITH WARM AIR WRAPPED AROUND THE NORTH SIDE OF THE SYSTEM SO THAT AS THE FLOW ALOFT BECOMES NORTHWESTERLY IT REPRESENTS STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION INSTEAD OF THE USUAL COLD AIR ADVECTION NORMALLY ASSOCIATED WITH A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST. WOULD LIKE TO SEE SOME OF THE OTHER MODELS DO SOMETHING SIMILAR WITH THEIR QPF BEFORE GETTING TOO EXCITED ABOUT SUCH A BIG PRECIP EVENT OVER THE NORTH. I am very intregued by the warm seclusion idea. I'd love to see that as the NAM shows over an inch of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWx Posted October 11, 2012 Share Posted October 11, 2012 Had some light showers this evening, a little unexpected. Models still looking good for Friday for a good rain dump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 12, 2012 Author Share Posted October 12, 2012 Wow. There have been two severe weather mesoscale discussions for New Mexico today. That's unusual. We can't seem to break out of the inversion here. It's only 50, but Laramie and Estes Park are warmer than 50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tacoman25 Posted October 12, 2012 Share Posted October 12, 2012 Big blob of moisture heading straight for Denver metro area. We should start seeing some rain within a couple hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 13, 2012 Author Share Posted October 13, 2012 Fort Collins had 0.06" to 0.11" yesterday, mainly around midnight. We never got into the 60's. Today it just looks overcast and the wind is starting to pick up with a few gusts around 15mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tacoman25 Posted October 13, 2012 Share Posted October 13, 2012 Fort Collins had 0.06" to 0.11" yesterday, mainly around midnight. We never got into the 60's. Today it just looks overcast and the wind is starting to pick up with a few gusts around 15mph. DEN picked up .39" between 2 am and 3 am from a t-storm. Looks like more showers headed this way now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWx Posted October 15, 2012 Share Posted October 15, 2012 Ended up with about .40 here. Not bad, some more snow on the mountains too. Where are all the winter outlooks on this site? I am sure there has to be some but I don't see any. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 16, 2012 Author Share Posted October 16, 2012 Over the weekend we got 0.15" to 0.19" in Fort Collins. Next up: Wind! This is the text from the High Wind Warning for 6000-9000 ft WINDS...WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON. WIND GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS. I think that tonight and tomorrow, Fort Collins could see gusts to 40 or 45mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted October 18, 2012 Share Posted October 18, 2012 Had a 71 mph wind gust here in Twin Falls Tuesday with the high winds. Lots of trees, power poles and powerlines down. We also had one barn destroyed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWx Posted October 18, 2012 Share Posted October 18, 2012 Had a 71 mph wind gust here in Twin Falls Tuesday with the high winds. Lots of trees, power poles and powerlines down. We also had one barn destroyed. Pretty impressive! We had a gust to 52 here in Provo with some limb damage and leaves everywhere...but thats about it. Mid-long range models are starting to look more interesting eh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted October 18, 2012 Share Posted October 18, 2012 Pretty impressive! We had a gust to 52 here in Provo with some limb damage and leaves everywhere...but thats about it. Mid-long range models are starting to look more interesting eh? Yeah most definitely. Our snow levels could fall to the valley floors next week here - definitely liking the way things are looking with plenty of systems set to impact much of the NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWx Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 Yeah most definitely. Our snow levels could fall to the valley floors next week here - definitely liking the way things are looking with plenty of systems set to impact much of the NW. Looks like a pretty solid precip event setting up for somebody depending on where the front stalls out for a few days. Currently the focus on the 00z gfs is off to my NW but I'd get something. Then, as you said, it looks cold enough for snow to fall to the valley floors if that cold air can punch in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 19, 2012 Author Share Posted October 19, 2012 Fort Collins, Christman Field: 66.5mph wind gust at 9:55PM Tuesday (wind speed 49.5mph) Fort Collins CSU station: 43.2mph at 9:30PM Tuesday Fort Collins-Loveland Airport: 41 knots (47mph) at 10:15PM on Tuesday October 16th Most of Fort Collins: 25-40mph wind gusts Tuesday night/Wednesday Morning NCAR Mesa Labs: 72mph wind gust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWx Posted October 20, 2012 Share Posted October 20, 2012 Models have trended drier and warmer on Monday-Wednesday but cooler and wetter on Thursday Friday. If current solutions verify I expect to get my first accumulating snowfall of the season this coming week, but it will be small. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 21, 2012 Author Share Posted October 21, 2012 It looks like the 00z Euro and the GFS now both have the bomb solution, or at least a faster developing storm in northern Minnesota. I looked at the12z GFS and it seems to develop an upslope snowstorm at about 144 hours. Check this out. Check this out. The Euro also has an upslope storm with a favorable 500mb trough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 Just had lightning, thunder and small hail. Enough small hail such that my Davis VP2 funnel is clogged with the hail. Didn't see THIS coming this morning... and wouldn't mind it if I hadn't just fallen asleep an hour and a half ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tacoman25 Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 Looking like a good chance at our first significant snowfall of the season Thu/Fri. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 22, 2012 Author Share Posted October 22, 2012 Looks like the GFS and NAM bring in snow with both fronts (Wednesday night and Thursday/Friday), with rain/snow possible at the first front. Look at these predicted snow totals from the GFS. This counts the whole 5-day period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Snow just started to mix in with the rain here in Elko. First snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 23, 2012 Author Share Posted October 23, 2012 In this image, you can see the Indian Peaks, Long's Peak, Horsetooth Rock, and the smoke plume from the Fern Lake Fire. weird colors from smoke plume lenticular clouds on October 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWx Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Interesting weather day in Northern Utah. My aunt up on bear lake got a foot of snow this morning. My cousins in logan reported 3 inches. Brief snow fell further south in Odgen. A cold rain in Salt Lake..and the temp never fell below 40 here with no rain or snow. As for this evening a band of rain and snow is setting up over Ogden right now, it looks to drift south. I doubt it makes it here, but if it does several inches of snow may fall by morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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